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Breogan vs Castello Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 77-75
17-14 21-24 15-28 24-9
Position#1
Record16-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game72.0
Breogan 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#3
Record16-7
FormLWWLL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game75.3
SpainPrimera FEBRound 14
Other2020-21
Meetings · Breogan v Castello
17 Apr 2021
BRE77
CAST75
18 Jan 2020
BRE87
CAST69
05 Nov 2017
BRE97
CAST69
12 Nov 2016
BRE82
CAST65
15 Nov 2015
BRE83
CAST87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Castello winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Valladolid
#8
W
80-70
80
70
+10
A17/01
Primera FEB
Melilla
#14
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H05/02
Primera FEB
Ourense
#15
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A13/02
Primera FEB
Palencia
#16
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H28/02
Primera FEB
Caceres
#13
W
91-78
91
78
+13
A05/03
Primera FEB
Granada
#4
W
85-78
85
78
+7
H20/03
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#7
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A28/03
Primera FEB
Castello
#3
L
70-86
70
86
-16
A31/03
Primera FEB
Alicante
#6
L
82-85
82
85
-3
H04/04
Primera FEB
Almansa
#12
W
81-68
81
68
+13
A10/04
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
21-19
19-13
15-20
22-22
25-14
11-19
23-17
13-24
19-16
17-19
22-18
30-13
18-15
18-14
18-34
31-18
20-20
16-19
24-21
20-11
21-17
17-24
27-26
25-18
18-20
14-17
19-19
19-18
14-24
20-25
17-19
29-32
13-17
22-17
18-19
21-18
13-22
24-13
23-15
156.5Avg total
80.1Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)78.772.0150.8+6.776%
Season at home (10)81.271.8153.0+9.480%
Season away (11)76.572.3148.7+4.273%
Last 10 (10)80.176.4156.5+3.770%
Last 5 (5)78.878.2157.0+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)76.674.2150.8+2.555%
vs Weaker (19)79.571.2150.7+8.379%
This opponent (Castello) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CastelloSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forca Lleida
#10
W
74-72
74
72
+2
A07/02
Primera FEB
Huesca
#17
W
76-69
76
69
+7
A13/02
Primera FEB
Almansa
#12
W
87-72
87
72
+15
H28/02
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#7
L
83-101
83
101
-18
H03/03
Primera FEB
Granada
#4
W
63-62 OT
63
62
+1
A07/03
Primera FEB
Palencia
#16
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A19/03
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#8
W
87-79
87
79
+8
H26/03
Primera FEB
Breogan
#1
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H31/03
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
77-91
77
91
-14
A04/04
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
77-78
77
78
-1
H09/04
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-14
19-26
18-16
29-16
19-18
14-14
20-18
23-19
21-23
20-15
19-26
27-8
19-26
19-28
26-19
19-28
20-12
8-11
13-20
15-13
19-28
17-20
22-18
17-10
21-23
22-20
27-19
17-17
18-19
24-14
25-20
19-17
15-24
16-19
25-26
21-22
20-17
20-22
18-18
19-21
155.5Avg total
78.5Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)80.075.3155.2+4.770%
Season at home (12)83.879.8163.6+3.958%
Season away (11)75.870.3146.1+5.582%
Last 10 (10)78.577.0155.5+1.560%
Last 5 (5)80.478.8159.2+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.587.0162.5-11.50%
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.980.2161.1+0.657%
vs Weaker (14)80.472.0152.4+8.479%
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +3.5+3.5
BreoganCastello
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Valladolid
#8
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A17/01
Primera FEB
Melilla
#14
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H05/02
Primera FEB
Ourense
#15
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A13/02
Primera FEB
Palencia
#16
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H28/02
Primera FEB
Caceres
#13
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A05/03
Primera FEB
Granada
#4
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H20/03
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#7
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A28/03
Primera FEB
Castello
#3
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A31/03
Primera FEB
Alicante
#6
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H04/04
Primera FEB
Almansa
#12
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A10/04
Primera FEB
79.3Avg total
41.7Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.135.675.7+4.467%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.334.076.3+8.380%-
Last 30 away (15)37.937.375.1+0.653%-
Last 10 (10)41.737.679.3+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.639.478.0-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.638.677.3+0.055%-
vs Weaker (19)40.933.974.8+7.074%-
This opponent (Castello) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CastelloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forca Lleida
#10
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A07/02
Primera FEB
Huesca
#17
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A13/02
Primera FEB
Almansa
#12
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H28/02
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#7
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H03/03
Primera FEB
Granada
#4
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A07/03
Primera FEB
Palencia
#16
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A19/03
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#8
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H26/03
Primera FEB
Breogan
#1
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H31/03
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A04/04
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H09/04
Primera FEB
75.2Avg total
35.9Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.537.676.1+0.957%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.839.979.6-0.156%-
Last 30 away (14)37.135.172.1+2.057%-
Last 10 (10)35.939.375.2-3.450%-
Last 5 (5)38.441.279.6-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.544.077.5-10.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.537.075.5+1.557%-
vs Weaker (14)39.237.476.6+1.964%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.323.0
50.8%
51.8%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.57.1
31.6%
33.7%21.3
🏀 Free throws19.013.3
70.0%
73.6%13.3
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Castellotheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Breogan wins
2
Castello wins
DateGameScore
31/03/21Castello v Breogan86-70
18/01/20Breogan v Castello87-69
28/09/19Castello v Breogan68-91
23/02/18Castello v Breogan89-91
05/11/17Breogan v Castello97-69
03/03/17Castello v Breogan88-96
12/11/16Breogan v Castello82-65
26/02/16Castello v Breogan77-79
15/11/15Breogan v Castello83-87 OT
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/21AAlmansa81-68
04/04/21HAlicante82-85
31/03/21ACastello70-86
28/03/21AFibwi Palma76-74
20/03/21HGranada85-78
05/03/21ACaceres91-78
28/02/21HPalencia84-76
13/02/21AOurense71-77
05/02/21HMelilla81-72
17/01/21AReal Valladolid80-70
Castellolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/21HLeyma Coruna77-78
04/04/21AOviedo77-91
31/03/21HBreogan86-70
26/03/21HReal Valladolid87-79
19/03/21APalencia75-76
07/03/21AGranada63-62 OT
03/03/21HFibwi Palma83-101
28/02/21HAlmansa87-72
13/02/21AHuesca76-69
07/02/21AForca Lleida74-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
Primera FEB 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW76%
HomeLWWWL80%
AwayLWWLW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %76%80%73%
Points / game78.781.276.5
Allowed / game72.071.872.3
Point differential+6.7+9.4+4.2
Avg total150.8153.0148.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%30%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Castello
Primera FEB 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL70%
HomeWLWWL58%
AwayWWWLL82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %70%58%82%
Points / game80.083.875.8
Allowed / game75.379.870.3
Point differential+4.7+3.9+5.5
Avg total155.2163.6146.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%33%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %17%25%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Breogan2116576%78.772.0+6.7
2 Granada2316770%78.372.9+5.4
3 Castello2316770%80.075.3+4.7
4 Leyma Coruna2114767%76.171.2+4.9
5 Oviedo2114767%81.076.9+4.2
6 Alicante2315865%81.875.3+6.5
7 Fibwi Palma23131057%78.779.3-0.7
8 Basquet Girona22111150%79.777.5+2.1
9 Almansa24121250%77.076.4+0.5
10 Forca Lleida23111248%76.777.6-0.9
11 Real Valladolid21101148%82.083.3-1.2
12 Palencia2291341%72.773.1-0.5
13 Melilla2291341%75.779.1-3.4
14 Caceres2291341%73.276.9-3.7
15 Ourense2081240%76.078.3-2.4
16 Real Murcia2391439%72.473.6-1.1
17 Tizona Burgos2281436%78.884.9-6.1
18 Huesca2271532%71.876.7-4.9
19 Real Canoe2231914%71.782.0-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breogan1721152477
Castello142428975
← all games of the day
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