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Brasilia vs Cruzeiro Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 79-65
23-13 25-15 18-18 13-19
Position#5
Record5-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game70.1
vs
Position#14
Record2-6
FormWLWLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game85.8
BrazilNBB· Arena BRB Nilson Nelson
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brasilia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cruzeiro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#13
L
54-69
54
69
-15
33avg 71
H28/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
86-81
86
81
+5
75avg 71
H30/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
77-78 OT
77
78
-1
64avg 71
A03/05
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
77-74
77
74
+3
73avg 71
H22/10
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
109-57
109
57
+52
110avg 71
H25/10
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
71-54
71
54
+17
66avg 71
H30/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
67-69
67
69
-2
56avg 71
H01/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
96-64
96
64
+32
104avg 71
A05/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
88-95 OT
88
95
-7
79avg 71
A07/11
NBB
Minas
#3
W
80-78
80
78
+2
74avg 71
H10/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-24
9-17
12-9
20-19
19-22
20-21
20-16
27-22
19-14
18-12
11-16
14-20
19-24
26-14
16-18
16-18
31-21
22-14
27-12
29-10
20-13
20-18
14-14
17-9
18-26
14-9
16-18
19-16
26-16
24-23
24-19
22-6
25-22
16-13
16-19
22-25
20-19
21-20
14-22
25-17
152.4Avg total
80.5Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.070.1154.1+13.971%
Season at home (5)80.866.4147.2+14.480%
Season away (2)92.079.5171.5+12.550%
Last 10 (10)80.571.9152.4+8.660%
Last 5 (5)80.472.0152.4+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.783.7161.3-6.033%
vs Similar (18)73.675.2148.8-1.739%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)87.873.6161.4+14.175%
This opponent (Cruzeiro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CruzeiroBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCruzeiro
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#9
L
62-85
62
85
-23
47avg 68
H18/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
65-81
65
81
-16
59avg 68
H21/10
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
84-103
84
103
-19
81avg 68
H25/10
NBB
Pato
#17
W
71-69
71
69
+2
68avg 68
A29/10
NBB
Minas
#3
L
76-84
76
84
-8
68avg 68
H01/11
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
76-75
76
75
+1
73avg 68
H03/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
81-90
81
90
-9
76avg 68
H06/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
77-99
77
99
-22
72avg 68
A12/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
10-25
15-16
19-27
11-23
14-21
23-17
17-20
20-20
26-26
13-29
25-28
20-18
25-16
12-13
14-22
14-23
23-15
17-30
22-16
23-30
18-17
25-16
10-12
20-19
11-26
23-24
27-21
17-24
11-26
32-27
17-22
159.8Avg total
74.0Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)74.085.8159.8-11.825%
Season at home (6)74.086.3160.3-12.317%
Season away (2)74.084.0158.0-10.050%
Last 10 (8)74.085.8159.8-11.825%
Last 5 (5)76.283.4159.6-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)74.086.3160.3-12.317%
vs Similar (2)74.084.0158.0-10.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brasilia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: -2.1-2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: -2.1-2.1
BrasiliaCruzeiro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#13
L
22-41
22
41
-19
H28/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H30/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A03/05
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H22/10
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H25/10
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H30/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H01/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A05/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A07/11
NBB
Minas
#3
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H10/11
NBB
76.2Avg total
40.0Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.438.177.6+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.738.177.8+1.656%-
Last 30 away (12)39.038.277.2+0.850%-
Last 10 (10)40.036.276.2+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)40.835.876.6+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.044.381.3-7.333%-
vs Similar (18)37.238.075.2-0.839%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)44.836.080.8+8.888%-
This opponent (Cruzeiro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CruzeiroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#9
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H18/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
25-44
25
44
-19
H21/10
NBB
Mogi
#8
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H25/10
NBB
Pato
#17
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A29/10
NBB
Minas
#3
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H01/11
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H03/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H06/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
28-50
28
50
-22
A12/11
NBB
78.4Avg total
35.1Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (8)35.143.278.4-8.112%-
Last 30 at home (6)34.743.778.3-9.00%-
Last 30 away (2)36.542.078.5-5.550%-
Last 10 (8)35.143.278.4-8.112%-
Last 5 (5)36.442.879.2-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)34.743.778.3-9.00%-
vs Similar (2)36.542.078.5-5.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brasilia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.115.6
51.8%
52.2%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.310.8
29.8%
32.5%32.4
🏀 Free throws21.116.6
78.7%
72.8%16.6
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 55% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cruzeirotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cruzeiro: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.018.6
45.4%
52.2%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.56.8
30.0%
32.5%20.2
🏀 Free throws21.416.4
76.6%
72.8%16.4
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/8 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brasilia
WLWLWWWLWL
Cruzeiro
LLWLWLLL
#5
League position
#14
+12.3
Net rating
-13.5
104.2
Offensive rating
93.5
91.9
Defensive rating
107.0
47.9%
Effective FG%
45.3%
46.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
17.1%
Turnover %
20.1%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
24.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.34
29.8%
3-point %
30.0%
71.2%
Assist %
70.9%
60%
Form (last 10/8)
25%

Profile

Offence104.2 · 93.5Defence91.9 · 107.0Shooting47.9% · 45.3%3-point %29.8% · 30.0%Ball care17.1% · 20.1%Off. rebounds28.1% · 24.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.34Form (last 10/8)60% · 25%
■ Brasilia   ■ Cruzeiro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Brasilia wins
0
Cruzeiro wins
No previous meetings.
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/25HMinas80-78
07/11/25AUniao Corinthians88-95 OT
05/11/25ACaxias do Sul96-64
01/11/25HPinheiros67-69
30/10/25HPaulistano71-54
25/10/25HRio Claro109-57
22/10/25HOsasco77-74
03/05/25ASao Paulo77-78 OT
30/04/25HSao Paulo86-81
28/04/25HSao Paulo54-69
Cruzeirolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/25ARio Claro77-99
06/11/25HFranca81-90
03/11/25HBauru76-75
01/11/25HMinas76-84
29/10/25APato71-69
25/10/25HMogi84-103
21/10/25HCorinthians Paulista65-81
18/10/25HSao Jose62-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brasilia
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW71%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %71%80%50%
Points / game84.080.892.0
Allowed / game70.166.479.5
Point differential+13.9+14.4+12.5
Avg total154.1147.2171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%40%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %14%0%50%
Cruzeiro
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 6 Losses (last 8)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL25%
HomeLLLWL17%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %25%17%50%
Points / game74.074.074.0
Allowed / game85.886.384.0
Point differential-11.8-12.3-10.0
Avg total159.8160.3158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo990100%91.071.9+19.1
2 Minas87188%85.276.6+8.6
3 Mogi86275%82.066.0+16.0
4 Corinthians Paulista86275%86.476.4+10.0
5 Pinheiros86275%82.574.9+7.6
6 Brasilia75271%84.070.1+13.9
7 Franca96367%83.973.8+10.1
8 Paulistano85362%79.072.9+6.1
9 Unifacisa74357%77.077.7-0.7
10 Bauru84450%71.272.9-1.6
11 Caxias do Sul63350%70.778.0-7.3
12 Sao Jose73443%73.773.9-0.1
13 Uniao Corinthians73443%76.185.1-9.0
14 Cearense72529%79.086.4-7.4
15 Cruzeiro82625%74.085.8-11.8
16 Osasco82625%74.987.5-12.6
17 Pato92722%71.979.2-7.3
18 Botafogo92722%70.682.0-11.4
19 Rio Claro92722%78.192.0-13.9
20 Vasco8080%67.177.1-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brasilia2325181379
Cruzeiro1315181965
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