PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
Bradley faces IPFW on 18 November 2026 in the NCAA, and Pythia rates Bradley as the clear favourite, assigning it an 89% chance of winning largely because Bradley has a 2-2 record with 59.5 points per game and 55.0 points allowed, while IPFW sits at 1-2 with 77.7 points per game and 74.7 points allowed. Bradley's home games have produced 68.5 points per game and 52.0 points allowed, whereas IPFW's lone road outing yielded 71.0 points and 78.0 points allowed. Bradley's last five games included two wins and three losses, with a recent 56-54 win over Coppin State and a 45-62 loss to Davidson; IPFW's recent five also feature two wins and three losses, highlighted by a 103-65 victory over Albion and a 59-81 loss to Western Michigan. In previous matchups the teams have met twice, with the most recent encounter ending 68-82 in Bradley's favour. Pythia projects a 82-68 score, a total of 149.7 points, and gives Bradley an 89% probability of covering the spread, while IPFW has an 11% chance of winning. The overtime probability is 2%, and the game is expected to finish within the projected total.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 59.5 | 55.0 | 114.5 | +4.5 | 50% |
| Season at home (2) | 68.5 | 52.0 | 120.5 | +16.5 | 50% |
| Season away (2) | 50.5 | 58.0 | 108.5 | -7.5 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 71.6 | 68.7 | 140.3 | +2.9 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 61.4 | 58.6 | 120.0 | +2.8 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (4) | 67.5 | 74.2 | 141.8 | -6.8 | 25% |
| vs Similar ◀ (17) | 74.6 | 73.7 | 148.4 | +0.9 | 59% |
| vs Weaker (8) | 80.2 | 66.9 | 147.1 | +13.4 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 77.7 | 74.7 | 152.3 | +3.0 | 33% |
| Season at home (2) | 81.0 | 73.0 | 154.0 | +8.0 | 50% |
| Season away (1) | 71.0 | 78.0 | 149.0 | -7.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 75.1 | 77.0 | 152.1 | -1.9 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 75.2 | 73.8 | 149.0 | +1.4 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 71.8 | 80.2 | 152.0 | -8.3 | 50% |
| vs Similar ◀ (14) | 70.2 | 75.6 | 145.8 | -5.4 | 36% |
| vs Weaker (9) | 83.3 | 77.3 | 160.7 | +6.0 | 78% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 33.6 | 33.9 | 67.5 | -0.3 | 37% | - |
| Last 30 at home (18) | 35.4 | 31.8 | 67.2 | +3.6 | 56% | - |
| Last 30 away (12) | 31.0 | 37.0 | 68.0 | -6.0 | 8% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 31.3 | 32.8 | 64.1 | -1.5 | 30% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 28.0 | 31.4 | 59.4 | -3.4 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (4) | 27.2 | 33.5 | 60.8 | -6.2 | 0% | - |
| vs Similar ◀ (17) | 34.6 | 35.2 | 69.8 | -0.6 | 47% | - |
| vs Weaker (8) | 33.2 | 32.0 | 65.2 | +1.2 | 25% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 35.2 | 37.7 | 72.9 | -2.4 | 37% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 37.8 | 35.4 | 73.2 | +2.4 | 47% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 32.7 | 39.9 | 72.6 | -7.3 | 27% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 35.4 | 36.5 | 71.9 | -1.1 | 40% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 37.4 | 34.8 | 72.2 | +2.6 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 32.8 | 39.8 | 72.7 | -7.0 | 17% | - |
| vs Similar ◀ (14) | 32.7 | 36.8 | 69.5 | -4.1 | 29% | - |
| vs Weaker (9) | 38.0 | 38.9 | 76.9 | -0.9 | 56% | - |
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| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/26 | A | Coppin State | 56-54 |
| 11/11/26 | A | Davidson | 45-62 |
| 08/11/26 | H | Pacific | 52-63 |
| 03/11/26 | H | Monmouth | 85-41 |
| 07/03/26 | H | Northern Iowa | 69-73 |
| 07/03/26 | H | Valparaiso | 90-84 OT |
| 01/03/26 | H | Murray State | 87-78 |
| 25/02/26 | A | Illinois (Chi.) | 86-93 OT |
| 22/02/26 | H | Illinois State | 74-60 |
| 19/02/26 | A | Valparaiso | 72-79 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/26 | H | Western Michigan | 59-81 |
| 08/11/26 | H | Albion | 103-65 |
| 04/11/26 | A | Duquesne | 71-78 |
| 04/03/26 | A | Wisc. Green Bay | 56-64 |
| 28/02/26 | A | IU Indy | 87-81 |
| 26/02/26 | H | Wright State | 70-74 |
| 22/02/26 | A | Cleveland State | 92-86 |
| 19/02/26 | A | Northern Kentucky | 71-87 |
| 15/02/26 | H | IU Indy | 83-78 |
| 13/02/26 | A | Wisc. Green Bay | 59-76 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLW | 50% |
| Home | WL | 50% |
| Away | LW | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Points / game | 59.5 | 68.5 | 50.5 |
| Allowed / game | 55.0 | 52.0 | 58.0 |
| Point differential | +4.5 | +16.5 | -7.5 |
| Avg total | 114.5 | 120.5 | 108.5 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 25% | 50% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | - | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWL | 33% |
| Home | WL | 50% |
| Away | L | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Win % | 33% | 50% | 0% |
| Points / game | 77.7 | 81.0 | 71.0 |
| Allowed / game | 74.7 | 73.0 | 78.0 |
| Point differential | +3.0 | +8.0 | -7.0 |
| Avg total | 152.3 | 154.0 | 149.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 33% | 50% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Murray State | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 95.0 | 67.5 | +27.5 |
| 2 |  Drake | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 85.7 | 62.7 | +23.0 |
| 3 |  Illinois (Chi.) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 79.5 | 64.8 | +14.8 |
| 4 |  Southern Illinois | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 85.0 | 70.0 | +15.0 |
| 5 |  Belmont | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 74.0 | 62.3 | +11.7 |
| 6 |  Valparaiso | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 77.3 | 73.0 | +4.3 |
| 7 |  Evansville | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 75.3 | 73.0 | +2.3 |
| 8 | Bradley | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 59.5 | 55.0 | +4.5 |
| 9 |  Northern Iowa | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 87.5 | 87.5 | +0.0 |
| 10 |  Indiana State | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 70.7 | 75.3 | -4.7 |
| 11 |  Illinois State | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 81.2 | 75.8 | +5.5 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Wright State | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 91.2 | 69.0 | +22.2 |
| 2 |  Wisc. Green Bay | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 75.2 | 66.8 | +8.4 |
| 3 |  Cleveland State | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 75.2 | 88.0 | -12.8 |
| 4 |  Northern Kentucky | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 79.0 | 99.8 | -20.8 |
| 5 |  Wisc. Milwaukee | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 76.0 | 77.4 | -1.4 |
| 6 | IPFW | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 77.7 | 74.7 | +3.0 |
| 7 |  Youngstown State | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 74.0 | 83.7 | -9.7 |
| 8 |  Oakland | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 69.0 | 95.0 | -26.0 |
| 9 |  Robert Morris | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 52.7 | 80.3 | -27.7 |
| 10 |  Detroit | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 43.5 | 96.5 | -53.0 |
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