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Braga vs Esgueira Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 79-103
24-19 20-23 19-35 16-26
Position#7
Record0-1
FormWLWLL
Points / game58.0
Allowed / game66.0
Braga
Portugal
vs
Esgueira 🏆
Portugal
Position#8
Record1-1
FormLLLLW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game86.5
PortugalLPBRound 3· Sports Pavilion Lamacaes
Other2025-26
Meetings · Braga v Esgueira
17 Apr 2027
BRAG v ESGU
upcoming
18 Oct 2025
BRAG79
ESGU103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Braga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Esgueira winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BragaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBraga
Date
Competition
CB Queluz
#4
W
79-69
79
69
+10
90avg 77
H22/03
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
82-69
82
69
+13
78avg 77
A29/03
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
76-82
76
82
-6
72avg 77
H05/04
Proliga
Imortal B
#15
W
107-72
107
72
+35
105avg 77
A19/04
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
W
80-78
80
78
+2
67avg 77
H26/04
Proliga
Portimonense
#7
W
80-74
80
74
+6
78avg 77
A03/05
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
L
65-72
65
72
-7
57avg 77
A10/05
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
W
92-64
92
64
+28
90avg 77
H17/05
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
L
63-74
63
74
-11
56avg 77
H18/05
Proliga
CA Queluz
#9
L
58-66
58
66
-8
48avg 77
H11/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-16
21-14
23-14
22-25
23-12
13-20
19-20
27-17
12-28
22-21
23-19
19-14
20-15
34-22
31-12
22-23
22-18
16-20
20-16
22-24
21-14
16-14
24-20
19-26
15-20
12-15
14-14
24-23
24-12
24-16
22-18
22-18
12-20
12-20
20-13
19-21
9-21
14-23
16-10
19-12
150.2Avg total
78.2Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)58.066.0124.0-8.00%
Season at home (1)58.066.0124.0-8.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.272.0150.2+6.260%
Last 5 (5)71.670.0141.6+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (1)58.066.0124.0-8.00%
vs Weaker (29)82.070.7152.7+11.272%
This opponent (Esgueira) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsgueira
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
65-100
65
100
-35
51avg 68
A07/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
78-66
78
66
+12
66avg 68
H15/03
LPB
Imortal
#7
L
87-90
87
90
-3
76avg 68
A29/03
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
81-96
81
96
-15
68avg 68
H05/04
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
85-82
85
82
+3
54avg 68
H12/04
LPB
Galomar
#7
L
67-114
67
114
-47
36avg 68
H13/04
Taca da Liga
CA Queluz
#11
L
73-86
73
86
-13
51avg 68
A19/04
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
84-85
84
85
-1
67avg 68
H26/04
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
75-81
75
81
-6
56avg 68
A04/10
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
102-92
102
92
+10
102avg 68
H11/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-32
21-15
16-25
12-28
20-9
20-20
20-22
18-15
22-16
27-23
18-24
20-27
27-21
22-18
11-31
21-26
23-26
22-10
21-29
19-17
12-28
24-31
19-26
12-29
17-28
26-15
10-21
20-22
18-27
26-26
20-19
20-13
19-21
20-24
25-18
11-18
27-25
26-22
17-24
32-21
168.9Avg total
79.7Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)88.586.5175.0+2.050%
Season at home (1)102.092.0194.0+10.0100%
Season away (1)75.081.0156.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)79.789.2168.9-9.530%
Last 5 (5)80.291.6171.8-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)78.891.0169.8-12.223%
vs Similar ◀ (14)83.284.9168.1-1.750%
vs Weaker (2)95.576.5172.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Braga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: -6.2-6.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -3.1-3.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: -6.2-6.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -3.1-3.1
BragaEsgueira
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BragaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CB Queluz
#4
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H22/03
Proliga
Sangalhos
#10
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A29/03
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H05/04
Proliga
Imortal B
#15
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A19/04
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#2
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H26/04
Proliga
Portimonense
#7
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A03/05
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A10/05
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H17/05
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
L
24-40
24
40
-16
H18/05
Proliga
CA Queluz
#9
L
23-44
23
44
-21
H11/10
LPB
71.6Avg total
35.5Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.435.975.4+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.136.474.6+1.750%-
Last 30 away (14)40.935.476.3+5.679%-
Last 10 (10)35.536.171.6-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)31.835.066.8-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (1)23.044.067.0-21.00%-
vs Weaker (29)40.035.775.7+4.366%-
This opponent (Esgueira) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A07/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H15/03
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A29/03
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H05/04
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H12/04
LPB
Galomar
#7
L
36-59
36
59
-23
H13/04
Taca da Liga
CA Queluz
#11
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A19/04
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H26/04
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A04/10
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H11/10
LPB
87.2Avg total
43.5Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.341.083.3+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.140.383.4+2.862%-
Last 30 away (14)41.441.883.1-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)43.543.787.2-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)43.049.492.4-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)41.341.983.2-0.646%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)42.639.982.5+2.864%-
vs Weaker (2)49.536.586.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Braga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bragatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Braga: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.920.8
50.9%
52.7%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.2
30.9%
32.4%24.6
🏀 Free throws17.511.4
65.1%
70.4%11.4
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Esgueiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.1
50.3%
52.7%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.3
31.6%
32.4%24.9
🏀 Free throws20.314.0
69.0%
70.4%14.0
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Braga
LLWLWWWLWW
Esgueira
WLLLLWLLWL
#7
League position
#8
+8.7
Net rating
-13.0
100.5
Offensive rating
103.5
91.8
Defensive rating
116.5
49.1%
Effective FG%
49.1%
43.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
19.0%
Turnover %
13.7%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
22.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.32
30.9%
3-point %
31.6%
67.9%
Assist %
65.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence100.5 · 103.5Defence91.8 · 116.5Shooting49.1% · 49.1%3-point %30.9% · 31.6%Ball care19.0% · 13.7%Off. rebounds30.5% · 22.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Braga   ■ Esgueira
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Braga wins
0
Esgueira wins
No previous meetings.
Bragalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/25HCA Queluz58-66
18/05/25HCB Queluz63-74
17/05/25HCB Queluz92-64
10/05/25ACB Queluz65-72
03/05/25APortimonense80-74
26/04/25HVasco Da Gama80-78
19/04/25AImortal B107-72
05/04/25HIlliabum76-82
29/03/25ASangalhos82-69
22/03/25HCB Queluz79-69
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/25HGalitos Barreiro102-92
04/10/25AOvarense75-81
26/04/25HOvarense84-85
19/04/25ACA Queluz73-86
13/04/25HGalomar67-114
12/04/25HGalomar85-82
05/04/25HFC Porto81-96
29/03/25AImortal87-90
15/03/25HOliveirense78-66
07/03/25ABenfica65-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Braga
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game58.058.0-
Allowed / game66.066.0-
Point differential-8.0-8.0-
Avg total124.0124.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Esgueira
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game88.5102.075.0
Allowed / game86.592.081.0
Point differential+2.0+10.0-6.0
Avg total175.0194.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica330100%96.766.3+30.3
2 Ovarense330100%83.777.3+6.3
3 Sporting CP32167%81.782.3-0.7
4 Imortal32167%74.085.7-11.7
5 CA Queluz21150%72.069.5+2.5
6 Esgueira21150%88.586.5+2.0
7 FC Porto31233%88.086.3+1.7
8 Vasco Da Gama31233%86.387.0-0.7
9 Oliveirense31233%87.389.7-2.3
10 Braga1010%58.066.0-8.0
11 Vitoria2020%74.590.5-16.0
12 Galitos Barreiro2020%87.5106.5-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Braga2420191679
Esgueira19233526103
← all games of the day
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