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Mornar Bar vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Oct 2020
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 95-76
30-10 22-25 22-21 21-20
Position#17
Record1-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Position#20
Record1-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game88.5
EuropeEurocupRound 3
European cup2020
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Sutjeska
#4
L
84-90
84
90
-6
no box
A09/05
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#1
W
98-95 OT
98
95
+3
no box
A11/05
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#2
W
90-77
90
77
+13
no box
H13/05
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#4
W
88-74
88
74
+14
no box
H15/05
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#4
L
73-75
73
75
-2
no box
A17/05
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#4
W
83-75
83
75
+8
no box
H19/05
Prva A Liga
Ulm
#13
L
76-84
76
84
-8
66avg 92
A30/09
Eurocup
Unicaja
#10
W
90-80
90
80
+10
90avg 92
H06/10
Eurocup
Zadar
#10
W
82-66
82
66
+16
no box
A09/10
ABA League
Cibona
#9
W
109-68
109
68
+41
122avg 92
H12/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
16-22
16-22
26-20
25-23
24-23
13-26
25-15
26-14
24-21
22-20
18-22
19-22
18-15
32-15
19-22
26-20
15-10
11-21
21-24
24-23
18-28
26-11
15-13
26-15
20-17
11-30
19-22
28-22
30-17
13-17
19-24
28-14
12-11
23-23
19-18
27-14
22-18
29-15
31-21
165.7Avg total
87.3Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)83.082.0165.0+1.050%
Season at home (1)90.080.0170.0+10.0100%
Season away (1)76.084.0160.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)87.378.4165.7+8.970%
Last 5 (5)88.074.6162.6+13.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)80.989.0169.9-8.120%
vs Similar ◀ (9)80.777.3158.0+3.367%
vs Weaker (11)89.876.2166.0+13.682%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Varese
#13
W
89-88
89
88
+1
no box
H01/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
67-81
67
81
-14
no box
A04/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
79-91
79
91
-12
no box
H07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cantu
#15
W
88-78
88
78
+10
no box
H10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#13
L
100-102
100
102
-2
no box
A13/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#12
L
89-94 OT
89
94
-5
no box
A27/09
Lega A
Buducnost
#12
L
81-93
81
93
-12
74avg 78
A29/09
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
80-81
80
81
-1
no box
H04/10
Lega A
Ulm
#13
W
87-84 OT
87
84
+3
no box
H07/10
Eurocup
Treviso
#7
W
94-87
94
87
+7
101avg 78
A11/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-31
25-20
19-22
23-15
12-24
23-20
18-22
14-15
23-24
16-26
20-15
20-26
19-17
21-25
26-22
22-14
29-33
24-17
30-32
17-20
23-17
20-16
16-26
22-22
23-19
20-23
22-23
16-28
24-23
24-24
12-12
20-22
19-28
21-11
22-28
14-9
31-26
23-14
16-24
24-23
173.3Avg total
85.4Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)84.088.5172.5-4.550%
Season at home (1)87.084.0171.0+3.0100%
Season away (1)81.093.0174.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)85.487.9173.3-2.540%
Last 5 (5)86.287.8174.0-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.886.0164.8-7.220%
vs Similar ◀ (7)81.683.6165.1-2.029%
vs Weaker (18)83.874.8158.6+9.178%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.2+6.2Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.2-0.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.2+6.2Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.2-0.2
Mornar BarBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sutjeska
#4
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A09/05
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#1
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A11/05
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#2
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H13/05
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#4
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H15/05
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#4
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A17/05
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#4
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H19/05
Prva A Liga
Ulm
#13
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A30/09
Eurocup
Unicaja
#10
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H06/10
Eurocup
Zadar
#10
W
40-25
40
25
+15
A09/10
ABA League
Cibona
#9
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H12/10
ABA League
82.9Avg total
45.4Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.739.281.9+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.839.985.8+5.975%-
Last 30 away (14)39.238.377.5+0.950%-
Last 10 (10)45.437.582.9+7.970%-
Last 5 (5)47.035.882.8+11.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.441.582.9-0.160%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)42.837.280.0+5.667%-
vs Weaker (11)43.938.682.5+5.364%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#13
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H01/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A04/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cantu
#15
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#13
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A13/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#12
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A27/09
Lega A
Buducnost
#12
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A29/09
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H04/10
Lega A
Ulm
#13
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H07/10
Eurocup
Treviso
#7
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A11/10
Lega A
88.0Avg total
44.2Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.140.581.6+0.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.440.681.0-0.253%-
Last 30 away (15)41.840.582.3+1.360%-
Last 10 (10)44.243.888.0+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)45.640.285.8+5.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.044.485.4-3.460%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)41.339.380.6+2.071%-
vs Weaker (18)41.139.981.0+1.150%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.618.0
52.0%
51.4%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.19.5
32.6%
36.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.114.2
78.5%
75.4%14.2
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.1
49.1%
51.4%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.29.8
40.5%
36.6%29.4
🏀 Free throws16.613.1
78.9%
75.4%13.1
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Oct 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mornar Bar
WWWLWLWWWL
Brescia
WWLLLLWLLW
#17
League position
#20
-2.0
Net rating
+2.0
105.6
Offensive rating
114.2
107.6
Defensive rating
112.2
50.6%
Effective FG%
53.7%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
16.5%
Turnover %
16.9%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.6%
3-point %
40.5%
62.9%
Assist %
64.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.6 · 114.2Defence107.6 · 112.2Shooting50.6% · 53.7%3-point %32.6% · 40.5%Ball care16.5% · 16.9%Off. rebounds28.3% · 30.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Mornar Bar   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mornar Bar wins
0
Brescia wins
No previous meetings.
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/20HCibona109-68
09/10/20AZadar82-66
06/10/20HUnicaja90-80
30/09/20AUlm76-84
19/05/19HSutjeska83-75
17/05/19ASutjeska73-75
15/05/19HSutjeska88-74
13/05/19HLovcen Cetinje90-77
11/05/19ABuducnost98-95 OT
09/05/19ASutjeska84-90
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/20ATreviso94-87
07/10/20HUlm87-84 OT
04/10/20HVirtus Bologna80-81
29/09/20ABuducnost81-93
27/09/20AVarese89-94 OT
13/09/20AVarese100-102
10/09/20HCantu88-78
07/09/20HOlimpia Milano79-91
04/09/20AOlimpia Milano67-81
01/09/20HVarese89-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar
Eurocup 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game83.090.076.0
Allowed / game82.080.084.0
Point differential+1.0+10.0-8.0
Avg total165.0170.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brescia
Eurocup 2020
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game84.087.081.0
Allowed / game88.584.093.0
Point differential-4.5+3.0-12.0
Avg total172.5171.0174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %50%100%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco220100%82.066.5+15.5
2 Trento330100%80.767.3+13.3
3 Virtus Bologna330100%81.068.7+12.3
4 Joventut Badalona330100%86.777.0+9.7
5 Buducnost220100%91.082.0+9.0
6 Lokomotiv Kuban32167%91.077.7+13.3
7 Unics Kazan32167%86.781.0+5.7
8 Gran Canaria32167%82.780.3+2.3
9 Cedevita Olimpija21150%80.074.0+6.0
10 JL Bourg21150%88.083.0+5.0
11 Ulm21150%84.081.5+2.5
12 Mornar Bar21150%83.082.0+1.0
13 Unicaja21150%88.089.0-1.0
14 Brescia21150%84.088.5-4.5
15 Venezia21150%79.086.5-7.5
16 Partizan31233%82.383.7-1.3
17 MoraBanc Andorra31233%71.074.7-3.7
18 Nanterre31233%75.780.3-4.7
19 Promitheas31233%73.082.7-9.7
20 Levallois2020%85.592.5-7.0
21 Bursaspor2020%85.093.0-8.0
22 Bahcesehir Kol.3030%80.793.0-12.3
23 Antwerp Giants2020%66.080.0-14.0
24 Lietkabelis3030%64.787.7-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mornar Bar3022222195
Brescia1025212076
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