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Braga vs Maia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 81-86
10-38 20-16 21-18 30-14
Position#8
Record6-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game74.6
Braga
Portugal
vs
Maia 🏆
Portugal
Position#3
Record7-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game73.8
PortugalProligaRound 9· Arena SC Braga
Other2023-24
Meetings · Braga v Maia
12 Oct 2024
BRAG94
MAIA75
16 Dec 2023
BRAG81
MAIA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Braga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Maia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BragaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBraga
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#3
L
56-108
56
108
-52
no box
H10/12
Taca de Portugal
Sangalhos
#6
W
67-56
67
56
+11
66avg 71
H14/10
Proliga
Maia
#3
L
80-82
80
82
-2
67avg 71
A21/10
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
92-65
92
65
+27
83avg 71
H28/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#16
W
95-86
95
86
+9
88avg 71
H04/11
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
W
90-87
90
87
+3
79avg 71
A18/11
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
W
97-84
97
84
+13
93avg 71
H25/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
L
63-74
63
74
-11
55avg 71
A03/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
W
67-63
67
63
+4
55avg 71
A08/12
Proliga
FC Porto
#1
L
72-86
72
86
-14
58avg 71
A10/12
Taca de Portugal
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-31
10-23
14-24
16-30
15-12
7-10
26-18
19-16
14-17
25-19
20-16
21-30
29-8
12-22
27-23
24-12
25-26
20-25
28-19
22-16
26-14
21-20
24-26
19-27
24-26
25-24
25-13
23-21
15-20
21-16
19-20
8-18
16-16
19-21
10-15
22-11
15-32
15-16
16-16
26-22
157.0Avg total
77.9Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.474.6156.0+6.875%
Season at home (4)87.872.8160.5+15.0100%
Season away (4)75.076.5151.5-1.550%
Last 10 (10)77.979.1157.0-1.260%
Last 5 (5)77.878.8156.6-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)76.872.8149.6+4.080%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)89.077.7166.7+11.367%
This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaia
Date
Competition
Belenenses
#13
W
117-107
117
107
+10
no box
A08/04
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
68-64
68
64
+4
56avg 67
A14/10
Proliga
Braga
#8
W
82-80
82
80
+2
67avg 67
H21/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
W
92-81
92
81
+11
88avg 67
A28/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
L
67-85
67
85
-18
47avg 67
A05/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
W
81-63
81
63
+18
75avg 67
A18/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
W
75-71
75
71
+4
67avg 67
H25/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#16
W
89-77
89
77
+12
63avg 67
A02/12
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
75-69
75
69
+6
70avg 67
H07/12
Proliga
Lusitania
#10
W
82-76
82
76
+6
70avg 67
A09/12
Taca de Portugal
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-28
33-30
33-32
23-17
15-21
18-11
24-19
11-13
17-14
19-25
16-20
30-21
24-22
26-18
20-24
22-17
13-22
19-24
14-18
21-21
22-11
15-20
21-15
23-17
23-16
17-28
16-14
19-13
19-22
15-23
28-17
27-15
23-12
13-19
16-13
23-25
16-22
18-14
26-22
22-18
160.1Avg total
82.8Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.673.8152.4+4.988%
Season at home (3)77.373.3150.7+4.0100%
Season away (5)79.474.0153.4+5.480%
Last 10 (10)82.877.3160.1+5.590%
Last 5 (5)80.471.2151.6+9.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)75.477.4152.8-2.040%
vs Similar (11)78.679.2157.8-0.564%
vs Weaker (13)85.880.6166.5+5.269%
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +4.4+4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +4.4+4.4
BragaMaia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BragaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#3
L
26-54
26
54
-28
H10/12
Taca de Portugal
Sangalhos
#6
D
22-22
22
22
+0
H14/10
Proliga
Maia
#3
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A21/10
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H28/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#16
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H04/11
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A18/11
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H25/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A03/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A08/12
Proliga
FC Porto
#1
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A10/12
Taca de Portugal
76.8Avg total
37.0Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (10)37.039.876.8-2.830%-
Last 30 at home (5)36.641.478.0-4.820%-
Last 30 away (5)37.438.275.6-0.840%-
Last 10 (10)37.039.876.8-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)39.441.080.4-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)37.835.873.6+2.020%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)41.739.080.7+2.767%-
This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belenenses
#13
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A08/04
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A14/10
Proliga
Braga
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H21/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A28/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A05/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A18/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H25/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#16
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A02/12
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H07/12
Proliga
Lusitania
#10
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A09/12
Taca de Portugal
79.5Avg total
39.3Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.539.278.7+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.337.577.8+2.854%-
Last 30 away (17)38.840.579.4-1.753%-
Last 10 (10)39.340.279.5-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)36.237.473.6-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)35.038.273.2-3.220%-
vs Similar (11)39.339.678.9-0.455%-
vs Weaker (13)41.839.581.2+2.369%-
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bragatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Braga: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.9 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.718.4
46.5%
50.4%36.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.1
35.7%
31.2%30.3
🏀 Free throws18.112.0
66.3%
69.3%12.0
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Maiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maia: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.920.9
49.9%
50.4%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.4
30.0%
31.2%22.3
🏀 Free throws20.213.8
68.1%
69.3%13.8
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/9 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Braga
LWLWWWWLWL
Maia
WWWWWLWWWW
#8
League position
#3
+5.1
Net rating
+5.4
101.8
Offensive rating
102.0
96.6
Defensive rating
96.6
49.4%
Effective FG%
48.1%
45.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
20.6%
Turnover %
20.2%
33.6%
Off. rebound %
36.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.7%
3-point %
30.0%
51.8%
Assist %
40.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence101.8 · 102.0Defence96.6 · 96.6Shooting49.4% · 48.1%3-point %35.7% · 30.0%Ball care20.6% · 20.2%Off. rebounds33.6% · 36.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Braga   ■ Maia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Braga wins
1
Maia wins
DateGameScore
21/10/23Maia v Braga82-80
Bragalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23AFC Porto72-86
08/12/23ASangalhos67-63
03/12/23AIlliabum63-74
25/11/23HVasco Da Gama97-84
18/11/23AGalitos Aveiro90-87
04/11/23HSampaense95-86
28/10/23HAcademica92-65
21/10/23AMaia80-82
14/10/23HSangalhos67-56
10/12/22HSporting CP56-108
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23ALusitania82-76
07/12/23HAcademica75-69
02/12/23ASampaense89-77
25/11/23HSangalhos75-71
18/11/23AIlliabum81-63
05/11/23AVasco Da Gama67-85
28/10/23AGalitos Aveiro92-81
21/10/23HBraga82-80
14/10/23AAcademica68-64
08/04/23ABelenenses117-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Braga
Proliga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game81.487.875.0
Allowed / game74.672.876.5
Point differential+6.8+15.0-1.5
Avg total156.0160.5151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Maia
Proliga 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW88%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %88%100%80%
Points / game78.677.379.4
Allowed / game73.873.374.0
Point differential+4.9+4.0+5.4
Avg total152.4150.7153.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%0%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CA Queluz880100%87.874.4+13.4
2 Maia87188%78.673.8+4.9
3 Illiabum86275%78.669.2+9.4
4 Braga86275%81.474.6+6.8
5 Vasco Da Gama86275%85.880.6+5.1
6 Barreirense96367%78.176.2+1.9
7 Galitos Barreiro96367%78.777.1+1.6
8 CAB Madeira95456%83.278.6+4.7
9 Sangalhos83538%73.171.6+1.5
10 Galitos Aveiro83538%75.577.5-2.0
11 Santo Andre93633%84.487.1-2.7
12 Ginasio Olhanense82625%78.281.0-2.8
13 Imortal B82625%70.677.5-6.9
14 Benfica Lisboa B82625%70.180.0-9.9
15 Sampaense91811%78.988.8-9.9
16 Academica91811%66.179.0-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Braga1020213081
Maia3816181486
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