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Braga vs Santo Andre Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 57-72
16-13 11-15 22-20 8-24
Position#8
Record12-6
FormLWLWL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game73.9
Braga
Portugal
vs
Santo Andre 🏆
Portugal
Position#10
Record9-8
FormWWLLW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game80.6
PortugalProliga· Sports Pavilion Lamacaes
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Braga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Santo Andre winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BragaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBraga
Date
Competition
Maia
#3
L
81-86
81
86
-5
72avg 72
H16/12
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
61-51
61
51
+10
55avg 72
A06/01
Proliga
Sampaense
#16
W
90-72
90
72
+18
82avg 72
A13/01
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
W
78-65
78
65
+13
79avg 72
H20/01
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
W
89-75
89
75
+14
78avg 72
A27/01
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
L
60-61
60
61
-1
no box
H04/02
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
W
89-64
89
64
+25
no box
H10/02
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
L
79-87
79
87
-8
63avg 72
A18/02
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
W
92-75
92
75
+17
91avg 72
H25/02
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
81-97
81
97
-16
66avg 72
A02/03
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-38
20-16
21-18
30-14
20-12
13-14
17-10
11-15
19-14
29-13
25-28
17-17
16-18
23-12
22-17
17-18
24-22
20-26
22-11
23-16
15-9
6-20
20-13
19-19
24-19
29-15
19-11
17-19
18-25
22-24
17-16
22-22
30-19
17-24
27-15
18-17
22-28
22-21
15-23
22-25
153.3Avg total
80.0Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)80.673.9154.5+6.767%
Season at home (9)83.471.3154.8+12.178%
Season away (9)77.876.4154.2+1.356%
Last 10 (10)80.073.3153.3+6.760%
Last 5 (5)80.276.8157.0+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)92.075.0167.0+17.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (11)78.273.9152.1+4.364%
vs Weaker (6)83.273.7156.8+9.567%
This opponent (Santo Andre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Santo AndrePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAndre
Date
Competition
CA Queluz
#1
L
98-101
98
101
-3
88avg 73
A08/12
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
L
80-89
80
89
-9
75avg 73
H16/12
Proliga
Imortal B
#12
W
69-59
69
59
+10
65avg 73
H06/01
Proliga
Barreirense
#7
W
99-76
99
76
+23
92avg 73
A13/01
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#13
W
73-65
73
65
+8
64avg 73
H20/01
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#15
W
92-77
92
77
+15
83avg 73
A27/01
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
W
71-69
71
69
+2
68avg 73
H04/02
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
L
66-69
66
69
-3
56avg 73
H17/02
Proliga
Maia
#3
L
82-89 OT
82
89
-7
no box
H02/03
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
W
97-82
97
82
+15
89avg 73
A06/03
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-28
18-27
23-19
26-27
17-23
22-22
23-20
18-24
16-15
14-18
23-10
16-16
23-22
29-16
27-16
20-22
13-16
15-14
16-24
29-11
24-16
22-25
17-17
29-19
22-20
19-16
17-16
13-17
7-14
20-20
19-22
20-13
29-22
16-20
18-14
19-26
28-25
21-22
22-16
26-19
160.3Avg total
82.7Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)82.980.6163.5+2.353%
Season at home (9)75.978.4154.3-2.644%
Season away (8)90.883.0173.8+7.862%
Last 10 (10)82.777.6160.3+5.160%
Last 5 (5)81.677.2158.8+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.687.1168.8-5.538%
vs Similar ◀ (10)82.079.0161.0+3.060%
vs Weaker (12)82.675.8158.4+6.867%
This opponent (Braga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +2.2+2.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +2.2+2.2
BragaSanto Andre
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BragaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maia
#3
L
30-54
30
54
-24
H16/12
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A06/01
Proliga
Sampaense
#16
W
48-27
48
27
+21
A13/01
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H20/01
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A27/01
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
L
21-29
21
29
-8
H04/02
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H10/02
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A18/02
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H25/02
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A02/03
Proliga
78.8Avg total
39.9Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)38.539.477.8-0.940%-
Last 30 at home (10)37.339.777.0-2.440%-
Last 30 away (10)39.639.078.6+0.640%-
Last 10 (10)39.938.978.8+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.040.881.8+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)47.043.090.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.138.077.1+1.127%-
vs Weaker (6)39.337.376.7+2.067%-
This opponent (Santo Andre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Santo AndreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CA Queluz
#1
L
49-55
49
55
-6
A08/12
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H16/12
Proliga
Imortal B
#12
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H06/01
Proliga
Barreirense
#7
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A13/01
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#13
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H20/01
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#15
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A27/01
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H04/02
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H17/02
Proliga
Maia
#3
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H02/03
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A06/03
Proliga
80.7Avg total
40.6Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.239.882.0+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.137.376.4+1.753%-
Last 30 away (15)45.342.387.6+3.160%-
Last 10 (10)40.640.180.7+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)41.640.081.6+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)42.045.087.0-3.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.640.783.3+1.960%-
vs Weaker (12)42.035.677.6+6.475%-
This opponent (Braga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bragatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Braga: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.121.6
52.6%
50.4%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.98.9
33.1%
31.2%26.7
🏀 Free throws16.010.3
64.4%
69.3%10.3
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Santo Andretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Santo Andre: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.7
53.2%
50.4%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.2
32.7%
31.2%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.714.9
75.6%
69.3%14.9
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Braga
LWLWLWWWWL
Santo Andre
WLLWWWWWLL
#8
League position
#10
+6.7
Net rating
+7.5
107.3
Offensive rating
103.9
100.6
Defensive rating
96.4
51.4%
Effective FG%
51.5%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
45.8%
17.9%
Turnover %
17.2%
34.5%
Off. rebound %
23.3%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.1%
3-point %
32.7%
51.1%
Assist %
54.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.3 · 103.9Defence100.6 · 96.4Shooting51.4% · 51.5%3-point %33.1% · 32.7%Ball care17.9% · 17.2%Off. rebounds34.5% · 23.3%Free throws0.24 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Braga   ■ Santo Andre
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Braga wins
0
Santo Andre wins
No previous meetings.
Bragalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24AGalitos Barreiro81-97
25/02/24HCA Queluz92-75
18/02/24ACAB Madeira79-87
10/02/24HIlliabum89-64
04/02/24HIlliabum60-61
27/01/24AVasco Da Gama89-75
20/01/24HGalitos Aveiro78-65
13/01/24ASampaense90-72
06/01/24AAcademica61-51
16/12/23HMaia81-86
Santo Andrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/24ASangalhos97-82
02/03/24HMaia82-89 OT
17/02/24HIlliabum66-69
04/02/24HGalitos Barreiro71-69
27/01/24AGinasio Olhanense92-77
20/01/24HBenfica Lisboa B73-65
13/01/24ABarreirense99-76
06/01/24HImortal B69-59
16/12/23HCAB Madeira80-89
08/12/23ACA Queluz98-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Braga
Proliga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL67%
HomeLWLWW78%
AwayWWWLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %67%78%56%
Points / game80.683.477.8
Allowed / game73.971.376.4
Point differential+6.7+12.1+1.3
Avg total154.5154.8154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Santo Andre
Proliga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW53%
HomeWWWLL44%
AwayLLWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %53%44%62%
Points / game82.975.990.8
Allowed / game80.678.483.0
Point differential+2.3-2.6+7.8
Avg total163.5154.3173.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%11%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CA Queluz1714382%84.978.0+6.9
2 Galitos Barreiro1814478%83.476.9+6.6
3 Maia1713476%78.175.3+2.8
4 Braga1812667%80.673.9+6.7
5 Illiabum1912763%77.172.5+4.6
6 Sangalhos1710759%76.273.2+3.0
7 Barreirense1710759%78.579.0-0.5
8 CAB Madeira179853%82.978.8+4.2
9 Santo Andre179853%82.980.6+2.3
10 Vasco Da Gama179853%86.284.6+1.5
11 Galitos Aveiro178947%78.576.7+1.8
12 Benfica Lisboa B1761135%73.478.1-4.7
13 Imortal B1741324%74.480.4-6.1
14 Ginasio Olhanense1841422%76.983.1-6.1
15 Academica1731418%64.276.6-12.4
16 Sampaense1821611%73.784.6-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Braga161122857
Santo Andre1315202472
← all games of the day
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