Breogan vs Palencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Feb 2021

Tip-off: 11:30

Final 84-76

30-13 18-15 18-14 18-34

Position#1

Record11-3

FormWLWWL

Points / game77.4

Allowed / game69.1

Breogan 🏆

Palencia

Position#16

Record8-7

FormWWLWL

Points / game73.5

Allowed / game70.5

Primera FEBRound 17

Other2020-21

Meetings · Breogan v Palencia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Palencia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Breogan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Leyma Coruna

68-60

A01/12

Primera FEB

Ourense

#15

79-71

H05/12

Primera FEB

Palencia

#16

76-65

+11

A13/12

Primera FEB

Caceres

#13

76-63

+13

H18/12

Primera FEB

Oviedo

80-66

+14

H23/12

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

#18

83-79

A03/01

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

68-72

-4

H09/01

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

80-70

+10

A17/01

Primera FEB

Melilla

#14

81-72

H05/02

Primera FEB

Ourense

#15

71-77

-6

A13/02

Primera FEB

22-14

17-21

20-16

9-9

20-6

20-17

20-23

19-25

21-10

19-16

10-22

26-17

20-14

25-19

19-18

12-12

21-20

16-13

29-13

14-20

28-17

16-20

22-18

17-24

13-12

20-22

13-20

22-18

25-18

21-19

19-13

15-20

22-22

25-14

11-19

23-17

13-24

19-16

17-19

22-18

145.7Avg total

76.2Scored

69.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	77.4	69.1	146.6	+8.3	79%
Season at home (7)	80.1	68.4	148.6	+11.7	86%
Season away (7)	74.7	69.9	144.6	+4.9	71%
Last 10 (10)	76.2	69.5	145.7	+6.7	80%
Last 5 (5)	76.6	74.0	150.6	+2.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	77.8	75.3	153.1	+2.5	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	80.0	68.3	148.3	+11.8	80%

This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Palencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Leyma Coruna

64-66

-2

A06/12

Primera FEB

Oviedo

79-78

A09/12

Primera FEB

Breogan

65-76

-11

H13/12

Primera FEB

Melilla

#14

71-58

+13

A22/12

Primera FEB

Ourense

#15

87-69

+18

H03/01

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

72-67

H08/01

Primera FEB

Caceres

#13

72-60

+12

A15/01

Primera FEB

Oviedo

78-81 OT

-3

H29/01

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

#18

86-79

A05/02

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

66-76

-10

H12/02

Primera FEB

10-15

17-22

14-19

23-10

11-17

19-18

20-18

29-25

10-21

16-19

22-10

17-26

10-12

33-17

13-15

15-14

21-6

18-16

27-17

21-30

18-19

19-15

19-17

16-16

17-21

28-16

11-13

16-10

18-25

19-11

16-17

23-23

22-26

17-13

18-15

29-25

19-19

13-19

19-20

15-18

145.0Avg total

74.0Scored

71.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	73.5	70.5	144.0	+2.9	53%
Season at home (8)	74.5	71.1	145.6	+3.4	50%
Season away (7)	72.3	69.9	142.1	+2.4	57%
Last 10 (10)	74.0	71.0	145.0	+3.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	74.8	72.6	147.4	+2.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	65.0	72.7	137.7	-7.7	0%
vs Similar (17)	75.1	72.5	147.6	+2.6	53%
vs Weaker (10)	84.9	77.7	162.6	+7.2	70%

This opponent (Breogan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BreoganPalencia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	16.4	37.4	+4.5	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	14.8	36.6	+6.9	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	18.3	38.4	+1.8	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	15.7	36.2	+4.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.6	38.8	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	21.0	17.8	38.8	+3.2	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.9	15.8	36.7	+5.2	80%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	18.3	35.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	18.1	36.7	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.9	18.5	34.4	-2.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.6	18.1	33.7	-2.5	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	22.0	40.8	-3.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	13.0	18.3	31.3	-5.3	0%	-
vs Similar (17)	17.0	18.3	35.3	-1.3	35%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.1	18.2	37.3	+0.9	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	18.3	38.3	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.2	18.2	39.4	+3.0	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	18.5	37.1	+0.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	17.7	37.5	+2.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.2	38.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	19.9	21.6	41.5	-1.7	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.0	16.7	36.7	+3.3	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	18.2	38.7	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	18.0	38.3	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	18.5	39.1	+2.2	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	16.6	36.5	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	14.8	34.0	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	15.3	20.0	35.3	-4.7	0%	-
vs Similar (17)	20.8	17.8	38.5	+3.0	71%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.5	18.5	40.0	+3.0	60%	-

BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Leyma Coruna

39-35

A01/12

Primera FEB

Ourense

#15

40-23

+17

H05/12

Primera FEB

Palencia

#16

40-26

+14

A13/12

Primera FEB

Caceres

#13

45-33

+12

H18/12

Primera FEB

Oviedo

37-33

H23/12

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

#18

44-37

A03/01

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

33-34

-1

H09/01

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

46-37

A17/01

Primera FEB

Melilla

#14

47-36

+11

H05/02

Primera FEB

Ourense

#15

32-40

-8

A13/02

Primera FEB

73.7Avg total

40.3Scored

33.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.9	34.8	75.7	+6.2	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.9	33.0	75.9	+9.9	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.6	36.8	75.4	+1.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	33.4	73.7	+6.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	36.8	77.2	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	40.9	39.4	80.3	+1.5	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	41.0	32.5	73.4	+8.5	80%	-

This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Leyma Coruna

27-37

-10

A06/12

Primera FEB

Oviedo

30-35

-5

A09/12

Primera FEB

Breogan

26-40

-14

H13/12

Primera FEB

Melilla

#14

43-29

+14

A22/12

Primera FEB

Ourense

#15

39-22

+17

H03/01

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

37-34

H08/01

Primera FEB

Caceres

#13

45-37

A15/01

Primera FEB

Oviedo

37-36

H29/01

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

#18

39-39

A05/02

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

32-38

-6

H12/02

Primera FEB

70.2Avg total

35.5Scored

34.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	36.5	74.3	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.9	36.1	75.0	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.6	36.9	73.5	-0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.5	34.7	70.2	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	36.8	74.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	28.3	38.3	66.7	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar (17)	37.8	36.1	73.8	+1.7	71%	-
vs Weaker (10)	40.6	36.7	77.3	+3.9	50%	-

This opponent (Breogan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.6	37.5	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	18.4	39.1	+2.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	18.7	35.8	-1.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	18.1	36.1	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	17.8	34.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	18.7	18.5	37.2	+0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	19.1	18.6	37.7	+0.5	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	17.7	35.9	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	17.2	36.5	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	18.1	35.3	-1.0	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	16.1	34.0	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	16.4	33.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	18.3	16.3	34.7	+2.0	33%	-
vs Similar (17)	17.3	16.7	34.0	+0.6	47%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.7	19.7	39.4	+0.0	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	16.9	36.2	+2.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	16.6	36.2	+3.0	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.8	17.3	36.1	+1.5	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	18.0	35.9	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.4	39.2	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	18.2	17.4	35.6	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	19.8	16.7	36.5	+3.1	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.6	40.6	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	19.5	39.7	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.9	19.7	41.6	+2.1	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	19.7	40.1	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	18.4	38.2	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	18.3	18.0	36.3	+0.3	33%	-
vs Similar (17)	19.4	18.9	38.3	+0.4	53%	-
vs Weaker (10)	24.6	21.3	45.9	+3.3	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.2	35.5	73.7	+2.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.2	35.1	75.3	+5.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.9	36.0	71.9	-0.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.9	36.1	72.0	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	37.2	73.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	36.9	35.9	72.8	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	38.9	35.3	74.2	+3.6	55%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	37.3	76.5	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.4	36.7	76.1	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.0	37.9	76.9	+1.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	35.8	74.1	+2.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	34.8	71.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	36.7	34.3	71.0	+2.3	67%	-
vs Similar (17)	36.6	35.6	72.3	+1.0	53%	-
vs Weaker (10)	44.3	41.0	85.3	+3.3	70%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 80.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀57%

🏀🏀🏀26%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 57% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 26% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.3	23.0	50.8%	51.8%	46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.5	7.1	31.6%	33.7%	21.3
🏀 Free throws	19.0	13.3	70.0%	73.6%	13.3

They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.9	20.4	56.8%	51.8%	40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.6	9.9	38.7%	33.7%	29.7
🏀 Free throws	22.7	17.1	75.3%	73.6%	17.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.7	19.4	47.8%	51.8%	38.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.8	8.0	32.1%	33.7%	23.9
🏀 Free throws	17.9	12.9	72.3%	73.6%	12.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.9	19.5	52.8%	51.8%	39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.6	9.1	37.0%	33.7%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.8	73.7%	73.6%	15.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Breogan wins

Palencia wins

Date	Game	Score
13/12/20	Palencia v Breogan	65-76
01/02/20	Breogan v Palencia	75-74
11/10/19	Palencia v Breogan	90-76
04/03/18	Breogan v Palencia	80-82
10/11/17	Palencia v Breogan	70-74
20/01/17	Palencia v Breogan	97-89
18/10/16	Breogan v Palencia	89-87
10/01/16	Breogan v Palencia	70-79
09/10/15	Palencia v Breogan	74-85
01/05/15	Breogan v Palencia	88-86 OT

Breoganlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/02/21	A	Ourense	71-77
05/02/21	H	Melilla	81-72
17/01/21	A	Real Valladolid	80-70
09/01/21	H	Leyma Coruna	68-72
03/01/21	A	Tizona Burgos	83-79
23/12/20	H	Oviedo	80-66
18/12/20	H	Caceres	76-63
13/12/20	A	Palencia	76-65
05/12/20	H	Ourense	79-71
01/12/20	A	Leyma Coruna	68-60

Palencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/02/21	H	Leyma Coruna	66-76
05/02/21	A	Tizona Burgos	86-79
29/01/21	H	Oviedo	78-81 OT
15/01/21	A	Caceres	72-60
08/01/21	H	Real Valladolid	72-67
03/01/21	H	Ourense	87-69
22/12/20	A	Melilla	71-58
13/12/20	H	Breogan	65-76
09/12/20	A	Oviedo	79-78
06/12/20	A	Leyma Coruna	64-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan

Primera FEB 2020-21

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	79%
Home	WWWLW	86%
Away	WWWWL	71%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	79%	86%	71%
Points / game	77.4	80.1	74.7
Allowed / game	69.1	68.4	69.9
Point differential	+8.3	+11.7	+4.9
Avg total	146.6	148.6	144.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	43%	43%	43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	50% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Palencia

Primera FEB 2020-21

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	53%
Home	LWWLL	50%
Away	LWWWW	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	8	7
Win %	53%	50%	57%
Points / game	73.5	74.5	72.3
Allowed / game	70.5	71.1	69.9
Point differential	+2.9	+3.4	+2.4
Avg total	144.0	145.6	142.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	38%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	50% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	7%	12%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Castello	15	12	3	80%	80.3	73.5	+6.8
2	Breogan	14	11	3	79%	77.4	69.1	+8.3
3	Leyma Coruna	15	11	4	73%	75.3	68.2	+7.1
4	Alicante	16	11	5	69%	80.0	73.8	+6.2
5	Granada	15	10	5	67%	80.3	74.3	+6.0
6	Oviedo	15	9	6	60%	78.7	76.5	+2.2
7	Fibwi Palma	15	9	6	60%	78.8	78.7	+0.1
8	Real Valladolid	14	8	6	57%	81.6	78.9	+2.6
9	Palencia	15	8	7	53%	73.5	70.5	+2.9
10	Almansa	15	8	7	53%	76.7	75.5	+1.3
11	Forca Lleida	15	8	7	53%	74.2	73.5	+0.7
12	Basquet Girona	15	7	8	47%	76.7	76.7	+0.0
13	Melilla	14	5	9	36%	75.2	80.1	-4.9
14	Ourense	15	5	10	33%	75.0	78.9	-3.9
15	Caceres	15	5	10	33%	71.4	77.1	-5.7
16	Real Murcia	16	5	11	31%	69.7	75.0	-5.3
17	Tizona Burgos	15	4	11	27%	76.2	84.5	-8.3
18	Huesca	16	4	12	25%	68.2	75.1	-6.9
19	Real Canoe	14	2	12	14%	72.7	81.9	-9.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Breogan	30	18	18	18	84
Palencia	13	15	14	34	76

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Breogan vs Palencia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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