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Sampaense vs Braga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 72-90
14-19 13-29 28-25 17-17
Position#16
Record1-9
FormLLLWL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game88.7
vs
Braga 🏆
Portugal
Position#8
Record7-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game73.4
PortugalProligaRound 11· Pavilhao Comendador Serafim Marques
Other2023-24
Meetings · Sampaense v Braga
05 Oct 2024
SAMP65
BRAG81
13 Jan 2024
SAMP72
BRAG90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sampaense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Braga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SampaensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSampaense
Date
Competition
Vasco Da Gama
#5
L
90-107
90
107
-17
69avg 65
A14/10
Proliga
Academica
#14
L
84-100
84
100
-16
79avg 65
H21/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
L
63-84
63
84
-21
49avg 65
H28/10
Proliga
Braga
#8
L
86-95
86
95
-9
72avg 65
A04/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
L
63-88
63
88
-25
53avg 65
H18/11
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
L
70-80
70
80
-10
68avg 65
A25/11
Proliga
Maia
#3
L
77-89
77
89
-12
64avg 65
H02/12
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
L
90-95 OT
90
95
-5
no box
H08/12
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
87-61
87
61
+26
86avg 65
A16/12
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
L
57-88
57
88
-31
48avg 65
A06/01
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-29
23-12
23-39
24-27
20-26
30-30
15-27
19-17
22-21
7-20
24-27
10-16
26-25
25-20
19-28
16-22
20-28
19-19
13-20
11-21
25-18
14-21
20-21
11-20
22-19
23-15
17-28
15-27
23-17
19-22
16-23
25-21
20-14
17-15
26-15
24-17
12-24
17-19
20-14
8-31
165.4Avg total
76.7Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)76.788.7165.4-12.010%
Season at home (5)75.491.2166.6-15.80%
Season away (5)78.086.2164.2-8.220%
Last 10 (10)76.788.7165.4-12.010%
Last 5 (5)76.282.6158.8-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)71.888.8160.6-17.10%
vs Similar (12)87.484.5171.9+2.958%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BragaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBraga
Date
Competition
Maia
#3
L
80-82
80
82
-2
67avg 70
A21/10
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
92-65
92
65
+27
83avg 70
H28/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#16
W
95-86
95
86
+9
88avg 70
H04/11
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
W
90-87
90
87
+3
79avg 70
A18/11
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
W
97-84
97
84
+13
93avg 70
H25/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
L
63-74
63
74
-11
55avg 70
A03/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
W
67-63
67
63
+4
55avg 70
A08/12
Proliga
FC Porto
#1
L
72-86
72
86
-14
58avg 70
A10/12
Taca de Portugal
Maia
#3
L
81-86
81
86
-5
72avg 70
H16/12
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
61-51
61
51
+10
55avg 70
A06/01
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
25-19
20-16
21-30
29-8
12-22
27-23
24-12
25-26
20-25
28-19
22-16
26-14
21-20
24-26
19-27
24-26
25-24
25-13
23-21
15-20
21-16
19-20
8-18
16-16
19-21
10-15
22-11
15-32
15-16
16-16
26-22
10-38
20-16
21-18
30-14
20-12
13-14
17-10
11-15
156.2Avg total
79.8Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)79.373.4152.7+5.970%
Season at home (5)86.475.4161.8+11.080%
Season away (5)72.271.4143.6+0.860%
Last 10 (10)79.876.4156.2+3.460%
Last 5 (5)68.872.0140.8-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)76.872.8149.6+4.080%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)81.874.0155.8+7.860%
This opponent (Sampaense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -5.6-5.6Q4: +2.0+2.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -5.6-5.6Q4: +2.0+2.0
SampaenseBraga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SampaenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco Da Gama
#5
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A14/10
Proliga
Academica
#14
L
50-56
50
56
-6
H21/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H28/10
Proliga
Braga
#8
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A04/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H18/11
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A25/11
Proliga
Maia
#3
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H02/12
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H08/12
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A16/12
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A06/01
Proliga
81.8Avg total
40.4Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.942.782.5-2.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.944.183.9-4.233%-
Last 30 away (15)39.941.381.1-1.447%-
Last 10 (10)40.441.481.8-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)38.436.875.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)37.141.278.3-4.139%-
vs Similar (12)44.044.988.9-0.942%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BragaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maia
#3
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A21/10
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H28/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#16
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H04/11
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A18/11
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H25/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A03/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A08/12
Proliga
FC Porto
#1
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A10/12
Taca de Portugal
Maia
#3
L
30-54
30
54
-24
H16/12
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A06/01
Proliga
78.7Avg total
38.5Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (12)36.139.875.9-3.833%-
Last 30 at home (6)35.543.579.0-8.017%-
Last 30 away (6)36.736.272.8+0.550%-
Last 10 (10)38.540.278.7-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)32.840.273.0-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)37.835.873.6+2.020%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)37.639.477.0-1.860%-
This opponent (Sampaense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sampaensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sampaense: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.0
53.1%
50.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.7
31.9%
31.2%23.0
🏀 Free throws15.711.7
74.5%
69.3%11.7
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bragatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Braga: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.019.6
49.0%
50.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.2
32.9%
31.2%27.6
🏀 Free throws18.811.8
62.8%
69.3%11.8
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 13 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sampaense
LWLLLLLLLL
Braga
WLLWLWWWWL
#16
League position
#8
-16.6
Net rating
+3.9
97.7
Offensive rating
101.6
114.3
Defensive rating
97.7
51.1%
Effective FG%
49.1%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
47.1%
21.3%
Turnover %
19.9%
24.1%
Off. rebound %
33.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.28
31.9%
3-point %
32.9%
49.4%
Assist %
49.3%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence97.7 · 101.6Defence114.3 · 97.7Shooting51.1% · 49.1%3-point %31.9% · 32.9%Ball care21.3% · 19.9%Off. rebounds24.1% · 33.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Sampaense   ■ Braga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sampaense wins
1
Braga wins
DateGameScore
04/11/23Braga v Sampaense95-86
Sampaenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24AIlliabum57-88
16/12/23AAcademica87-61
08/12/23HVasco Da Gama90-95 OT
02/12/23HMaia77-89
25/11/23AGalitos Aveiro70-80
18/11/23HSangalhos63-88
04/11/23ABraga86-95
28/10/23HIlliabum63-84
21/10/23HAcademica84-100
14/10/23AVasco Da Gama90-107
Bragalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24AAcademica61-51
16/12/23HMaia81-86
10/12/23AFC Porto72-86
08/12/23ASangalhos67-63
03/12/23AIlliabum63-74
25/11/23HVasco Da Gama97-84
18/11/23AGalitos Aveiro90-87
04/11/23HSampaense95-86
28/10/23HAcademica92-65
21/10/23AMaia80-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sampaense
Proliga 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL10%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %10%0%20%
Points / game76.775.478.0
Allowed / game88.791.286.2
Point differential-12.0-15.8-8.2
Avg total165.4166.6164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %10%20%0%
Braga
Proliga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW70%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%80%60%
Points / game79.386.472.2
Allowed / game73.475.471.4
Point differential+5.9+11.0+0.8
Avg total152.7161.8143.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%60%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CA Queluz11110100%86.575.6+10.8
2 Maia109190%79.174.3+4.8
3 Illiabum108280%81.169.9+11.2
4 Braga107370%79.373.4+5.9
5 Galitos Barreiro107370%79.476.9+2.5
6 CAB Madeira106460%82.578.1+4.4
7 Vasco Da Gama106460%86.183.0+3.1
8 Barreirense106460%78.177.0+1.1
9 Sangalhos105550%75.772.8+2.9
10 Santo Andre104640%82.984.3-1.4
11 Galitos Aveiro103730%74.477.7-3.3
12 Benfica Lisboa B113827%72.779.4-6.6
13 Ginasio Olhanense102820%76.681.2-4.6
14 Imortal B102820%70.777.3-6.6
15 Sampaense101910%76.788.7-12.0
16 Academica101910%64.677.2-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sampaense1413281772
Braga1929251790
← all games of the day
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