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Koshigaya Alphas vs Brave Thunders Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 76-65
18-21 24-10 14-19 20-15
Position#19
Record4-8
FormWLWLL
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game75.2
vs
Position#25
Record2-10
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game86.2
JapanB League· Koshigaya City Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Koshigaya Alphas v Brave Thunders
26 Apr 2026
KOSH89
BRAV79
25 Apr 2026
KOSH90
BRAV84
05 Nov 2025
KOSH76
BRAV65
08 Dec 2024
KOSH100
BRAV74
07 Dec 2024
KOSH101
BRAV77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Koshigaya Alphas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brave Thunders winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlphas
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#22
L
63-77
63
77
-14
49avg 70
H11/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
L
64-75
64
75
-11
54avg 70
H12/10
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
72-70
72
70
+2
66avg 70
A15/10
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
64-62
64
62
+2
57avg 70
H18/10
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
67-73
67
73
-6
65avg 70
H19/10
B League
Saga
#12
W
94-78
94
78
+16
99avg 70
A25/10
B League
Saga
#12
L
73-76
73
76
-3
63avg 70
A26/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
78-66
78
66
+12
76avg 70
A29/10
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
65-68
65
68
-3
62avg 70
H01/11
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
59-77
59
77
-18
45avg 70
H02/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
8-20
22-20
12-16
16-22
23-11
8-23
17-19
14-18
17-14
22-20
19-18
17-15
16-9
19-20
12-18
14-25
25-25
11-10
17-13
25-17
26-23
20-20
23-18
19-20
29-22
16-23
9-11
15-27
23-20
23-7
17-12
20-11
18-22
18-24
9-11
20-21
8-15
14-19
17-22
142.1Avg total
69.9Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)69.575.2144.7-5.733%
Season at home (8)64.676.5141.1-11.912%
Season away (4)79.272.5151.8+6.875%
Last 10 (10)69.972.2142.1-2.340%
Last 5 (5)73.873.0146.8+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)67.979.5147.4-11.617%
vs Similar ◀ (10)69.173.3142.4-4.250%
vs Weaker (2)76.081.5157.5-5.550%
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brave ThundersJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunders
Date
Competition
Toyama
#24
W
100-65
100
65
+35
98avg 74
A11/10
B League
Toyama
#24
L
78-88
78
88
-10
69avg 74
A12/10
B League
Sendai
#11
L
68-69
68
69
-1
56avg 74
H15/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
72-86
72
86
-14
65avg 74
H18/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
73-90
73
90
-17
66avg 74
H19/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
63-82
63
82
-19
52avg 74
A25/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
63-79
63
79
-16
60avg 74
A26/10
B League
Gunma
#5
W
83-79
83
79
+4
87avg 74
A29/10
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
71-93
71
93
-22
64avg 74
H01/11
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
79-99
79
99
-20
73avg 74
H02/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-12
22-26
27-17
25-10
27-20
18-22
16-30
17-16
17-13
15-20
21-17
15-19
7-24
22-21
26-19
17-22
21-18
19-29
16-28
17-15
13-22
17-25
12-19
21-16
15-13
22-22
12-28
14-16
17-27
22-23
18-16
26-13
19-18
8-31
19-25
25-19
19-25
24-29
21-19
15-26
158.0Avg total
75.0Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)76.886.2163.0-9.517%
Season at home (7)76.391.7168.0-15.40%
Season away (5)77.478.6156.0-1.240%
Last 10 (10)75.083.0158.0-8.020%
Last 5 (5)71.886.4158.2-14.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)78.187.9166.0-9.719%
vs Similar ◀ (3)92.082.0174.0+10.067%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +2.0+2.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +2.0+2.0
Koshigaya AlphasBrave Thunders
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#22
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H11/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H12/10
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A15/10
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H18/10
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H19/10
B League
Saga
#12
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A25/10
B League
Saga
#12
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A26/10
B League
Toyama
#24
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A29/10
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H01/11
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H02/11
B League
75.2Avg total
37.4Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.639.073.6-4.437%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.137.671.8-3.547%-
Last 30 away (13)35.240.876.1-5.623%-
Last 10 (10)37.437.875.2-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)40.639.680.2+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)34.739.474.1-4.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)33.138.871.9-5.740%-
vs Weaker (2)41.037.078.0+4.050%-
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brave ThundersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toyama
#24
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A11/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A12/10
B League
Sendai
#11
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H15/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H18/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H19/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A25/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A26/10
B League
Gunma
#5
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A29/10
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
27-49
27
49
-22
H01/11
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H02/11
B League
81.0Avg total
37.0Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.542.783.2-2.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.843.182.9-3.331%-
Last 30 away (14)41.242.283.4-1.057%-
Last 10 (10)37.044.081.0-7.030%-
Last 5 (5)35.247.082.2-11.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)40.043.383.3-3.337%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)44.737.782.3+7.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 69.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.914.5
46.9%
53.1%29.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.1
34.6%
33.7%30.3
🏀 Free throws14.010.0
71.4%
73.1%10.0
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brave Thunderstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brave Thunders: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.419.8
51.6%
53.1%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.07.7
30.8%
33.7%23.1
🏀 Free throws17.011.7
68.8%
73.1%11.7
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Koshigaya Alphas
LLWLWLWWLL
Brave Thunders
LLWLLLLLLW
#19
League position
#25
-2.6
Net rating
-9.9
96.2
Offensive rating
97.0
98.8
Defensive rating
106.9
49.3%
Effective FG%
49.4%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
21.0%
Turnover %
22.3%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.6%
3-point %
30.8%
68.7%
Assist %
71.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence96.2 · 97.0Defence98.8 · 106.9Shooting49.3% · 49.4%3-point %34.6% · 30.8%Ball care21.0% · 22.3%Off. rebounds26.7% · 30.1%Free throws0.23 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Koshigaya Alphas   ■ Brave Thunders
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Koshigaya Alphas wins
0
Brave Thunders wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/25HRyukyu59-77
01/11/25HRyukyu65-68
29/10/25AToyama78-66
26/10/25ASaga73-76
25/10/25ASaga94-78
19/10/25HKyoto67-73
18/10/25HKyoto64-62
15/10/25AYokohama72-70
12/10/25HAltiri Chiba64-75
11/10/25HAltiri Chiba63-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/25HNagasaki79-99
01/11/25HNagasaki71-93
29/10/25AGunma83-79
26/10/25ANeoPhoenix63-79
25/10/25ANeoPhoenix63-82
19/10/25HDiamond Dolphins73-90
18/10/25HDiamond Dolphins72-86
15/10/25HSendai68-69
12/10/25AToyama78-88
11/10/25AToyama100-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Koshigaya Alphas
B League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL33%
HomeLWLLL12%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %33%12%75%
Points / game69.564.679.2
Allowed / game75.276.572.5
Point differential-5.7-11.9+6.8
Avg total144.7141.1151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brave Thunders
B League 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL17%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %17%0%40%
Points / game76.876.377.4
Allowed / game86.291.778.6
Point differential-9.5-15.4-1.2
Avg total163.0168.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki1211192%92.274.4+17.8
2 Diamond Dolphins1211192%84.969.9+15.0
3 Chiba1211192%83.871.6+12.2
4 Utsunomiya Brex1210283%85.876.6+9.2
5 Shimane129375%83.178.2+4.8
6 Hokkaido128467%83.781.9+1.8
7 Ryukyu127558%81.775.5+6.2
8 SeaHorses Mikawa127558%84.080.0+4.0
9 Hiroshima D.127558%88.785.4+3.2
10 Alvark127558%78.577.3+1.2
11 Sendai127558%80.379.3+1.0
12 Shiga127558%79.579.1+0.4
13 NeoPhoenix126650%80.577.4+3.1
14 Gunma126650%81.278.8+2.3
15 Osaka125742%80.681.7-1.1
16 Saga125742%80.484.8-4.3
17 Yokohama124833%77.983.2-5.3
18 Koshigaya Alphas124833%69.575.2-5.7
19 Altiri Chiba124833%78.585.3-6.8
20 Toyama124833%80.888.3-7.6
21 Sun Rockers Shibuya124833%73.382.8-9.4
22 Nagoya Fighting Eagles123925%79.885.7-5.9
23 Kyoto123925%72.880.2-7.4
24 Ibaraki Robots1221017%74.781.5-6.8
25 Brave Thunders1221017%76.886.2-9.5
26 Akita1221017%72.084.3-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Koshigaya Alphas1824142076
Brave Thunders2110191565
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