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Breogan vs Gipuzkoa Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 83-71
23-21 24-15 14-13 22-22
Position#18
Record5-9
FormLLWWW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game81.9
Breogan 🏆
Spain
vs
Gipuzkoa
Spain
Position#17
Record3-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game83.9
SpainACBRound 15
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Breogan v Gipuzkoa
10 Nov 2019
BRE74
GIP97
06 Jan 2019
BRE83
GIP71
11 Mar 2017
BRE86
GIP92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gipuzkoa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
69-76
69
76
-7
91avg 102
H24/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
69-56
69
56
+13
no box
H27/10
ACB
Murcia
#14
L
64-76
64
76
-12
86avg 102
A03/11
ACB
Unicaja
#5
L
72-78
72
78
-6
106avg 102
A11/11
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
L
82-86
82
86
-4
109avg 102
H18/11
ACB
Manresa
#8
L
63-72
63
72
-9
86avg 102
A25/11
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
78-100
78
100
-22
105avg 102
A09/12
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
84-71
84
71
+13
112avg 102
H16/12
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
85-79
85
79
+6
109avg 102
H22/12
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
98-95 OT
98
95
+3
no box
A30/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-23
11-18
19-15
11-20
16-9
15-9
20-20
18-18
19-19
18-17
16-20
11-20
16-22
12-17
20-14
24-25
17-19
22-20
27-18
16-29
15-12
10-13
14-23
24-24
13-18
15-25
23-26
27-31
20-21
25-13
25-13
14-24
20-20
19-13
26-24
20-22
15-17
19-16
26-23
13-17
155.3Avg total
76.4Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)76.981.9158.7-5.036%
Season at home (6)79.274.5153.7+4.767%
Season away (8)75.187.4162.5-12.212%
Last 10 (10)76.478.9155.3-2.540%
Last 5 (5)81.683.4165.0-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.984.0159.9-8.120%
vs Similar ◀ (4)79.276.5155.8+2.875%
vs Weaker (16)88.176.1164.2+12.081%
This opponent (Gipuzkoa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GipuzkoaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGipuzkoa
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
64-88
64
88
-24
89avg 105
A21/10
ACB
Gran Canaria
#11
W
74-63
74
63
+11
106avg 105
H28/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
82-88
82
88
-6
104avg 105
A03/11
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#12
W
92-83
92
83
+9
119avg 105
H10/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
71-104
71
104
-33
99avg 105
A18/11
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
62-77
62
77
-15
88avg 105
A24/11
ACB
Murcia
#14
L
67-81
67
81
-14
91avg 105
H08/12
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
87-76
87
76
+11
119avg 105
A15/12
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
71-104
71
104
-33
92avg 105
H22/12
ACB
Unicaja
#5
L
80-94
80
94
-14
105avg 105
H29/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-28
12-19
15-18
12-23
15-13
19-20
21-12
19-18
17-17
25-23
20-30
20-18
22-21
16-17
21-21
33-24
18-28
13-28
16-23
24-25
28-16
9-18
9-18
16-25
20-16
15-13
16-32
16-20
13-19
21-23
23-19
30-15
21-28
26-20
7-34
17-22
28-25
17-16
23-25
12-28
160.8Avg total
75.0Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)73.083.9156.9-10.921%
Season at home (7)73.982.9156.7-9.029%
Season away (7)72.184.9157.0-12.714%
Last 10 (10)75.085.8160.8-10.830%
Last 5 (5)73.486.4159.8-13.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)76.288.1164.3-11.921%
vs Similar ◀ (10)80.985.2166.1-4.330%
vs Weaker (1)74.071.0145.0+3.0100%
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -6.1-6.1Q4Q4: -5.2-5.2Q4: -1.9-1.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -6.1-6.1Q4Q4: -5.2-5.2Q4: -1.9-1.9
BreoganGipuzkoa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H24/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
31-18
31
18
+13
H27/10
ACB
Murcia
#14
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A03/11
ACB
Unicaja
#5
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A11/11
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H18/11
ACB
Manresa
#8
D
25-25
25
25
+0
A25/11
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A09/12
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H16/12
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H22/12
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A30/12
ACB
68.6Avg total
34.5Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.037.477.5+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.535.177.5+7.480%-
Last 30 away (15)37.639.877.4-2.240%-
Last 10 (10)34.534.168.6+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)34.233.667.8+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.339.075.3-2.730%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)36.532.068.5+4.5100%-
vs Weaker (16)43.237.881.1+5.469%-
This opponent (Gipuzkoa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GipuzkoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A21/10
ACB
Gran Canaria
#11
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H28/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A03/11
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#12
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H10/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
31-56
31
56
-25
A18/11
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A24/11
ACB
Murcia
#14
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H08/12
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A15/12
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H22/12
ACB
Unicaja
#5
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H29/12
ACB
78.8Avg total
38.0Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.042.179.1-5.033%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.140.878.9-2.740%-
Last 30 away (15)35.943.379.3-7.427%-
Last 10 (10)38.040.878.8-2.850%-
Last 5 (5)39.638.878.4+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)36.943.580.4-6.632%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.040.677.6-3.630%-
vs Weaker (1)40.029.069.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.318.4
46.8%
52.5%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.5
32.6%
36.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws14.610.9
74.7%
74.6%10.9
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gipuzkoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gipuzkoa: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.9
53.7%
52.5%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.3
34.7%
36.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws16.311.5
70.6%
74.6%11.5
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
WWWLLLLLWL
Gipuzkoa
LLWLLLWLWL
#18
League position
#17
-5.8
Net rating
-14.8
101.4
Offensive rating
102.0
107.2
Defensive rating
116.8
47.6%
Effective FG%
53.0%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
16.4%
Turnover %
21.1%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.6%
3-point %
34.7%
47.6%
Assist %
64.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.4 · 102.0Defence107.2 · 116.8Shooting47.6% · 53.0%3-point %32.6% · 34.7%Ball care16.4% · 21.1%Off. rebounds29.6% · 27.4%Free throws0.22 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Breogan   ■ Gipuzkoa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Breogan wins
2
Gipuzkoa wins
DateGameScore
11/03/17Breogan v Gipuzkoa86-92
18/11/16Gipuzkoa v Breogan80-65
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/18AFuenlabrada98-95 OT
22/12/18HMoraBanc Andorra85-79
16/12/18HReal Madrid84-71
09/12/18ABaskonia78-100
25/11/18AManresa63-72
18/11/18HTecnyconta Zaragoza82-86
11/11/18AUnicaja72-78
03/11/18AMurcia64-76
27/10/18HObradoiro CAB69-56
24/10/18HJoventut Badalona69-76
Gipuzkoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/18HUnicaja80-94
22/12/18HBarcelona71-104
15/12/18AMoraBanc Andorra87-76
08/12/18HMurcia67-81
24/11/18AValencia62-77
18/11/18AReal Madrid71-104
10/11/18HSan Pablo Burgos92-83
03/11/18AObradoiro CAB82-88
28/10/18HGran Canaria74-63
21/10/18AJoventut Badalona64-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW36%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayLLLLW12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %36%67%12%
Points / game76.979.275.1
Allowed / game81.974.587.4
Point differential-5.0+4.7-12.2
Avg total158.7153.7162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %7%0%12%
Gipuzkoa
ACB 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL21%
HomeWWLLL29%
AwayLLLLW14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %21%29%14%
Points / game73.073.972.1
Allowed / game83.982.984.9
Point differential-10.9-9.0-12.7
Avg total156.9156.7157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%14%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona1412286%87.975.1+12.8
2 Real Madrid1411379%88.277.4+10.9
3 Baskonia1410471%86.171.6+14.6
4 Unicaja1410471%86.281.4+4.9
5 Valencia149564%79.677.9+1.7
6 Tenerife148657%79.975.9+4.0
7 Manresa148657%81.980.2+1.7
8 Joventut Badalona148657%77.979.6-1.7
9 Tecnyconta Zaragoza147750%80.984.6-3.8
10 San Pablo Burgos146843%80.281.6-1.4
11 MoraBanc Andorra146843%81.984.9-3.1
12 Murcia145936%73.678.0-4.4
13 Obradoiro CAB145936%77.382.0-4.7
14 Breogan145936%76.981.9-5.0
15 Fuenlabrada145936%78.484.6-6.3
16 Gran Canaria1441029%79.882.9-3.1
17 Estudiantes1441029%79.185.4-6.2
18 Gipuzkoa1431121%73.083.9-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breogan2324142283
Gipuzkoa2115132271
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