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Brave Thunders vs Shinshu Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 75-59
24-11 12-15 18-21 21-12
Position#10
Record9-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game75.8
vs
Position#23
Record4-7
FormLLLWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game84.4
JapanB League· Kawasaki Todoroki Arena (Kawasaki)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Brave Thunders v Shinshu
08 Nov 2023
BRAV75
SHIN59
28 Dec 2022
BRAV87
SHIN78
05 Mar 2022
BRAV99
SHIN75
04 Mar 2022
BRAV77
SHIN84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brave Thunders winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shinshu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brave ThundersJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunders
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#3
W
84-71
84
71
+13
81avg 75
H08/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
87-85
87
85
+2
75avg 75
A14/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
93-82
93
82
+11
90avg 75
A15/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
87-70
87
70
+17
83avg 75
H20/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
72-58
72
58
+14
67avg 75
H21/10
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
87-66
87
66
+21
78avg 75
A25/10
B League
Osaka
#18
W
79-74
79
74
+5
73avg 75
A28/10
B League
Osaka
#18
L
72-92
72
92
-20
62avg 75
A29/10
B League
Shimane
#12
W
76-69
76
69
+7
74avg 75
A03/11
B League
Shimane
#12
W
85-81
85
81
+4
82avg 75
A04/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
23-10
28-17
12-23
21-16
25-23
19-26
22-20
19-14
27-26
23-15
24-27
24-19
22-18
21-20
20-13
14-10
22-14
16-16
20-18
29-23
21-8
20-27
17-8
16-19
23-15
15-19
25-21
16-29
22-17
18-24
16-22
18-22
19-13
16-14
23-20
20-24
16-25
21-17
28-15
157.0Avg total
82.2Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)81.575.8157.4+5.782%
Season at home (4)79.571.2150.8+8.275%
Season away (7)82.778.4161.1+4.386%
Last 10 (10)82.274.8157.0+7.490%
Last 5 (5)79.876.4156.2+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)79.578.5158.0+1.050%
vs Similar (10)83.079.5162.5+3.580%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)84.878.4163.2+6.372%
This opponent (Shinshu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShinshuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShinshu
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
91-83
91
83
+8
93avg 73
H08/10
B League
Chiba
#9
L
83-97
83
97
-14
79avg 73
A14/10
B League
Chiba
#9
L
85-86
85
86
-1
80avg 73
A15/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
64-72
64
72
-8
55avg 73
H21/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
75-101
75
101
-26
61avg 73
H22/10
B League
Saga
#15
L
74-80
74
80
-6
67avg 73
A25/10
B League
Sendai
#16
L
84-91
84
91
-7
81avg 73
H28/10
B League
Sendai
#16
L
65-81
65
81
-16
56avg 73
H29/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
86-79
86
79
+7
84avg 73
H04/11
B League
Toyama
#24
W
83-79
83
79
+4
76avg 73
H05/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-14
22-18
21-23
21-28
35-25
13-28
18-25
17-19
18-21
28-22
16-24
23-19
8-14
19-23
23-22
14-13
25-21
17-32
18-23
15-25
21-20
15-21
21-21
17-18
15-22
29-24
19-27
21-18
9-25
17-19
20-20
19-17
22-19
16-16
24-14
24-30
23-13
20-23
16-26
24-17
163.9Avg total
79.0Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.584.4163.8-4.936%
Season at home (8)79.083.1162.1-4.150%
Season away (3)80.787.7168.3-7.00%
Last 10 (10)79.084.9163.9-5.930%
Last 5 (5)78.482.0160.4-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)72.784.2156.9-11.60%
vs Similar (13)76.078.3154.3-2.354%
vs Weaker (8)82.170.6152.8+11.588%
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -0.9-0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -0.9-0.9
Brave ThundersShinshu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Brave ThundersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#3
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H08/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A14/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A15/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H20/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H21/10
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A25/10
B League
Osaka
#18
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A28/10
B League
Osaka
#18
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A29/10
B League
Shimane
#12
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A03/11
B League
Shimane
#12
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A04/11
B League
78.4Avg total
41.8Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.338.179.4+3.367%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.237.578.7+3.767%-
Last 30 away (15)41.538.680.1+2.967%-
Last 10 (10)41.836.678.4+5.280%-
Last 5 (5)40.039.079.0+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)45.041.586.5+3.550%-
vs Similar (10)41.939.080.9+2.970%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)40.637.277.8+3.467%-
This opponent (Shinshu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShinshuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H08/10
B League
Chiba
#9
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A14/10
B League
Chiba
#9
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A15/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H21/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H22/10
B League
Saga
#15
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A25/10
B League
Sendai
#16
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H28/10
B League
Sendai
#16
L
26-44
26
44
-18
H29/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H04/11
B League
Toyama
#24
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H05/11
B League
81.9Avg total
39.9Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.937.375.2+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.637.172.7-1.438%-
Last 30 away (14)40.437.678.0+2.964%-
Last 10 (10)39.942.081.9-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)37.440.477.8-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)36.642.779.2-6.122%-
vs Similar (13)39.535.875.2+3.769%-
vs Weaker (8)36.833.870.5+3.050%-
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brave Thunderstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brave Thunders: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.9
52.5%
50.9%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.7
34.5%
33.5%29.1
🏀 Free throws18.614.1
75.8%
72.0%14.1
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shinshutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shinshu: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.315.0
49.5%
50.9%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.211.2
33.7%
33.5%33.6
🏀 Free throws18.914.8
78.3%
72.0%14.8
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brave Thunders
WWLWWWWWWW
Shinshu
WWLLLLLLLW
#10
League position
#23
+9.3
Net rating
-6.8
110.7
Offensive rating
104.6
101.4
Defensive rating
111.4
52.2%
Effective FG%
50.1%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
14.6%
Turnover %
16.8%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.5%
3-point %
33.7%
64.3%
Assist %
75.6%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence110.7 · 104.6Defence101.4 · 111.4Shooting52.2% · 50.1%3-point %34.5% · 33.7%Ball care14.6% · 16.8%Off. rebounds28.0% · 25.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)90% · 30%
■ Brave Thunders   ■ Shinshu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Brave Thunders wins
3
Shinshu wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/23AShimane85-81
03/11/23AShimane76-69
29/10/23AOsaka72-92
28/10/23AOsaka79-74
25/10/23ARyukyu87-66
21/10/23HToyama72-58
20/10/23HToyama87-70
15/10/23ASeaHorses Mikawa93-82
14/10/23ASeaHorses Mikawa87-85
08/10/23HNeoPhoenix84-71
Shinshulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/23HToyama83-79
04/11/23HToyama86-79
29/10/23HSendai65-81
28/10/23HSendai84-91
25/10/23ASaga74-80
22/10/23HDiamond Dolphins75-101
21/10/23HDiamond Dolphins64-72
15/10/23AChiba85-86
14/10/23AChiba83-97
08/10/23HIbaraki Robots91-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brave Thunders
B League 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW82%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWWLWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %82%75%86%
Points / game81.579.582.7
Allowed / game75.871.278.4
Point differential+5.7+8.2+4.3
Avg total157.4150.8161.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%75%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)-100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Shinshu
B League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW36%
HomeLLLWW50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1183
Win %36%50%0%
Points / game79.579.080.7
Allowed / game84.483.187.7
Point differential-4.9-4.1-7.0
Avg total163.8162.1168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %9%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark1110191%81.161.6+19.5
2 NeoPhoenix119282%86.777.4+9.4
3 Osaka119282%86.578.5+7.9
4 Brave Thunders119282%81.575.8+5.7
5 Ryukyu118373%81.576.1+5.4
6 Diamond Dolphins118373%82.677.6+5.0
7 Nagasaki118373%87.783.0+4.7
8 Utsunomiya Brex118373%76.772.8+3.9
9 Shimane117464%79.976.7+3.2
10 SeaHorses Mikawa116555%83.777.9+5.8
11 Chiba116555%85.584.8+0.6
12 Hiroshima D.115645%78.874.4+4.5
13 Sendai115645%81.080.5+0.5
14 Saga115645%71.373.0-1.7
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles115645%71.774.7-3.0
16 Yokohama115645%75.881.4-5.5
17 Gunma115645%76.282.0-5.8
18 Shinshu114736%79.584.4-4.9
19 Hokkaido113827%74.780.1-5.4
20 Akita113827%70.577.7-7.2
21 Sun Rockers Shibuya112918%74.381.8-7.5
22 Ibaraki Robots111109%79.387.3-8.0
23 Kyoto111109%72.383.8-11.5
24 Toyama110110%71.586.9-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brave Thunders2412182175
Shinshu1115211259
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