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Brescia vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Nov 2020
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 77-75
20-14 21-24 16-18 20-19
Position#20
Record1-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game86.8
Brescia 🏆
vs
Position#17
Record3-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game82.9
EuropeEurocupRound 8
European cup2020
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#7
W
94-87
94
87
+7
A11/10
Lega A
Mornar Bar
#17
L
76-95
76
95
-19
A14/10
Eurocup
Trieste
#6
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H18/10
Lega A
Unicaja
#10
L
69-86
69
86
-17
A21/10
Eurocup
Reggiana
#13
L
67-83
67
83
-16
A24/10
Lega A
Levallois
#8
L
70-75
70
75
-5
H28/10
Eurocup
Virtus Roma
#16
L
64-70
64
70
-6
H31/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
56-87
56
87
-31
A08/11
Lega A
Ulm
#13
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A10/11
Eurocup
Trento
#8
L
73-80
73
80
-7
H15/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-26
23-14
16-24
24-23
10-30
25-22
21-22
20-21
29-9
19-18
8-21
19-15
12-24
23-17
19-16
15-29
20-19
24-26
13-17
10-21
23-25
14-14
20-11
13-25
29-18
12-16
10-20
13-16
9-23
15-21
13-28
19-15
18-19
12-24
27-22
19-23
25-13
12-22
22-24
14-21
153.4Avg total
72.0Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.586.8163.3-10.317%
Season at home (2)78.579.5158.0-1.050%
Season away (4)75.590.5166.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)72.081.4153.4-9.420%
Last 5 (5)67.880.0147.8-12.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)73.985.1159.0-11.211%
vs Similar ◀ (8)79.282.5161.8-3.238%
vs Weaker (13)81.575.4156.8+6.177%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#9
W
109-68
109
68
+41
H12/10
ABA League
Brescia
#20
W
95-76
95
76
+19
H14/10
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
62-93
62
93
-31
A18/10
ABA League
Levallois
#8
L
65-78
65
78
-13
A20/10
Eurocup
Buducnost
#12
W
85-82 OT
85
82
+3
H28/10
Eurocup
Mega Soccerbet
#6
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H31/10
ABA League
Ulm
#13
L
66-82
66
82
-16
H03/11
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
84-74
84
74
+10
A07/11
ABA League
Unicaja
#10
L
72-98
72
98
-26
A11/11
Eurocup
Primorska
#15
W
20-0
20
0
+20
H14/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-14
22-18
29-15
31-21
30-10
22-25
22-21
21-20
23-24
13-22
11-21
15-26
10-15
23-24
21-20
11-19
22-22
17-20
20-14
17-20
25-28
19-15
15-8
21-22
19-27
24-14
9-15
14-26
23-16
25-24
16-16
20-18
16-27
18-27
18-21
20-23
–
–
–
–
146.2Avg total
73.8Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.482.9161.3-4.443%
Season at home (4)84.080.0164.0+4.075%
Season away (3)71.086.7157.7-15.70%
Last 10 (10)73.872.4146.2+1.460%
Last 5 (5)64.465.4129.8-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.988.4165.3-11.527%
vs Similar ◀ (6)79.275.3154.5+3.867%
vs Weaker (13)84.070.2154.2+13.885%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: -2.8-2.8
BresciaMornar Bar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#7
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A11/10
Lega A
Mornar Bar
#17
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A14/10
Eurocup
Trieste
#6
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H18/10
Lega A
Unicaja
#10
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A21/10
Eurocup
Reggiana
#13
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A24/10
Lega A
Levallois
#8
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H28/10
Eurocup
Virtus Roma
#16
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H31/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
24-44
24
44
-20
A08/11
Lega A
Ulm
#13
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A10/11
Eurocup
Trento
#8
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H15/11
Lega A
78.5Avg total
38.5Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.040.780.7-0.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.539.879.3-0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)40.441.682.0-1.247%-
Last 10 (10)38.540.078.5-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)33.839.072.8-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.843.280.0-6.433%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.438.279.6+3.162%-
vs Weaker (13)41.340.581.8+0.846%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#9
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H12/10
ABA League
Brescia
#20
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H14/10
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A18/10
ABA League
Levallois
#8
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A20/10
Eurocup
Buducnost
#12
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H28/10
Eurocup
Mega Soccerbet
#6
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H31/10
ABA League
Ulm
#13
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H03/11
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A07/11
ABA League
Unicaja
#10
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A11/11
Eurocup
83.3Avg total
42.0Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.940.283.1+2.662%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.140.485.5+4.773%-
Last 30 away (14)40.440.180.5+0.450%-
Last 10 (9)42.041.383.3+0.756%-
Last 5 (5)41.644.085.6-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.743.384.0-2.545%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)44.037.781.7+6.383%-
vs Weaker (12)44.238.883.0+5.567%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 71.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.819.7
49.5%
51.4%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.06.6
31.4%
36.6%19.8
🏀 Free throws15.511.9
76.8%
75.4%11.9
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.418.1
55.9%
51.4%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.8
38.1%
36.6%29.4
🏀 Free throws19.314.3
74.1%
75.4%14.3
They take 58.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
LLLLLLLWLW
Mornar Bar
WLWLWWLLWW
#20
League position
#17
-12.8
Net rating
+2.8
96.1
Offensive rating
106.2
108.9
Defensive rating
103.4
48.7%
Effective FG%
56.5%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
20.0%
Turnover %
19.1%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
19.9%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.33
31.4%
3-point %
38.1%
61.6%
Assist %
67.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence96.1 · 106.2Defence108.9 · 103.4Shooting48.7% · 56.5%3-point %31.4% · 38.1%Ball care20.0% · 19.1%Off. rebounds25.1% · 19.9%Free throws0.25 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Brescia   ■ Mornar Bar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Brescia wins
1
Mornar Bar wins
DateGameScore
14/10/20Mornar Bar v Brescia95-76
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/20HTrento73-80
10/11/20AUlm76-88
08/11/20AOlimpia Milano56-87
31/10/20HVirtus Roma64-70
28/10/20HLevallois70-75
24/10/20AReggiana67-83
21/10/20AUnicaja69-86
18/10/20HTrieste75-63
14/10/20AMornar Bar76-95
11/10/20ATreviso94-87
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/20HPrimorska20-0
11/11/20AUnicaja72-98
07/11/20AKK Krka Novo mesto84-74
03/11/20HUlm66-82
31/10/20HMega Soccerbet80-73
28/10/20HBuducnost85-82 OT
20/10/20ALevallois65-78
18/10/20ACrvena zvezda62-93
14/10/20HBrescia95-76
12/10/20HCibona109-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Eurocup 2020
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL17%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %17%50%0%
Points / game76.578.575.5
Allowed / game86.879.590.5
Point differential-10.3-1.0-15.0
Avg total163.3158.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %17%50%0%
Mornar Bar
Eurocup 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL43%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%75%0%
Points / game78.484.071.0
Allowed / game82.980.086.7
Point differential-4.4+4.0-15.7
Avg total161.3164.0157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %14%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna660100%86.875.0+11.8
2 Joventut Badalona65183%87.081.2+5.8
3 Lokomotiv Kuban86275%91.079.9+11.1
4 Unicaja86275%87.879.8+8.0
5 Trento86275%80.573.5+7.0
6 JL Bourg43175%86.079.8+6.2
7 Gran Canaria75271%83.678.7+4.9
8 Levallois75271%81.777.9+3.9
9 Cedevita Olimpija64267%81.273.3+7.8
10 Monaco64267%82.074.3+7.7
11 Unics Kazan74357%85.382.7+2.6
12 Buducnost63350%81.783.0-1.3
13 Partizan63350%82.383.7-1.3
14 Nanterre73443%79.482.9-3.4
15 Mornar Bar73443%78.482.9-4.4
16 MoraBanc Andorra52340%70.073.2-3.2
17 Venezia52340%82.287.4-5.2
18 Ulm83538%78.477.1+1.2
19 Promitheas62433%78.384.5-6.2
20 Brescia61517%76.586.8-10.3
21 Lietkabelis61517%71.784.3-12.7
22 Bahcesehir Kol.81712%78.984.4-5.5
23 Bursaspor6060%82.395.0-12.7
24 Antwerp Giants7070%72.388.6-16.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia2021162077
Mornar Bar1424181975
← all games of the day
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