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Esgueira vs Oliveirense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 78-66
20-9 20-20 20-22 18-15
Position#8
Record7-9
FormLLWLL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game87.5
vs
Position#4
Record9-7
FormWWWLL
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game80.0
PortugalLPBRound 17· Pavilhão Clube do Povo de Esgueira
Other2024-25
Meetings · Esgueira v Oliveirense
30 Jan 2027
ESGU v OLIV
upcoming
21 Mar 2026
ESGU93
OLIV88
15 Mar 2025
ESGU78
OLIV66
17 Dec 2024
ESGU88
OLIV96
27 Jan 2024
ESGU69
OLIV78
30 Sep 2023
ESGU62
OLIV74
17 Dec 2022
ESGU77
OLIV73
03 Apr 2021
ESGU68
OLIV82
01 Nov 2019
ESGU69
OLIV78
08 Mar 2019
ESGU74
OLIV86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Esgueira winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oliveirense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsgueira
Date
Competition
Galomar
#12
L
73-84
73
84
-11
57avg 70
A21/12
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
89-81 OT
89
81
+8
76avg 70
A04/01
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
86-101
86
101
-15
75avg 70
A11/01
LPB
Ovarense
#7
L
81-92
81
92
-11
81avg 70
H19/01
Taca de Portugal
CD Povoa
#10
W
93-80
93
80
+13
83avg 70
H25/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
87-93 OT
87
93
-6
76avg 70
A02/02
LPB
Vitoria
#9
L
73-86
73
86
-13
45avg 70
H15/02
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
W
82-81
82
81
+1
77avg 70
H22/02
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
68-94
68
94
-26
53avg 70
A01/03
Taca da Liga
Benfica
#1
L
65-100
65
100
-35
51avg 70
A07/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
23-19
15-22
13-18
15-8
24-21
18-19
10-19
18-20
24-35
18-20
26-26
23-27
13-27
26-16
19-22
19-12
28-12
23-34
23-22
18-15
21-14
25-27
15-23
17-22
25-23
19-19
12-22
26-24
19-14
22-22
15-21
24-24
17-16
13-21
14-33
16-32
21-15
16-25
12-28
168.9Avg total
79.7Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)82.287.5169.7-5.344%
Season at home (7)84.184.7168.9-0.657%
Season away (9)80.789.7170.3-9.033%
Last 10 (10)79.789.2168.9-9.530%
Last 5 (5)75.090.8165.8-15.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)74.789.1163.9-14.427%
vs Similar (12)82.783.8166.5-1.258%
vs Weaker (2)85.071.5156.5+13.550%
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OliveirensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOliveirense
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#10
W
92-53
92
53
+39
96avg 78
H29/12
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
69-82
69
82
-13
61avg 78
A04/01
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
92-74
92
74
+18
92avg 78
A11/01
LPB
Sangalhos
#14
W
95-71
95
71
+24
86avg 78
A18/01
Taca de Portugal
Benfica
#1
L
83-95
83
95
-12
78avg 78
H25/01
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
82-80
82
80
+2
80avg 78
H31/01
LPB
Galomar
#7
W
89-61
89
61
+28
94avg 78
H02/02
Taca da Liga
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
79-71
79
71
+8
78avg 78
A09/02
Taca de Portugal
Imortal
#7
L
78-83
78
83
-5
72avg 78
A15/02
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
78-86
78
86
-8
68avg 78
H08/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
22-15
21-14
30-6
20-17
21-21
11-24
17-20
24-14
20-25
21-17
27-18
25-15
22-19
27-17
21-20
20-30
21-22
15-23
27-20
26-18
21-26
14-19
21-17
26-14
21-19
14-20
28-8
22-21
13-9
21-14
23-27
20-23
21-26
19-15
18-19
15-22
18-19
14-21
31-24
159.3Avg total
83.7Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)85.980.0165.9+5.956%
Season at home (8)86.475.8162.1+10.675%
Season away (8)85.484.2169.6+1.138%
Last 10 (10)83.775.6159.3+8.160%
Last 5 (5)81.276.2157.4+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.291.2160.4-22.00%
vs Similar (6)79.580.8160.3-1.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)86.675.4161.9+11.278%
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -7.5-7.5Q4: +6.4+6.4
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -7.5-7.5Q4: +6.4+6.4
EsgueiraOliveirense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galomar
#12
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A21/12
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A04/01
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A11/01
LPB
Ovarense
#7
L
36-54
36
54
-18
H19/01
Taca de Portugal
CD Povoa
#10
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H25/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A02/02
LPB
Vitoria
#9
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H15/02
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H22/02
LPB
Ovarense
#3
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A01/03
Taca da Liga
Benfica
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A07/03
LPB
81.8Avg total
41.3Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.240.579.7-1.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.341.080.3-1.747%-
Last 30 away (15)39.140.179.1-1.053%-
Last 10 (10)41.340.581.8+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)40.839.880.6+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)37.642.179.7-4.533%-
vs Similar (12)41.039.180.1+1.967%-
vs Weaker (2)42.031.073.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OliveirenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#10
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H29/12
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A04/01
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A11/01
LPB
Sangalhos
#14
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A18/01
Taca de Portugal
Benfica
#1
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H25/01
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H31/01
LPB
Galomar
#7
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H02/02
Taca da Liga
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A09/02
Taca de Portugal
Imortal
#7
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A15/02
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H08/03
LPB
81.0Avg total
41.7Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.939.879.7+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.237.677.9+2.657%-
Last 30 away (16)39.641.881.4-2.144%-
Last 10 (10)41.739.381.0+2.470%-
Last 5 (5)40.639.480.0+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.645.677.2-14.00%-
vs Similar (6)38.735.774.3+3.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)42.239.982.2+2.356%-
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Esgueiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.318.9
46.9%
51.2%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.4
31.9%
32.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws21.715.7
72.4%
69.2%15.7
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oliveirensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oliveirense: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.217.8
55.3%
51.2%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.3
35.6%
32.7%30.9
🏀 Free throws20.816.4
78.8%
69.2%16.4
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Esgueira
LLWLLWLLWL
Oliveirense
LLWWWLWWLW
#8
League position
#4
-12.6
Net rating
+10.7
100.2
Offensive rating
112.5
112.8
Defensive rating
101.8
47.3%
Effective FG%
54.4%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
14.6%
Turnover %
19.8%
20.3%
Off. rebound %
35.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.34
31.9%
3-point %
35.6%
64.1%
Assist %
72.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.2 · 112.5Defence112.8 · 101.8Shooting47.3% · 54.4%3-point %31.9% · 35.6%Ball care14.6% · 19.8%Off. rebounds20.3% · 35.3%Free throws0.33 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Esgueira   ■ Oliveirense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Esgueira wins
9
Oliveirense wins
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/25ABenfica65-100
01/03/25AOvarense68-94
22/02/25HCA Queluz82-81
15/02/25HVitoria73-86
02/02/25ASporting CP87-93 OT
25/01/25HCD Povoa93-80
19/01/25HOvarense81-92
11/01/25AGalitos Barreiro86-101
04/01/25AOvarense89-81 OT
21/12/24AGalomar73-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25HFC Porto78-86
15/02/25AImortal78-83
09/02/25AGalitos Barreiro79-71
02/02/25HGalomar89-61
31/01/25HGalomar82-80
25/01/25HBenfica83-95
18/01/25ASangalhos95-71
11/01/25AVitoria92-74
04/01/25ASporting CP69-82
29/12/24HCD Povoa92-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Esgueira
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL44%
HomeLWWLW57%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %44%57%33%
Points / game82.284.180.7
Allowed / game87.584.789.7
Point differential-5.3-0.6-9.0
Avg total169.7168.9170.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %19%0%33%
Oliveirense
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL56%
HomeWWLWL75%
AwayLWLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %56%75%38%
Points / game85.986.485.4
Allowed / game80.075.884.2
Point differential+5.9+10.6+1.1
Avg total165.9162.1169.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica1716194%90.776.2+14.5
2 FC Porto1614288%88.778.4+10.2
3 Sporting CP1711665%85.178.7+6.4
4 Ovarense1610662%80.278.6+1.6
5 Oliveirense169756%85.980.0+5.9
6 Galitos Barreiro179853%77.977.6+0.4
7 Esgueira167944%82.287.5-5.3
8 Imortal1771041%78.785.5-6.8
9 Vitoria1661038%81.083.5-2.5
10 CD Povoa1741324%73.981.1-7.2
11 CA Queluz1741324%82.390.3-8.0
12 Galomar1621412%73.282.2-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Esgueira2020201878
Oliveirense920221566
← all games of the day
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