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Braga vs Galitos Aveiro Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 21:15
Final 78-65
16-18 23-12 22-17 17-18
Position#8
Record8-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game73.3
Braga 🏆
Portugal
vs
Position#11
Record4-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game76.5
PortugalProligaRound 12· Arena SC Braga
Other2023-24
Meetings · Braga v Galitos Aveiro
16 Nov 2024
BRAG79
GALI51
20 Jan 2024
BRAG78
GALI65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Braga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Galitos Aveiro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BragaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBraga
Date
Competition
Academica
#14
W
92-65
92
65
+27
83avg 71
H28/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#16
W
95-86
95
86
+9
88avg 71
H04/11
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
W
90-87
90
87
+3
79avg 71
A18/11
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
W
97-84
97
84
+13
93avg 71
H25/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
L
63-74
63
74
-11
55avg 71
A03/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
W
67-63
67
63
+4
55avg 71
A08/12
Proliga
FC Porto
#1
L
72-86
72
86
-14
58avg 71
A10/12
Taca de Portugal
Maia
#3
L
81-86
81
86
-5
72avg 71
H16/12
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
61-51
61
51
+10
55avg 71
A06/01
Proliga
Sampaense
#16
W
90-72
90
72
+18
82avg 71
A13/01
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-8
12-22
27-23
24-12
25-26
20-25
28-19
22-16
26-14
21-20
24-26
19-27
24-26
25-24
25-13
23-21
15-20
21-16
19-20
8-18
16-16
19-21
10-15
22-11
15-32
15-16
16-16
26-22
10-38
20-16
21-18
30-14
20-12
13-14
17-10
11-15
19-14
29-13
25-28
17-17
156.2Avg total
80.8Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)80.373.3153.5+7.073%
Season at home (5)86.475.4161.8+11.080%
Season away (6)75.271.5146.7+3.767%
Last 10 (10)80.875.4156.2+5.470%
Last 5 (5)74.271.6145.8+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)76.872.8149.6+4.080%
vs Weaker (6)83.273.7156.8+9.567%
This opponent (Galitos Aveiro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Galitos AveiroPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAveiro
Date
Competition
Sangalhos
#6
L
65-70
65
70
-5
50avg 66
A21/10
Proliga
Maia
#3
L
81-92
81
92
-11
67avg 66
H28/10
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
59-48
59
48
+11
51avg 66
A04/11
Proliga
Braga
#8
L
87-90
87
90
-3
81avg 66
H18/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#16
W
80-70
80
70
+10
73avg 66
H25/11
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
L
84-86
84
86
-2
67avg 66
A02/12
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
L
60-79
60
79
-19
47avg 66
A09/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
L
68-81
68
81
-13
57avg 66
H16/12
Proliga
Maia
#3
L
72-76
72
76
-4
62avg 66
A06/01
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
89-64
89
64
+25
88avg 66
H13/01
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-15
19-17
14-25
21-13
22-24
18-26
24-20
17-22
14-6
12-19
18-15
15-8
14-26
20-21
26-24
27-19
18-25
21-14
21-20
20-11
17-19
10-27
30-20
27-20
18-26
15-18
12-26
15-9
19-20
17-19
21-27
11-15
17-22
22-17
16-26
17-11
28-20
27-15
13-21
21-8
150.1Avg total
74.5Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)75.776.5152.2-0.736%
Season at home (6)82.280.3162.5+1.850%
Season away (5)68.071.8139.8-3.820%
Last 10 (10)74.575.6150.1-1.130%
Last 5 (5)74.677.2151.8-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)68.778.4147.1-9.714%
vs Similar ◀ (17)76.979.6156.5-2.835%
vs Weaker (6)79.766.7146.3+13.0100%
This opponent (Braga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +5.5+5.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +5.5+5.5
BragaGalitos Aveiro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BragaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Academica
#14
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H28/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#16
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H04/11
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A18/11
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H25/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A03/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A08/12
Proliga
FC Porto
#1
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A10/12
Taca de Portugal
Maia
#3
L
30-54
30
54
-24
H16/12
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A06/01
Proliga
Sampaense
#16
W
48-27
48
27
+21
A13/01
Proliga
78.7Avg total
39.4Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (13)37.038.875.8-1.838%-
Last 30 at home (6)35.543.579.0-8.017%-
Last 30 away (7)38.334.973.1+3.457%-
Last 10 (10)39.439.378.7+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)35.238.473.6-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)37.835.873.6+2.020%-
vs Weaker (6)39.337.376.7+2.067%-
This opponent (Galitos Aveiro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Galitos AveiroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sangalhos
#6
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A21/10
Proliga
Maia
#3
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H28/10
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
26-25
26
25
+1
A04/11
Proliga
Braga
#8
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H18/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#16
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H25/11
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
L
27-46
27
46
-19
A02/12
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A09/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H16/12
Proliga
Maia
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A06/01
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H13/01
Proliga
75.5Avg total
35.9Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.839.776.6-2.933%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.940.778.7-2.840%-
Last 30 away (15)35.738.774.5-3.027%-
Last 10 (10)35.939.675.5-3.720%-
Last 5 (5)38.040.678.6-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.139.671.7-7.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)36.941.878.7-4.824%-
vs Weaker (6)42.034.276.2+7.867%-
This opponent (Braga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bragatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Braga: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.220.4
49.5%
50.4%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.8
33.2%
31.2%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.612.4
63.3%
69.3%12.4
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Galitos Aveirotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Galitos Aveiro: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.719.1
49.4%
50.4%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.97.7
27.6%
31.2%23.1
🏀 Free throws16.112.4
77.0%
69.3%12.4
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Braga
WWLLWLWWWW
Galitos Aveiro
WLLLLWLWLL
#8
League position
#11
+6.6
Net rating
-1.6
104.3
Offensive rating
96.6
97.8
Defensive rating
98.1
49.6%
Effective FG%
46.0%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
19.5%
Turnover %
19.2%
35.8%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.24
33.2%
3-point %
27.6%
47.3%
Assist %
64.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence104.3 · 96.6Defence97.8 · 98.1Shooting49.6% · 46.0%3-point %33.2% · 27.6%Ball care19.5% · 19.2%Off. rebounds35.8% · 28.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Braga   ■ Galitos Aveiro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Braga wins
0
Galitos Aveiro wins
DateGameScore
18/11/23Galitos Aveiro v Braga87-90
Bragalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24ASampaense90-72
06/01/24AAcademica61-51
16/12/23HMaia81-86
10/12/23AFC Porto72-86
08/12/23ASangalhos67-63
03/12/23AIlliabum63-74
25/11/23HVasco Da Gama97-84
18/11/23AGalitos Aveiro90-87
04/11/23HSampaense95-86
28/10/23HAcademica92-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24HAcademica89-64
06/01/24AMaia72-76
16/12/23HSangalhos68-81
09/12/23AIlliabum60-79
02/12/23AVasco Da Gama84-86
25/11/23HSampaense80-70
18/11/23HBraga87-90
04/11/23AAcademica59-48
28/10/23HMaia81-92
21/10/23ASangalhos65-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Braga
Proliga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW73%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%80%67%
Points / game80.386.475.2
Allowed / game73.375.471.5
Point differential+7.0+11.0+3.7
Avg total153.5161.8146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%60%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Galitos Aveiro
Proliga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW36%
HomeLLWLW50%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %36%50%20%
Points / game75.782.268.0
Allowed / game76.580.371.8
Point differential-0.7+1.8-3.8
Avg total152.2162.5139.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CA Queluz12120100%87.875.6+12.2
2 Maia1210283%78.575.4+3.1
3 Illiabum129375%80.870.5+10.2
4 Galitos Barreiro129375%81.177.7+3.4
5 Braga118373%80.373.3+7.0
6 CAB Madeira127558%83.979.7+4.2
7 Sangalhos127558%75.672.4+3.2
8 Vasco Da Gama116555%85.082.5+2.5
9 Barreirense116555%77.979.0-1.1
10 Santo Andre126650%83.482.0+1.4
11 Galitos Aveiro114736%75.776.5-0.7
12 Benfica Lisboa B123925%72.178.8-6.8
13 Imortal B112918%71.578.7-7.3
14 Ginasio Olhanense1221017%76.283.2-6.9
15 Academica111109%64.578.3-13.7
16 Sampaense121118%75.887.8-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Braga1623221778
Galitos Aveiro1812171865
← all games of the day
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