Valladolid vs Breogan Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 25 Oct 2019

Tip-off: 18:45

Final 94-82

24-30 20-19 23-19 27-14

Position#2

Record3-1

FormLWWWL

Points / game83.2

Allowed / game76.0

Valladolid 🏆

Breogan

Position#5

Record3-1

FormLWWLW

Points / game81.5

Allowed / game74.0

Primera FEBRound 5

Other2019-20

Meetings · Valladolid v Breogan

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valladolid winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Breogan winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valladolid Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Forca Lleida

#11

79-58

+21

H26/04

Primera FEB

Huesca

#10

74-73

A03/05

Primera FEB

Melilla

78-76

A09/05

Primera FEB

Melilla

70-76

-6

A11/05

Primera FEB

Melilla

85-64

+21

H16/05

Primera FEB

Melilla

72-76

-4

H18/05

Primera FEB

Peixegalego

#18

82-66

+16

H25/09

Primera FEB

Real Canoe

#17

93-81

+12

A04/10

Primera FEB

Melilla

78-70

H11/10

Primera FEB

Fibwi Palma

80-87 OT

-7

A20/10

Primera FEB

20-17

19-12

22-19

18-10

23-16

15-19

11-21

25-17

13-19

19-23

23-14

23-20

19-17

18-21

16-18

17-20

19-11

21-18

18-18

27-17

26-20

14-22

14-21

18-13

25-13

28-12

14-18

15-23

26-24

15-26

30-17

22-14

18-18

22-9

24-23

14-20

24-20

12-9

23-24

14-20

151.8Avg total

79.1Scored

72.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	83.2	76.0	159.2	+7.2	75%
Season at home (2)	80.0	68.0	148.0	+12.0	100%
Season away (2)	86.5	84.0	170.5	+2.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	79.1	72.7	151.8	+6.4	70%
Last 5 (5)	81.0	76.0	157.0	+5.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	83.0	88.0	171.0	-5.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	76.3	71.9	148.2	+4.4	59%
vs Weaker (12)	79.0	71.9	150.9	+7.1	75%

This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Breogan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Unicaja

83-75

H21/04

ACB

Real Madrid

89-94

-5

A27/04

ACB

Valencia

82-83

-1

A04/05

ACB

Tenerife

84-85

-1

H09/05

ACB

Gran Canaria

#11

77-92

-15

H12/05

ACB

MoraBanc Andorra

#10

84-91

-7

A18/05

ACB

Castello

#10

91-68

+23

A28/09

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#16

72-54

+18

H05/10

Primera FEB

Palencia

76-90

-14

A11/10

Primera FEB

Alicante

87-84

H19/10

Primera FEB

16-17

15-13

20-19

32-26

24-24

22-15

16-33

27-22

10-23

27-24

22-26

23-10

17-30

24-22

22-17

21-16

24-17

22-31

19-21

12-23

26-22

21-19

24-26

13-24

34-16

22-10

21-11

14-31

18-17

14-15

20-13

20-9

17-25

12-23

24-23

23-19

25-25

14-21

26-8

22-30

164.1Avg total

82.5Scored

81.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	81.5	74.0	155.5	+7.5	75%
Season at home (2)	79.5	69.0	148.5	+10.5	100%
Season away (2)	83.5	79.0	162.5	+4.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	82.5	81.6	164.1	+0.9	40%
Last 5 (5)	82.0	77.4	159.4	+4.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	78.1	84.4	162.4	-6.3	21%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	79.2	86.6	165.8	-7.3	44%
vs Weaker (2)	81.5	61.0	142.5	+20.5	100%

This opponent (Valladolid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ValladolidBreogan

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.3	39.0	+0.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	18.1	38.3	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	20.4	39.7	-1.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	17.5	38.8	+3.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	19.0	42.8	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	22.0	28.0	50.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	19.8	18.5	38.2	+1.3	65%	-
vs Weaker (12)	19.5	19.7	39.2	-0.2	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	20.9	39.3	-2.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	21.1	40.3	-1.8	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	20.7	38.3	-3.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	21.6	42.7	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	21.0	45.0	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	18.5	20.2	38.7	-1.7	32%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	16.6	23.3	39.9	-6.8	11%	-
vs Weaker (2)	26.0	16.5	42.5	+9.5	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	17.8	35.8	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	17.3	36.0	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	18.2	35.7	-0.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	17.1	35.4	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	15.6	33.8	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	17.0	15.0	32.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	17.7	17.9	35.6	-0.2	41%	-
vs Weaker (12)	18.7	17.8	36.5	+0.8	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	19.0	37.8	-0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	18.8	38.7	+1.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	19.3	36.9	-1.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	19.3	38.6	+0.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	17.6	34.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	18.5	19.4	37.9	-0.9	53%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.4	19.7	39.1	-0.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.0	12.5	30.5	+5.5	50%	-

ValladolidLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Forca Lleida

#11

39-29

+10

H26/04

Primera FEB

Huesca

#10

38-35

A03/05

Primera FEB

Melilla

32-42

-10

A09/05

Primera FEB

Melilla

37-38

-1

A11/05

Primera FEB

Melilla

40-29

+11

H16/05

Primera FEB

Melilla

40-42

-2

H18/05

Primera FEB

Peixegalego

#18

53-25

+28

H25/09

Primera FEB

Real Canoe

#17

41-50

-9

A04/10

Primera FEB

Melilla

40-27

+13

H11/10

Primera FEB

Fibwi Palma

36-29

A20/10

Primera FEB

74.2Avg total

39.6Scored

34.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	37.0	74.8	+0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.9	35.5	74.3	+3.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.7	38.6	75.3	-1.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	34.6	74.2	+5.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	34.6	76.6	+7.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	39.0	43.0	82.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	37.5	36.4	73.8	+1.1	47%	-
vs Weaker (12)	38.2	37.5	75.7	+0.7	42%	-

This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Unicaja

31-30

H21/04

ACB

Real Madrid

46-39

A27/04

ACB

Valencia

37-47

-10

A04/05

ACB

Tenerife

41-52

-11

H09/05

ACB

Gran Canaria

#11

46-48

-2

H12/05

ACB

MoraBanc Andorra

#10

47-41

A18/05

ACB

Castello

#10

56-26

+30

A28/09

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#16

32-32

H05/10

Primera FEB

Palencia

29-48

-19

A11/10

Primera FEB

Alicante

39-46

-7

H19/10

Primera FEB

81.3Avg total

40.4Scored

40.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.1	39.9	77.1	-2.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.1	39.9	79.0	-0.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.1	40.0	75.1	-4.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	40.9	81.3	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	38.6	79.2	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	36.9	39.6	76.6	-2.7	26%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	36.0	43.0	79.0	-7.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	44.0	29.0	73.0	+15.0	50%	-

This opponent (Valladolid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	17.7	37.3	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	17.9	36.8	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	17.5	37.7	+2.8	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	19.3	38.8	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.6	41.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	29.0	25.0	54.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	19.4	17.1	36.5	+2.2	65%	-
vs Weaker (12)	19.1	17.9	37.0	+1.2	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	21.0	41.6	-0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	18.6	39.5	+2.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	23.3	43.8	-2.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	19.7	41.1	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	16.2	39.2	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	20.8	22.3	43.1	-1.4	47%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.3	20.2	40.6	+0.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	12.0	32.5	+8.5	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	17.2	37.2	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	15.7	36.0	+4.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	18.8	38.5	+0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	17.4	36.7	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	18.0	34.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	15.0	20.0	35.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	19.1	17.6	36.6	+1.5	59%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.8	16.5	38.2	+5.2	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	21.8	41.8	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	21.9	41.1	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	21.8	42.5	-1.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	21.0	41.7	-0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	22.6	41.0	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	20.3	22.5	42.7	-2.2	37%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.1	20.9	41.0	-0.8	44%	-
vs Weaker (2)	17.0	20.0	37.0	-3.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	34.9	74.5	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.2	33.6	72.8	+5.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.9	36.3	76.2	+3.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	36.7	75.5	+2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	38.6	76.2	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	44.0	45.0	89.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	38.4	34.7	73.1	+3.7	53%	-
vs Weaker (12)	40.8	34.4	75.2	+6.4	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	42.8	83.5	-2.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.1	40.5	80.6	-0.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.2	45.1	86.3	-3.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.1	40.7	82.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	38.8	80.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	41.1	44.7	85.8	-3.6	32%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	40.4	41.1	81.6	-0.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	37.5	32.0	69.5	+5.5	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Valladolidtheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 80.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀57%

🏀🏀🏀26%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 57% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 26% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.3	23.0	50.8%	51.8%	46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.5	7.1	31.6%	33.7%	21.3
🏀 Free throws	19.0	13.3	70.0%	73.6%	13.3

They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.9	20.4	56.8%	51.8%	40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.6	9.9	38.7%	33.7%	29.7
🏀 Free throws	22.7	17.1	75.3%	73.6%	17.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.7	19.4	47.8%	51.8%	38.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.8	8.0	32.1%	33.7%	23.9
🏀 Free throws	17.9	12.9	72.3%	73.6%	12.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.9	19.5	52.8%	51.8%	39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.6	9.1	37.0%	33.7%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.8	73.7%	73.6%	15.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Valladolid wins

Breogan wins

Date	Game	Score
19/01/18	Breogan v Valladolid	96-74
01/11/17	Valladolid v Breogan	84-85

Valladolidlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/10/19	A	Fibwi Palma	80-87 OT
11/10/19	H	Melilla	78-70
04/10/19	A	Real Canoe	93-81
25/09/19	H	Peixegalego	82-66
18/05/19	H	Melilla	72-76
16/05/19	H	Melilla	85-64
11/05/19	A	Melilla	70-76
09/05/19	A	Melilla	78-76
03/05/19	A	Huesca	74-73
26/04/19	H	Forca Lleida	79-58

Breoganlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/10/19	H	Alicante	87-84
11/10/19	A	Palencia	76-90
05/10/19	H	Oviedo	72-54
28/09/19	A	Castello	91-68
18/05/19	A	MoraBanc Andorra	84-91
12/05/19	H	Gran Canaria	77-92
09/05/19	H	Tenerife	84-85
04/05/19	A	Valencia	82-83
27/04/19	A	Real Madrid	89-94
21/04/19	H	Unicaja	83-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valladolid

Primera FEB 2019-20

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWL	75%
Home	WW	100%
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	75%	100%	50%
Points / game	83.2	80.0	86.5
Allowed / game	76.0	68.0	84.0
Point differential	+7.2	+12.0	+2.5
Avg total	159.2	148.0	170.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	50%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	25%	0%	50%

Breogan

Primera FEB 2019-20

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLW	75%
Home	WW	100%
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	75%	100%	50%
Points / game	81.5	79.5	83.5
Allowed / game	74.0	69.0	79.0
Point differential	+7.5	+10.5	+4.5
Avg total	155.5	148.5	162.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	50%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Granada	4	3	1	75%	78.2	66.5	+11.8
2	Breogan	4	3	1	75%	81.5	74.0	+7.5
3	Valladolid	4	3	1	75%	83.2	76.0	+7.2
4	Ourense	4	3	1	75%	79.0	73.5	+5.5
5	Gipuzkoa	4	3	1	75%	69.8	65.8	+4.0
6	Palencia	4	3	1	75%	80.0	77.0	+3.0
7	Forca Lleida	3	2	1	67%	76.0	71.0	+5.0
8	Alicante	4	2	2	50%	85.0	81.0	+4.0
9	Caceres	4	2	2	50%	69.2	65.8	+3.5
10	Huesca	4	2	2	50%	67.8	66.8	+1.0
11	Fibwi Palma	4	2	2	50%	75.5	76.0	-0.5
12	Melilla	4	2	2	50%	72.0	72.5	-0.5
13	Castello	4	2	2	50%	71.5	76.0	-4.5
14	Leyma Coruna	4	2	2	50%	68.2	73.8	-5.5
15	Oviedo	3	1	2	33%	68.3	72.3	-4.0
16	Almansa	4	0	4	0%	71.2	80.0	-8.8
17	Real Canoe	4	0	4	0%	78.8	90.8	-12.0
18	Peixegalego	4	0	4	0%	62.5	79.0	-16.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Valladolid	24	20	23	27	94
Breogan	30	19	19	14	82

← all games of the day

Valladolid vs Breogan Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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