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Breogan vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 84-71
20-21 25-13 25-13 14-24
Position#18
Record2-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game81.9
Breogan 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#1
Record9-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game77.4
SpainACBRound 12
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Breogan v Real Madrid
12 Dec 2026
BRE v MAD
upcoming
24 Jan 2026
BRE85
MAD103
11 May 2025
BRE69
MAD79
11 Feb 2024
BRE73
MAD80
08 Apr 2023
BRE96
MAD72
17 Oct 2021
BRE71
MAD79
16 Dec 2018
BRE84
MAD71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#11
L
72-96
72
96
-24
A07/10
ACB
Estudiantes
#16
W
86-79
86
79
+7
H13/10
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#12
L
76-92
76
92
-16
A20/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
69-76
69
76
-7
H24/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
69-56
69
56
+13
H27/10
ACB
Murcia
#14
L
64-76
64
76
-12
A03/11
ACB
Unicaja
#5
L
72-78
72
78
-6
A11/11
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
L
82-86
82
86
-4
H18/11
ACB
Manresa
#8
L
63-72
63
72
-9
A25/11
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
78-100
78
100
-22
A09/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
24-28
12-20
19-21
21-14
23-27
21-19
21-19
14-26
20-21
19-19
23-26
28-23
11-18
19-15
11-20
16-9
15-9
20-20
18-18
19-19
18-17
16-20
11-20
16-22
12-17
20-14
24-25
17-19
22-20
27-18
16-29
15-12
10-13
14-23
24-24
13-18
15-25
23-26
27-31
154.2Avg total
73.1Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)73.581.9155.5-8.418%
Season at home (4)76.574.2150.8+2.250%
Season away (7)71.986.3158.1-14.40%
Last 10 (10)73.181.1154.2-8.020%
Last 5 (5)71.882.4154.2-10.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)73.886.2160.0-12.50%
vs Similar (3)73.070.3143.3+2.767%
vs Weaker (19)86.776.1162.8+10.779%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
95-80
95
80
+15
A11/11
ACB
Khimki M.
#13
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H15/11
Euroleague
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
104-71
104
71
+33
H18/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#14
W
89-76
89
76
+13
H20/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
L
83-88
83
88
-5
A22/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
69-86
69
86
-17
A25/11
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
88-93
88
93
-5
H29/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
84-82
84
82
+2
A07/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#11
W
87-63
87
63
+24
H09/12
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
92-65
92
65
+27
H13/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
20-22
31-20
18-17
19-12
22-23
15-20
23-19
28-18
28-13
23-16
25-24
22-28
25-15
15-14
27-19
22-29
19-23
24-13
18-23
19-20
17-19
23-24
10-23
20-24
21-14
20-29
27-26
23-23
22-29
15-22
24-8
17-20
23-11
25-15
22-17
22-17
31-13
16-20
23-15
164.8Avg total
87.0Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)90.377.4167.6+12.982%
Season at home (7)93.677.4171.0+16.186%
Season away (4)84.577.2161.8+7.275%
Last 10 (10)87.077.8164.8+9.270%
Last 5 (5)84.077.8161.8+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)86.987.0173.9-0.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)91.376.8168.1+14.591%
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: +2.6+2.6
BreoganReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#11
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A07/10
ACB
Estudiantes
#16
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H13/10
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#12
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A20/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H24/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
31-18
31
18
+13
H27/10
ACB
Murcia
#14
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A03/11
ACB
Unicaja
#5
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A11/11
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H18/11
ACB
Manresa
#8
D
25-25
25
25
+0
A25/11
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A09/12
ACB
73.0Avg total
34.6Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.837.977.7+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.435.277.6+7.179%-
Last 30 away (16)37.640.277.8-2.638%-
Last 10 (10)34.638.473.0-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)31.436.467.8-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)34.940.475.2-5.512%-
vs Similar (3)37.331.769.0+5.7100%-
vs Weaker (19)42.337.880.1+4.568%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A11/11
ACB
Khimki M.
#13
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H15/11
Euroleague
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H18/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#14
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H20/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A22/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A25/11
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H29/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A07/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#11
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H09/12
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H13/12
Euroleague
84.0Avg total
44.6Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.240.285.3+5.063%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.638.985.5+7.776%-
Last 30 away (13)43.341.885.2+1.546%-
Last 10 (10)44.639.484.0+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)43.038.081.0+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)42.142.985.0-0.729%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)46.439.686.0+6.873%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 71.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.119.3
47.0%
52.5%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.6
31.3%
36.6%22.8
🏀 Free throws15.310.5
68.6%
74.6%10.5
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.120.2
57.5%
52.5%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.9
37.4%
36.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.516.3
83.6%
74.6%16.3
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
LLLLLWLLWL
Real Madrid
WWWLLLWWWW
#18
League position
#1
-11.2
Net rating
+12.9
97.8
Offensive rating
116.4
108.9
Defensive rating
103.5
46.9%
Effective FG%
56.9%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
17.8%
Turnover %
16.4%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.3%
3-point %
37.4%
48.3%
Assist %
64.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence97.8 · 116.4Defence108.9 · 103.5Shooting46.9% · 56.9%3-point %31.3% · 37.4%Ball care17.8% · 16.4%Off. rebounds30.2% · 26.7%Free throws0.23 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Breogan   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Breogan wins
0
Real Madrid wins
No previous meetings.
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/18ABaskonia78-100
25/11/18AManresa63-72
18/11/18HTecnyconta Zaragoza82-86
11/11/18AUnicaja72-78
03/11/18AMurcia64-76
27/10/18HObradoiro CAB69-56
24/10/18HJoventut Badalona69-76
20/10/18ASan Pablo Burgos76-92
13/10/18HEstudiantes86-79
07/10/18AGran Canaria72-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/18HBarcelona92-65
09/12/18HGran Canaria87-63
07/12/18AAnadolu Efes84-82
29/11/18HCSKA Moscow88-93
25/11/18ABarcelona69-86
22/11/18AOlympiacos83-88
20/11/18HGran Canaria89-76
18/11/18HGipuzkoa104-71
15/11/18HKhimki M.79-74
11/11/18AFuenlabrada95-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2018-19
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL18%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %18%50%0%
Points / game73.576.571.9
Allowed / game81.974.286.3
Point differential-8.4+2.2-14.4
Avg total155.5150.8158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
ACB 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW82%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %82%86%75%
Points / game90.393.684.5
Allowed / game77.477.477.2
Point differential+12.9+16.1+7.2
Avg total167.6171.0161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+73%71%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona1110191%88.575.4+13.2
2 Real Madrid119282%90.377.4+12.9
3 Baskonia129375%87.670.6+17.0
4 Unicaja118373%88.382.3+6.0
5 Tenerife127558%81.475.2+6.2
6 Manresa127558%81.279.7+1.6
7 Valencia127558%78.578.1+0.4
8 Joventut Badalona116555%78.281.3-3.1
9 Tecnyconta Zaragoza126650%82.285.6-3.3
10 Murcia115645%73.776.9-3.2
11 MoraBanc Andorra125742%80.985.2-4.2
12 Obradoiro CAB125742%76.681.0-4.4
13 Fuenlabrada125742%76.883.2-6.3
14 San Pablo Burgos124833%79.482.4-3.0
15 Gran Canaria113827%81.085.5-4.5
16 Estudiantes113827%78.185.7-7.6
17 Gipuzkoa123925%72.681.3-8.8
18 Breogan112918%73.581.9-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breogan2025251484
Real Madrid2113132471
← all games of the day
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