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Shinshu vs Toyama Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 86-79
22-19 16-16 24-14 24-30
Position#23
Record2-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game85.6
Shinshu 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#24
Record0-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.8
Allowed / game87.4
JapanB League· Kotobuki Arena Chikuma (Chikuma)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Shinshu v Toyama
27 Sep 2026
SHIN99
TOYA81
26 Sep 2026
SHIN85
TOYA99
22 Dec 2024
SHIN96
TOYA89
21 Dec 2024
SHIN92
TOYA96
05 Nov 2023
SHIN83
TOYA79
04 Nov 2023
SHIN86
TOYA79
15 Mar 2023
SHIN80
TOYA66
23 Mar 2022
SHIN78
TOYA71
24 Jan 2021
SHIN80
TOYA89
23 Jan 2021
SHIN86
TOYA68
07 Dec 2014
SHIN99
TOYA90
06 Dec 2014
SHIN87
TOYA72
12 Jan 2014
SHIN94
TOYA89
11 Jan 2014
SHIN82
TOYA94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shinshu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toyama winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShinshuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShinshu
Date
Competition
Niigata
#24
W
94-72
94
72
+22
no box
A07/05
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
84-79 OT
84
79
+5
no box
H07/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
91-83
91
83
+8
93avg 71
H08/10
B League
Chiba
#9
L
83-97
83
97
-14
79avg 71
A14/10
B League
Chiba
#9
L
85-86
85
86
-1
80avg 71
A15/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
64-72
64
72
-8
55avg 71
H21/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
75-101
75
101
-26
61avg 71
H22/10
B League
Saga
#15
L
74-80
74
80
-6
67avg 71
A25/10
B League
Sendai
#16
L
84-91
84
91
-7
81avg 71
H28/10
B League
Sendai
#16
L
65-81
65
81
-16
56avg 71
H29/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-14
18-21
21-21
33-16
21-19
22-20
15-15
17-21
27-14
22-18
21-23
21-28
35-25
13-28
18-25
17-19
18-21
28-22
16-24
23-19
8-14
19-23
23-22
14-13
25-21
17-32
18-23
15-25
21-20
15-21
21-21
17-18
15-22
29-24
19-27
21-18
9-25
17-19
20-20
19-17
164.1Avg total
79.9Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)78.385.6163.9-7.222%
Season at home (6)77.284.5161.7-7.333%
Season away (3)80.787.7168.3-7.00%
Last 10 (10)79.984.2164.1-4.330%
Last 5 (5)72.485.0157.4-12.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)72.784.2156.9-11.60%
vs Similar ◀ (12)74.278.6152.8-4.442%
vs Weaker (9)81.970.1152.0+11.889%
This opponent (Toyama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToyamaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormToyama
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#8
W
84-81
84
81
+3
no box
A07/05
B League
Osaka
#18
L
73-93
73
93
-20
61avg 61
A07/10
B League
Osaka
#18
L
77-86
77
86
-9
69avg 61
A08/10
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
84-96
84
96
-12
82avg 61
H14/10
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
83-94
83
94
-11
80avg 61
H15/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
70-87
70
87
-17
61avg 61
A20/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
58-72
58
72
-14
50avg 61
A21/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
59-90
59
90
-31
38avg 61
H25/10
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
65-84
65
84
-19
57avg 61
A28/10
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
59-85
59
85
-26
49avg 61
A29/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
15-20
23-21
23-23
21-24
16-14
15-30
21-25
18-31
21-15
14-19
24-21
25-25
26-17
15-28
18-26
20-32
21-24
27-16
15-22
19-24
18-22
20-21
13-20
10-14
14-22
16-16
18-20
9-22
13-14
16-30
21-24
18-22
23-18
14-26
10-18
9-21
10-22
21-29
19-13
158.0Avg total
71.2Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)69.887.4157.2-17.70%
Season at home (3)75.393.3168.7-18.00%
Season away (6)67.084.5151.5-17.50%
Last 10 (10)71.286.8158.0-15.610%
Last 5 (5)62.283.6145.8-21.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)77.588.0165.4-10.524%
vs Similar ◀ (5)84.484.0168.4+0.440%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shinshu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -6.0-6.0Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -5.5-5.5Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -3.0-3.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -6.0-6.0Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -5.5-5.5Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -3.0-3.0
ShinshuToyama
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShinshuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Niigata
#24
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A07/05
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H07/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H08/10
B League
Chiba
#9
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A14/10
B League
Chiba
#9
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A15/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H21/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H22/10
B League
Saga
#15
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A25/10
B League
Sendai
#16
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H28/10
B League
Sendai
#16
L
26-44
26
44
-18
H29/10
B League
82.4Avg total
40.1Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.836.874.6+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.636.271.8-0.633%-
Last 30 away (15)40.037.577.5+2.560%-
Last 10 (10)40.142.382.4-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)35.044.279.2-9.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.642.779.2-6.122%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.835.874.7+3.058%-
vs Weaker (9)37.732.370.0+5.356%-
This opponent (Toyama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToyamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#8
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A07/05
B League
Osaka
#18
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A07/10
B League
Osaka
#18
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A08/10
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H14/10
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H15/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A20/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A21/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
22-36
22
36
-14
H25/10
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A28/10
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
19-43
19
43
-24
A29/10
B League
76.9Avg total
34.9Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.641.979.5-4.233%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.843.384.2-2.531%-
Last 30 away (17)35.240.875.9-5.635%-
Last 10 (10)34.942.076.9-7.130%-
Last 5 (5)28.640.268.8-11.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)37.542.279.6-4.732%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)38.440.478.8-2.040%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shinshu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shinshutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shinshu: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.914.2
49.4%
50.9%28.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.511.1
32.2%
33.5%33.4
🏀 Free throws18.815.0
80.0%
72.0%15.0
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toyamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toyama: 68.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀65%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 65% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.9 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.922.1
50.4%
50.9%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.75.4
26.3%
33.5%16.3
🏀 Free throws12.67.9
62.8%
72.0%7.9
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/9 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shinshu
LLLLLLLWWW
Toyama
LLLLLLLLLW
#23
League position
#24
-11.0
Net rating
-24.2
102.4
Offensive rating
90.4
113.4
Defensive rating
114.7
48.8%
Effective FG%
46.9%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
16.8%
Turnover %
19.5%
24.6%
Off. rebound %
23.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.19
32.2%
3-point %
26.3%
75.9%
Assist %
57.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence102.4 · 90.4Defence113.4 · 114.7Shooting48.8% · 46.9%3-point %32.2% · 26.3%Ball care16.8% · 19.5%Off. rebounds24.6% · 23.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)30% · 10%
■ Shinshu   ■ Toyama
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Shinshu wins
4
Toyama wins
DateGameScore
16/04/23Toyama v Shinshu102-96
15/04/23Toyama v Shinshu65-95
15/03/23Shinshu v Toyama80-66
30/11/22Toyama v Shinshu70-61
23/03/22Shinshu v Toyama78-71
15/12/21Toyama v Shinshu92-75
03/10/21Toyama v Shinshu41-55
02/10/21Toyama v Shinshu71-72
24/01/21Shinshu v Toyama80-89
23/01/21Shinshu v Toyama86-68
Shinshulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/23HSendai65-81
28/10/23HSendai84-91
25/10/23ASaga74-80
22/10/23HDiamond Dolphins75-101
21/10/23HDiamond Dolphins64-72
15/10/23AChiba85-86
14/10/23AChiba83-97
08/10/23HIbaraki Robots91-83
07/10/23HIbaraki Robots84-79 OT
07/05/23ANiigata94-72
Toyamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/23ARyukyu59-85
28/10/23ARyukyu65-84
25/10/23HSeaHorses Mikawa59-90
21/10/23ABrave Thunders58-72
20/10/23ABrave Thunders70-87
15/10/23HNagasaki83-94
14/10/23HNagasaki84-96
08/10/23AOsaka77-86
07/10/23AOsaka73-93
07/05/23AYokohama84-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shinshu
B League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL22%
HomeWLLLL33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %22%33%0%
Points / game78.377.280.7
Allowed / game85.684.587.7
Point differential-7.2-7.3-7.0
Avg total163.9161.7168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %11%17%0%
Toyama
B League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game69.875.367.0
Allowed / game87.493.384.5
Point differential-17.7-18.0-17.5
Avg total157.2168.7151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark109190%79.560.6+18.9
2 Osaka98189%88.277.1+11.1
3 NeoPhoenix98189%88.078.1+9.9
4 Brave Thunders108280%81.275.3+5.9
5 Utsunomiya Brex97278%77.371.0+6.3
6 Diamond Dolphins97278%83.177.8+5.3
7 Ryukyu97278%80.775.6+5.1
8 Nagasaki97278%86.682.2+4.3
9 Shimane107370%79.875.9+3.9
10 SeaHorses Mikawa95456%82.674.8+7.8
11 Chiba95456%84.083.9+0.1
12 Nagoya Fighting Eagles95456%73.775.0-1.3
13 Sendai94544%80.282.7-2.4
14 Saga94544%72.174.8-2.7
15 Yokohama94544%77.080.7-3.7
16 Gunma94544%76.082.3-6.3
17 Hiroshima D.93633%76.776.2+0.4
18 Shinshu92722%78.385.6-7.2
19 Akita92722%71.880.0-8.2
20 Sun Rockers Shibuya102820%74.580.3-5.8
21 Hokkaido91811%75.083.9-8.9
22 Kyoto91811%73.782.8-9.1
23 Ibaraki Robots9090%77.786.0-8.3
24 Toyama9090%69.887.4-17.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shinshu2216242486
Toyama1916143079
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