Brasilia vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	93.0	65.5	158.5	+27.5	100%
Season at home (2)	93.0	65.5	158.5	+27.5	100%
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	76.9	76.1	153.0	+0.8	30%
Last 5 (5)	80.6	71.8	152.4	+8.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	79.2	85.2	164.5	-6.0	25%
vs Similar ◀ (19)	76.9	79.6	156.6	-2.7	37%
vs Weaker (6)	86.3	71.7	158.0	+14.7	83%

This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Paulistano Brazil

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPaulistano

Date

Competition

Minas

66-76

-10

50avg 69

H14/04

NBB

Brasilia

81-69

+12

82avg 69

H17/04

NBB

Bauru

93-77

+16

90avg 69

H22/04

NBB

Bauru

63-81

-18

57avg 69

A25/04

NBB

Bauru

62-60

52avg 69

A27/04

NBB

Bauru

54-84

-30

47avg 69

H30/04

NBB

Bauru

80-85 OT

-5

65avg 69

A03/05

NBB

Bauru

#10

66-59

63avg 69

H20/10

NBB

Franca

69-71

-2

51avg 69

H24/10

NBB

Rio Claro

#15

87-89

-2

77avg 69

A28/10

NBB

17-13

21-23

13-21

15-19

27-13

21-18

15-27

18-11

27-27

21-16

25-18

20-16

12-18

18-20

16-21

17-22

21-16

10-21

14-13

17-10

12-23

14-20

12-21

16-20

28-25

8-15

14-17

19-12

13-13

17-19

21-16

15-11

18-21

20-19

18-13

13-18

32-21

20-18

10-26

25-24

147.2Avg total

72.1Scored

75.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	74.0	73.0	147.0	+1.0	33%
Season at home (2)	67.5	65.0	132.5	+2.5	50%
Season away (1)	87.0	89.0	176.0	-2.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	72.1	75.1	147.2	-3.0	40%
Last 5 (5)	71.2	77.6	148.8	-6.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	73.5	79.3	152.8	-5.8	17%
vs Similar ◀ (18)	75.9	75.6	151.6	+0.3	56%
vs Weaker (6)	84.8	79.0	163.8	+5.8	50%

This opponent (Brasilia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BrasiliaPaulistano

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	21.0	40.9	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	20.3	20.9	41.3	-0.6	39%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.2	21.1	40.2	-1.9	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	20.6	38.8	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	21.0	41.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.5	20.8	42.2	+0.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	18.3	21.1	39.4	-2.8	26%	-
vs Weaker (6)	23.0	21.3	44.3	+1.7	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	18.3	38.5	+1.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	18.2	37.5	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	18.3	39.4	+2.7	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	19.0	39.7	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.6	41.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.5	21.0	40.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	20.4	17.8	38.2	+2.6	67%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.3	17.0	37.3	+3.3	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.0	38.9	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	20.7	20.1	40.7	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.8	17.4	36.2	+1.4	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	18.4	37.5	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	15.6	34.6	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.0	22.8	38.8	-6.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	20.2	19.6	39.8	+0.6	37%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.5	14.3	35.8	+7.2	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	19.8	38.8	-0.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	20.7	39.9	-1.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	18.9	37.7	-0.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	18.9	35.9	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	18.2	34.0	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.3	19.7	41.0	+1.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	17.9	20.1	38.1	-2.2	28%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.8	33%	-

BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vasco

40-40

H05/04

NBB

Flamengo

27-43

-16

H08/04

NBB

Paulistano

#12

31-48

-17

A17/04

NBB

Sao Paulo

#13

48-43

A19/04

NBB

Sao Paulo

#13

31-33

-2

A24/04

NBB

Sao Paulo

#13

22-41

-19

H28/04

NBB

Sao Paulo

#13

39-43

-4

H30/04

NBB

Sao Paulo

#13

37-26

+11

A03/05

NBB

Osasco

#18

45-38

H22/10

NBB

Rio Claro

#15

53-35

+18

H25/10

NBB

76.3Avg total

37.3Scored

39.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	40.0	79.8	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	41.0	41.0	82.0	+0.0	44%	-
Last 30 away (12)	38.0	38.5	76.5	-0.5	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.3	39.0	76.3	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	36.6	75.8	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	37.5	43.5	81.0	-6.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	38.5	40.7	79.2	-2.2	32%	-
vs Weaker (6)	44.5	35.7	80.2	+8.8	83%	-

This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Minas

38-36

H14/04

NBB

Brasilia

48-31

+17

H17/04

NBB

Bauru

48-43

H22/04

NBB

Bauru

30-38

-8

A25/04

NBB

Bauru

31-37

-6

A27/04

NBB

Bauru

26-43

-17

H30/04

NBB

Bauru

36-40

-4

A03/05

NBB

Bauru

#10

30-32

-2

H20/10

NBB

Franca

38-40

-2

H24/10

NBB

Rio Claro

#15

52-39

+13

A28/10

NBB

75.6Avg total

37.7Scored

37.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	38.1	77.3	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.6	38.9	77.5	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.8	37.3	77.1	+2.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	37.9	75.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	38.8	75.2	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	40.8	40.7	81.5	+0.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	38.3	37.9	76.2	+0.4	39%	-
vs Weaker (6)	40.2	36.0	76.2	+4.2	67%	-

This opponent (Brasilia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.1	38.5	+0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	20.2	17.9	38.1	+2.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.2	20.8	39.0	-2.7	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	17.5	36.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	14.2	31.4	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.2	21.5	38.8	-4.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	19.5	18.7	38.2	+0.7	63%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.3	19.2	39.5	+1.2	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	19.4	37.4	-1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	18.7	37.3	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.4	20.1	37.5	-2.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.8	19.3	35.1	-3.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	18.6	33.6	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.0	20.5	36.5	-4.5	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	18.3	19.5	37.8	-1.2	44%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.2	17.8	37.0	+1.3	83%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.0	38.7	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	21.3	18.4	39.7	+2.8	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	17.4	19.8	37.2	-2.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	18.0	37.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	17.8	39.0	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	24.5	20.2	44.8	+4.2	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	18.2	19.4	37.5	-1.2	42%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.5	16.8	38.3	+4.7	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	18.1	36.8	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	18.3	37.6	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	17.9	36.1	+0.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	16.3	33.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	17.0	34.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	15.2	17.0	32.2	-1.8	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	18.7	17.3	36.0	+1.3	56%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.5	21.5	44.0	+1.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	38.1	77.2	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	41.4	36.4	77.8	+5.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (12)	35.6	40.7	76.2	-5.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	35.5	73.6	+2.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	32.0	70.4	+6.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	41.8	41.8	83.5	+0.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	37.6	38.1	75.7	-0.5	58%	-
vs Weaker (6)	41.8	36.0	77.8	+5.8	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.8	37.5	74.2	-0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.0	36.9	74.9	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.5	38.0	73.5	-2.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.3	35.6	68.9	-2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.6	35.6	68.2	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	31.2	37.5	68.7	-6.3	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	37.0	36.8	73.8	+0.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (6)	41.7	39.3	81.0	+2.3	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 76.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀38%

🏀🏀🏀43%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers29.2 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 43% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game

47%

35%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	29.4	14.6	49.7%	52.2%	29.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	35.6	11.0	30.9%	32.5%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	18.2	14.2	78.0%	72.8%	14.2

They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 55% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 71.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game

47%

35%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	17.3	46.8%	52.2%	34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	8.0	30.8%	32.5%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	17.1	12.7	74.3%	72.8%	12.7

They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	30.9	15.9	51.5%	52.2%	31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.2	9.1	33.5%	32.5%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	22.0	16.0	72.7%	72.8%	16.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.7	18.2	54.0%	52.2%	36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.6	8.2	32.0%	32.5%	24.6
🏀 Free throws	18.0	13.3	73.9%	72.8%	13.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	30.8	15.8	51.1%	52.2%	31.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	33.1	11.0	33.2%	32.5%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	18.2	14.2	77.7%	72.8%	14.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	18.6	47.4%	52.2%	37.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.8	8.3	33.6%	32.5%	25.0
🏀 Free throws	18.8	14.2	75.4%	72.8%	14.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.6	17.9	51.8%	52.2%	35.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.5	9.0	32.8%	32.5%	27.1
🏀 Free throws	20.2	14.7	72.7%	72.8%	14.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.3	19.0	52.4%	52.2%	38.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.1	7.8	32.2%	32.5%	23.3
🏀 Free throws	19.8	14.9	75.1%	72.8%	14.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Brasilia

WWLWLLLLLL

Paulistano

LLWLLWLWWL

League position

+1.8

Net rating

-4.2

103.5

Offensive rating

100.7

101.8

Defensive rating

105.0

47.8%

Effective FG%

46.5%

50.9%

Opp. effective FG%

51.4%

17.9%

Turnover %

18.9%

30.1%

Off. rebound %

33.5%

0.28

Free-throw rate

0.27

30.9%

3-point %

30.8%

60.9%

Assist %

60.5%

30%

Form (last 10/10)

40%

Profile

■ Brasilia ■ Paulistano

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Brasilia wins

Paulistano wins

Date	Game	Score
17/04/25	Paulistano v Brasilia	81-69
18/12/24	Brasilia v Paulistano	87-102
31/03/24	Paulistano v Brasilia	95-50
16/12/23	Brasilia v Paulistano	69-91
13/04/23	Paulistano v Brasilia	113-71
15/12/22	Brasilia v Paulistano	72-82
04/04/22	Brasilia v Paulistano	60-78
03/12/21	Paulistano v Brasilia	75-77 OT
05/04/21	Paulistano v Brasilia	70-66
14/11/20	Brasilia v Paulistano	57-73

Brasilialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/10/25	H	Rio Claro	109-57
22/10/25	H	Osasco	77-74
03/05/25	A	Sao Paulo	77-78 OT
30/04/25	H	Sao Paulo	86-81
28/04/25	H	Sao Paulo	54-69
24/04/25	A	Sao Paulo	62-66
19/04/25	A	Sao Paulo	79-88
17/04/25	A	Paulistano	69-81
08/04/25	H	Flamengo	79-88
05/04/25	H	Vasco	77-79

Paulistanolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/10/25	A	Rio Claro	87-89
24/10/25	H	Franca	69-71
20/10/25	H	Bauru	66-59
03/05/25	A	Bauru	80-85 OT
30/04/25	H	Bauru	54-84
27/04/25	A	Bauru	62-60
25/04/25	A	Bauru	63-81
22/04/25	H	Bauru	93-77
17/04/25	H	Brasilia	81-69
14/04/25	H	Minas	66-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brasilia

NBB 2025-26

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WW	100%
Home	WW	100%
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	2	-
Win %	100%	100%	-
Points / game	93.0	93.0	-
Allowed / game	65.5	65.5	-
Point differential	+27.5	+27.5	-
Avg total	158.5	158.5	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	50%	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	-

Paulistano

NBB 2025-26

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLL	33%
Home	WL	50%
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	2	1
Win %	33%	50%	0%
Points / game	74.0	67.5	87.0
Allowed / game	73.0	65.0	89.0
Point differential	+1.0	+2.5	-2.0
Avg total	147.0	132.5	176.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Brasilia	2	2	0	100%	93.0	65.5	+27.5
2	Flamengo	4	4	0	100%	93.0	75.2	+17.8
3	Minas	4	4	0	100%	81.5	78.2	+3.2
4	Franca	5	4	1	80%	86.4	70.0	+16.4
5	Mogi	3	2	1	67%	87.0	69.3	+17.7
6	Corinthians Paulista	3	2	1	67%	81.0	70.7	+10.3
7	Pinheiros	3	2	1	67%	80.0	77.7	+2.3
8	Unifacisa	3	2	1	67%	79.7	77.3	+2.3
9	Caxias do Sul	3	2	1	67%	69.7	70.3	-0.7
10	Cearense	3	2	1	67%	81.7	86.7	-5.0
11	Sao Jose	4	2	2	50%	76.0	73.8	+2.2
12	Bauru	6	3	3	50%	70.3	72.7	-2.3
13	Paulistano	3	1	2	33%	74.0	73.0	+1.0
14	Uniao Corinthians	3	1	2	33%	73.7	81.3	-7.7
15	Botafogo	4	1	3	25%	70.5	83.0	-12.5
16	Rio Claro	4	1	3	25%	83.8	97.0	-13.2
17	Cruzeiro	4	1	3	25%	70.5	84.5	-14.0
18	Osasco	4	1	3	25%	76.8	91.8	-15.0
19	Pato	4	0	4	0%	73.8	77.2	-3.5
20	Vasco	5	0	5	0%	71.0	79.8	-8.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Brasilia	20	20	14	17	71
Paulistano	13	18	14	9	54

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Brasilia vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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