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Bowling Green vs Buffalo Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 87-73
34-26 53-47
Position#127
Record15-7
FormWLLWL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game72.0
Bowling Green 🏆
USA
vs
Buffalo
USA
Position#362
Record2-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game66.5
Allowed / game80.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Bowling Green v Buffalo
27 Jan 2026
BOWL78
BUFF89
14 Jan 2025
BOWL79
BUFF61
06 Feb 2024
BOWL87
BUFF73
15 Feb 2022
BOWL85
BUFF112
06 Dec 2020
BOWL86
BUFF78
06 Mar 2020
BOWL84
BUFF88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bowling Green winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buffalo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bowling GreenUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
92-90 OT
92
90
+2
H03/01
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
67-83
67
83
-16
A06/01
NCAA
Ohio
#120
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H10/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
W
83-72
83
72
+11
A13/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
78-73
78
73
+5
A17/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H20/01
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
84-90 OT
84
90
-6
H24/01
NCAA
Toledo
#107
L
72-88
72
88
-16
A27/01
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
81-72
81
72
+9
A31/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
76-77 OT
76
77
-1
H03/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-42
48-40
41-36
26-47
38-35
45-43
43-32
40-40
36-37
42-36
39-31
45-48
35-35
39-39
31-31
41-57
33-31
48-41
32-35
30-27
160.2Avg total
80.0Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)76.772.0148.7+4.868%
Season at home (15)79.470.8150.2+8.673%
Season away (7)71.074.4145.4-3.457%
Last 10 (10)80.080.2160.2-0.260%
Last 5 (5)79.481.2160.6-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)70.584.6155.1-14.112%
vs Similar (10)75.472.2147.6+3.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)77.073.8150.8+3.270%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Niagara
#206
L
63-69
63
69
-6
H30/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
W
76-64
76
64
+12
A03/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
L
77-82
77
82
-5
H06/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
L
65-86
65
86
-21
H10/01
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
59-76
59
76
-17
A13/01
NCAA
Toledo
#107
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A17/01
NCAA
Ball State
#226
L
59-87
59
87
-28
H24/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
L
65-75
65
75
-10
A27/01
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
70-91
70
91
-21
A31/01
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
52-83
52
83
-31
H02/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-20
33-49
36-18
40-46
32-34
45-48
36-38
29-48
30-34
29-42
33-33
33-44
31-45
28-42
33-35
32-40
26-41
44-50
22-51
30-32
144.2Avg total
65.2Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)66.580.0146.5-13.610%
Season at home (11)67.783.3151.0-15.59%
Season away (10)65.176.5141.6-11.410%
Last 10 (10)65.279.0144.2-13.810%
Last 5 (5)62.482.6145.0-20.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)65.981.7147.6-15.84%
vs Similar (2)76.569.0145.5+7.5100%
vs Weaker (2)82.566.0148.5+16.5100%
This opponent (Bowling Green) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +1.7+1.71st half: -4.0-4.02nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: -9.8-9.8
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +1.7+1.71st half: -4.0-4.02nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: -9.8-9.8
Bowling GreenBuffalo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Bowling GreenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#278
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H03/01
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A06/01
NCAA
Ohio
#120
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H10/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A13/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A17/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H20/01
NCAA
Kent State
#199
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H24/01
NCAA
Toledo
#107
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A27/01
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A31/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H03/02
NCAA
70.7Avg total
36.2Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.233.266.4+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (19)34.331.665.8+2.758%-
Last 30 away (11)31.536.067.5-4.536%-
Last 10 (10)36.234.570.7+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)34.032.666.6+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.537.971.4-4.462%-
vs Similar (10)34.931.866.7+3.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)31.332.964.2-1.640%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Niagara
#206
W
30-20
30
20
+10
H30/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
W
36-18
36
18
+18
A03/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H06/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H10/01
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A13/01
NCAA
Toledo
#107
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A17/01
NCAA
Ball State
#226
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H24/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A27/01
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A31/01
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
22-51
22
51
-29
H02/02
NCAA
65.8Avg total
30.9Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.338.369.6-7.020%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.639.271.8-6.627%-
Last 30 away (15)30.037.567.5-7.513%-
Last 10 (10)30.934.965.8-4.020%-
Last 5 (5)29.041.070.0-12.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)29.539.368.8-9.812%-
vs Similar (2)35.532.067.5+3.550%-
vs Weaker (2)40.031.071.0+9.050%-
This opponent (Bowling Green) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bowling Green wins
4
Buffalo wins
DateGameScore
18/01/23Buffalo v Bowling Green100-71
16/02/22Bowling Green v Buffalo85-112
06/01/22Buffalo v Bowling Green99-88
16/01/21Buffalo v Bowling Green69-76
06/12/20Bowling Green v Buffalo86-78
06/03/20Bowling Green v Buffalo84-88
01/02/20Buffalo v Bowling Green77-78
Bowling Greenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24HCentral Michigan76-77 OT
31/01/24ABall State81-72
27/01/24AToledo72-88
24/01/24HKent State84-90 OT
20/01/24HWestern Michigan84-79
17/01/24AMiami (Ohio)78-73
13/01/24ANorthern Illinois83-72
10/01/24HOhio83-78
06/01/24AAkron67-83
03/01/24HEastern Michigan92-90 OT
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/24HKent State52-83
31/01/24AOhio70-91
27/01/24AEastern Michigan65-75
24/01/24HBall State59-87
17/01/24AToledo66-77
13/01/24AAkron59-76
10/01/24HMiami (Ohio)65-86
06/01/24HWestern Michigan77-82
03/01/24ACentral Michigan76-64
30/12/23HNiagara63-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bowling Green
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL68%
HomeWWWLL73%
AwayLWWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22157
Win %68%73%57%
Points / game76.779.471.0
Allowed / game72.070.874.4
Point differential+4.8+8.6-3.4
Avg total148.7150.2145.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%40%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)80% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %14%20%0%
Buffalo
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL10%
HomeLLLLL9%
AwayWLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %10%9%10%
Points / game66.567.765.1
Allowed / game80.083.376.5
Point differential-13.6-15.5-11.4
Avg total146.5151.0141.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron2217577%76.265.0+11.2
2 Bowling Green2215768%76.772.0+4.8
3 UMass2114767%80.671.7+8.9
4 Toledo2214864%79.175.5+3.6
5 Central Michigan2213959%68.071.7-3.7
6 Ohio22121055%78.270.8+7.4
7 Ball State22121055%75.270.4+4.8
8 Miami (Ohio)21111052%74.071.4+2.6
9 Kent State22111150%77.573.3+4.2
10 Eastern Michigan2291341%66.374.6-8.3
11 Western Michigan2281436%72.875.6-2.8
12 Northern Illinois2171433%76.779.7-3.0
13 Buffalo2121910%66.580.0-13.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Bowling Green345387
Buffalo264773
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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