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Benfica vs Esgueira Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 100-65
32-16 15-21 25-16 28-12
Position#1
Record14-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game76.3
Benfica 🏆
Portugal
vs
Position#8
Record7-8
FormWLLWL
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game86.7
PortugalLPBRound 16· Pavilhão Fidelidade
Other2024-25
Meetings · Benfica v Esgueira
07 Nov 2026
BEN v ESGU
upcoming
03 Jan 2026
BEN81
ESGU72
07 Mar 2025
BEN100
ESGU65
18 Dec 2024
BEN v ESGU
upcoming
14 Feb 2024
BEN77
ESGU53
07 Oct 2023
BEN110
ESGU70
30 Nov 2022
BEN95
ESGU82
09 Dec 2020
BEN78
ESGU73
11 Apr 2020
BEN v ESGU
upcoming
05 Jan 2019
BEN112
ESGU66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Benfica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Esgueira winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BenficaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#3
W
81-64
81
64
+17
74avg 82
H29/12
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
89-69
89
69
+20
83avg 82
A04/01
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
80-66
80
66
+14
83avg 82
H12/01
LPB
Portimonense
#16
W
104-55
104
55
+49
107avg 82
A19/01
Taca de Portugal
Oliveirense
#4
W
95-83
95
83
+12
93avg 82
A25/01
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
86-76
86
76
+10
82avg 82
H02/02
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
96-90
96
90
+6
89avg 82
A05/02
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#5
W
95-90
95
90
+5
82avg 82
A08/02
Taca de Portugal
FC Porto
#2
L
89-103
89
103
-14
77avg 82
A15/02
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
85-68
85
68
+17
71avg 82
H01/03
Taca da Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
19-13
24-12
16-17
21-18
20-14
30-17
18-20
21-15
24-18
17-14
18-19
15-14
34-16
32-10
23-15
30-20
22-21
23-15
20-27
26-13
24-18
19-18
17-27
24-23
28-19
21-22
23-26
26-21
20-27
17-20
32-22
23-21
25-27
21-20
20-35
22-15
28-16
18-22
17-15
166.4Avg total
90.0Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)89.876.3166.1+13.593%
Season at home (7)88.772.6161.3+16.1100%
Season away (8)90.879.5170.2+11.288%
Last 10 (10)90.076.4166.4+13.690%
Last 5 (5)90.285.4175.6+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.584.2159.7-8.733%
vs Similar (3)83.087.0170.0-4.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)88.675.8164.4+12.895%
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsgueira
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#2
L
88-96 OT
88
96
-8
78avg 70
H17/12
Taca da Liga
Galomar
#12
L
73-84
73
84
-11
57avg 70
A21/12
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
89-81 OT
89
81
+8
76avg 70
A04/01
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
86-101
86
101
-15
75avg 70
A11/01
LPB
Ovarense
#7
L
81-92
81
92
-11
81avg 70
H19/01
Taca de Portugal
CD Povoa
#10
W
93-80
93
80
+13
83avg 70
H25/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
87-93 OT
87
93
-6
76avg 70
A02/02
LPB
Vitoria
#9
L
73-86
73
86
-13
45avg 70
H15/02
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
W
82-81
82
81
+1
77avg 70
H22/02
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
68-94
68
94
-26
53avg 70
A01/03
Taca da Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
28-20
17-23
16-19
22-25
23-19
15-22
13-18
15-8
24-21
18-19
10-19
18-20
24-35
18-20
26-26
23-27
13-27
26-16
19-22
19-12
28-12
23-34
23-22
18-15
21-14
25-27
15-23
17-22
25-23
19-19
12-22
26-24
19-14
22-22
15-21
24-24
17-16
13-21
14-33
170.8Avg total
82.0Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)83.386.7170.0-3.347%
Season at home (7)84.184.7168.9-0.657%
Season away (8)82.688.4171.0-5.838%
Last 10 (10)82.088.8170.8-6.830%
Last 5 (5)80.686.8167.4-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)75.087.7162.7-12.727%
vs Similar (12)82.783.8166.5-1.258%
vs Weaker (2)85.071.5156.5+13.550%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -6.2-6.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -6.2-6.2
BenficaEsgueira
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#3
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H29/12
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A04/01
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H12/01
LPB
Portimonense
#16
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A19/01
Taca de Portugal
Oliveirense
#4
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A25/01
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H02/02
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A05/02
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#5
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A08/02
Taca de Portugal
FC Porto
#2
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A15/02
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H01/03
Taca da Liga
84.5Avg total
47.4Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.638.181.7+5.667%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.835.380.1+9.580%-
Last 30 away (15)42.540.983.3+1.653%-
Last 10 (10)47.437.184.5+10.380%-
Last 5 (5)49.240.089.2+9.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.840.383.2+2.567%-
vs Similar (3)41.345.386.7-4.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.936.280.2+7.774%-
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#2
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H17/12
Taca da Liga
Galomar
#12
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A21/12
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A04/01
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A11/01
LPB
Ovarense
#7
L
36-54
36
54
-18
H19/01
Taca de Portugal
CD Povoa
#10
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H25/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A02/02
LPB
Vitoria
#9
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H15/02
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H22/02
LPB
Ovarense
#3
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A01/03
Taca da Liga
81.9Avg total
42.3Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.340.279.5-1.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.340.880.1-1.550%-
Last 30 away (14)39.239.678.8-0.457%-
Last 10 (10)42.339.681.9+2.770%-
Last 5 (5)42.835.278.0+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)37.741.579.2-3.740%-
vs Similar (12)41.039.180.1+1.967%-
vs Weaker (2)42.031.073.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.9
53.2%
51.2%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.011.1
33.6%
32.7%33.3
🏀 Free throws21.115.4
73.0%
69.2%15.4
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Esgueiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.519.2
48.6%
51.2%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.58.9
32.4%
32.7%26.7
🏀 Free throws22.216.1
72.5%
69.2%16.1
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Benfica
WLWWWWWWWW
Esgueira
LWLLWLLWLL
#1
League position
#8
+11.3
Net rating
-8.7
112.4
Offensive rating
103.4
101.1
Defensive rating
112.0
51.9%
Effective FG%
48.6%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
15.0%
Turnover %
14.8%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
22.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.6%
3-point %
32.4%
67.3%
Assist %
62.6%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence112.4 · 103.4Defence101.1 · 112.0Shooting51.9% · 48.6%3-point %33.6% · 32.4%Ball care15.0% · 14.8%Off. rebounds31.3% · 22.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)90% · 30%
■ Benfica   ■ Esgueira
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Benfica wins
0
Esgueira wins
DateGameScore
09/11/24Esgueira v Benfica85-93
14/02/24Benfica v Esgueira77-53
03/02/24Esgueira v Benfica64-100
07/10/23Benfica v Esgueira110-70
18/02/23Esgueira v Benfica61-93
30/11/22Benfica v Esgueira95-82
13/03/21Esgueira v Benfica77-92
09/12/20Benfica v Esgueira78-73
21/12/19Esgueira v Benfica76-84
05/01/19Benfica v Esgueira112-66
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25HVitoria85-68
15/02/25AFC Porto89-103
08/02/25AVitoria95-90
05/02/25AGalitos Barreiro96-90
02/02/25HImortal86-76
25/01/25AOliveirense95-83
19/01/25APortimonense104-55
12/01/25HGalomar80-66
04/01/25AVitoria89-69
29/12/24HSporting CP81-64
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25AOvarense68-94
22/02/25HCA Queluz82-81
15/02/25HVitoria73-86
02/02/25ASporting CP87-93 OT
25/01/25HCD Povoa93-80
19/01/25HOvarense81-92
11/01/25AGalitos Barreiro86-101
04/01/25AOvarense89-81 OT
21/12/24AGalomar73-84
17/12/24HOliveirense88-96 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Benfica
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL93%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %93%100%88%
Points / game89.888.790.8
Allowed / game76.372.679.5
Point differential+13.5+16.1+11.2
Avg total166.1161.3170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%86%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Esgueira
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW47%
HomeLWWLW57%
AwayLLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %47%57%38%
Points / game83.384.182.6
Allowed / game86.784.788.4
Point differential-3.3-0.6-5.8
Avg total170.0168.9171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %20%0%38%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica1514193%89.876.3+13.5
2 FC Porto1412286%88.878.1+10.6
3 Sporting CP1510567%84.778.0+6.7
4 Ovarense149564%79.477.3+2.1
5 Oliveirense159660%86.479.6+6.8
6 Galitos Barreiro157847%77.977.9-0.1
7 Esgueira157847%83.386.7-3.3
8 Imortal156940%77.485.5-8.1
9 Vitoria145936%79.784.1-4.4
10 CA Queluz1541127%82.489.1-6.7
11 CD Povoa1531220%73.281.8-8.6
12 Galomar1421214%72.881.3-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Benfica32152528100
Esgueira1621161265
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