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Miami (Ohio) vs Buffalo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 93-79
46-39 47-40
Position#41
Record8-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game71.1
Miami (Ohio) 🏆
USA
vs
Buffalo
USA
Position#333
Record5-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game81.1
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Miami (Ohio) v Buffalo
19 Jan 2027
MIAM v BUFF
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
MIAM105
BUFF102
04 Jan 2025
MIAM93
BUFF79
22 Feb 2022
MIAM84
BUFF86
15 Dec 2020
MIAM62
BUFF90
10 Jan 2020
MIAM78
BUFF83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami (Ohio) winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buffalo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami (Ohio)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Md.-East. Shore
#355
W
88-70
88
70
+18
H13/11
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
67-94
67
94
-27
A18/11
NCAA
Siena
#256
W
70-58
70
58
+12
A25/11
NCAA
Mercer
#264
W
75-72
75
72
+3
A26/11
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
73-60
73
60
+13
H03/12
NCAA
Indiana
#132
L
57-76
57
76
-19
A07/12
NCAA
Bethany
#643
W
112-70
112
70
+42
H15/12
NCAA
Vermont
#97
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A19/12
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#240
W
94-76
94
76
+18
H22/12
NCAA
Defiance College
#642
W
141-58
141
58
+83
H31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
42-38
46-32
36-44
31-50
32-21
38-37
35-30
40-42
29-30
44-30
36-39
21-37
62-28
50-42
28-40
39-35
50-30
44-46
74-25
67-33
155.3Avg total
84.4Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)82.471.1153.5+11.367%
Season at home (6)96.069.2165.2+26.883%
Season away (6)68.873.0141.8-4.250%
Last 10 (10)84.470.9155.3+13.570%
Last 5 (5)94.271.0165.2+23.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)65.273.2138.5-8.025%
vs Similar (9)70.874.3145.1-3.656%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)77.366.0143.3+11.365%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#241
L
77-86
77
86
-9
A12/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#81
L
64-87
64
87
-23
H15/11
NCAA
Vermont
#97
L
67-78
67
78
-11
A20/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#258
W
82-73
82
73
+9
H23/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#348
W
82-81
82
81
+1
H26/11
NCAA
Penn State
#185
L
64-87
64
87
-23
A01/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh Bradford
#510
W
100-65
100
65
+35
H04/12
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#77
L
55-65
55
65
-10
A07/12
NCAA
Georgia
#120
L
49-100
49
100
-51
A20/12
NCAA
Temple
#180
L
71-91
71
91
-20
A29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
40-38
37-48
25-50
39-37
35-38
32-40
31-36
51-37
43-43
39-38
28-38
36-49
46-30
54-35
22-32
33-33
19-56
30-44
29-39
42-52
152.4Avg total
71.1Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)73.481.1154.5-7.742%
Season at home (5)83.076.8159.8+6.280%
Season away (7)66.684.1150.7-17.614%
Last 10 (10)71.181.3152.4-10.230%
Last 5 (5)67.881.6149.4-13.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)68.081.3149.4-13.315%
vs Similar (1)82.081.0163.0+1.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami (Ohio)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.9+9.91st half: -8.2-8.22nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: -2.0-2.0
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.9+9.91st half: -8.2-8.22nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: -2.0-2.0
Miami (Ohio)Buffalo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Miami (Ohio)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Md.-East. Shore
#355
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H13/11
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A18/11
NCAA
Siena
#256
W
32-21
32
21
+11
A25/11
NCAA
Mercer
#264
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A26/11
NCAA
Air Force
#367
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H03/12
NCAA
Indiana
#132
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A07/12
NCAA
Bethany
#643
W
62-28
62
28
+34
H15/12
NCAA
Vermont
#97
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A19/12
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#240
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H22/12
NCAA
Defiance College
#642
W
74-25
74
25
+49
H31/12
NCAA
74.9Avg total
42.4Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.932.868.7+3.163%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.832.373.1+8.586%-
Last 30 away (16)31.633.264.8-1.744%-
Last 10 (10)42.432.574.9+9.960%-
Last 5 (5)50.032.482.4+17.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.833.567.2+0.250%-
vs Similar (9)31.735.166.8-3.456%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)38.631.470.0+7.271%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#241
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A12/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#81
L
25-50
25
50
-25
H15/11
NCAA
Vermont
#97
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A20/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#258
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H23/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#348
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H26/11
NCAA
Penn State
#185
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A01/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh Bradford
#510
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H04/12
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#77
L
22-32
22
32
-10
A07/12
NCAA
Georgia
#120
L
19-56
19
56
-37
A20/12
NCAA
Temple
#180
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A29/12
NCAA
71.8Avg total
31.8Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.438.270.6-5.823%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.638.672.2-4.921%-
Last 30 away (16)31.437.969.2-6.525%-
Last 10 (10)31.840.071.8-8.220%-
Last 5 (5)28.839.067.8-10.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)31.438.269.6-6.922%-
vs Similar (1)43.043.086.0+0.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami (Ohio)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Miami (Ohio) wins
6
Buffalo wins
DateGameScore
10/01/24Buffalo v Miami (Ohio)65-86
23/02/22Miami (Ohio) v Buffalo84-86
29/12/21Buffalo v Miami (Ohio)81-91
11/03/21Buffalo v Miami (Ohio)74-63
06/02/21Buffalo v Miami (Ohio)88-64
15/12/20Miami (Ohio) v Buffalo62-90
09/03/20Buffalo v Miami (Ohio)79-85
04/03/20Buffalo v Miami (Ohio)75-69
11/01/20Miami (Ohio) v Buffalo78-83
Miami (Ohio)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/24HDefiance College141-58
22/12/24HSacred Heart94-76
19/12/24AVermont67-75
15/12/24HBethany112-70
07/12/24AIndiana57-76
03/12/24HAir Force73-60
26/11/24AMercer75-72
25/11/24ASiena70-58
18/11/24AMichigan67-94
13/11/24HMd.-East. Shore88-70
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/24ATemple71-91
20/12/24AGeorgia49-100
07/12/24ASt. Bonaventure55-65
04/12/24HPittsburgh Bradford100-65
01/12/24APenn State64-87
26/11/24HN. Carolina A&T82-81
23/11/24HMorgan State82-73
20/11/24AVermont67-78
15/11/24HBryant University64-87
12/11/24ANotre Dame77-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami (Ohio)
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %67%83%50%
Points / game82.496.068.8
Allowed / game71.169.273.0
Point differential+11.3+26.8-4.2
Avg total153.5165.2141.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%83%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Buffalo
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL42%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %42%80%14%
Points / game73.483.066.6
Allowed / game81.176.884.1
Point differential-7.7+6.2-17.6
Avg total154.5159.8150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kent State129375%69.663.6+6.0
2 Miami (Ohio)128467%82.471.1+11.3
3 Akron138562%79.972.8+7.1
4 Toledo137654%77.077.2-0.2
5 Ball State126650%75.570.5+5.0
6 Ohio126650%79.975.5+4.4
7 Central Michigan126650%74.970.8+4.2
8 Eastern Michigan126650%70.675.8-5.2
9 Buffalo125742%73.481.1-7.7
10 Bowling Green135838%77.674.6+3.0
11 UMass1551033%73.575.0-1.5
12 Northern Illinois124833%72.874.4-1.7
13 Western Michigan1331023%70.474.2-3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Miami (Ohio)464793
Buffalo394079
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