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Brescia vs Trieste Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Oct 2020
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 75-63
29-9 19-18 8-21 19-15
Position#11
Record1-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game87.3
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#6
Record2-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game78.7
ItalyLega ARound 4
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Brescia v Trieste
25 May 2026
BRE90
TRI75
18 May 2026
BRE90
TRI82
16 May 2026
BRE90
TRI92
09 Nov 2025
BRE98
TRI75
19 May 2025
BRE92
TRI103
17 May 2025
BRE89
TRI77
09 Feb 2025
BRE93
TRI90
12 Mar 2023
BRE95
TRI59
12 Feb 2022
BRE87
TRI76
18 Oct 2020
BRE75
TRI63
09 Feb 2020
BRE76
TRI74
03 Feb 2019
BRE77
TRI85
13 May 2015
BRE69
TRI55
05 May 2015
BRE79
TRI77
03 May 2015
BRE86
TRI78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trieste winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
67-81
67
81
-14
A04/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
79-91
79
91
-12
H07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cantu
#15
W
88-78
88
78
+10
H10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#13
L
100-102
100
102
-2
A13/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#12
L
89-94 OT
89
94
-5
A27/09
Lega A
Buducnost
#12
L
81-93
81
93
-12
A29/09
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
80-81
80
81
-1
H04/10
Lega A
Ulm
#13
W
87-84 OT
87
84
+3
H07/10
Eurocup
Treviso
#7
W
94-87
94
87
+7
A11/10
Lega A
Mornar Bar
#17
L
76-95
76
95
-19
A14/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-24
23-20
18-22
14-15
23-24
16-26
20-15
20-26
19-17
21-25
26-22
22-14
29-33
24-17
30-32
17-20
23-17
20-16
16-26
22-22
23-19
20-23
22-23
16-28
24-23
24-24
12-12
20-22
19-28
21-11
22-28
14-9
31-26
23-14
16-24
24-23
10-30
25-22
21-22
20-21
172.7Avg total
84.1Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)87.787.3175.0+0.333%
Season at home (1)80.081.0161.0-1.00%
Season away (2)91.590.5182.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)84.188.6172.7-4.530%
Last 5 (5)83.688.0171.6-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.886.0164.8-7.220%
vs Similar ◀ (7)81.384.6165.9-3.329%
vs Weaker (18)83.874.8158.6+9.178%
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
W
97-80
97
80
+17
H07/03
Lega A
Trento
#12
W
86-83
86
83
+3
H30/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Treviso
#7
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A02/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#6
W
76-69
76
69
+7
H05/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#6
L
62-79
62
79
-17
A08/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Trento
#12
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A11/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Treviso
#7
L
62-80
62
80
-18
H14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cremona
#9
W
102-77
102
77
+25
H27/09
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
74-72
74
72
+2
A04/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
65-87
65
87
-22
H11/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
25-19
22-22
25-19
23-21
25-23
13-17
25-22
17-22
24-14
23-18
17-23
20-14
20-17
11-13
25-25
15-21
17-15
14-24
16-19
20-22
6-20
17-18
18-19
21-20
13-24
11-19
17-17
29-19
22-12
30-16
21-30
11-22
24-15
17-19
22-16
12-26
24-19
9-24
20-18
154.9Avg total
76.6Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.378.7159.0+1.767%
Season at home (2)83.582.0165.5+1.550%
Season away (1)74.072.0146.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.678.3154.9-1.760%
Last 5 (5)72.879.0151.8-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)73.080.5153.5-7.635%
vs Similar ◀ (7)79.678.9158.4+0.743%
vs Weaker (3)83.777.3161.0+6.367%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.2-0.2
BresciaTrieste
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A04/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cantu
#15
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#13
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A13/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#12
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A27/09
Lega A
Buducnost
#12
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A29/09
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H04/10
Lega A
Ulm
#13
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H07/10
Eurocup
Treviso
#7
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A11/10
Lega A
Mornar Bar
#17
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A14/10
Eurocup
86.9Avg total
43.0Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.040.681.6+0.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.440.681.0-0.253%-
Last 30 away (15)41.540.782.2+0.960%-
Last 10 (10)43.043.986.9-0.960%-
Last 5 (5)44.044.088.0+0.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.044.485.4-3.460%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)40.739.780.4+1.071%-
vs Weaker (18)41.139.981.0+1.150%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H07/03
Lega A
Trento
#12
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H30/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Treviso
#7
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A02/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#6
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H05/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#6
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A08/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Trento
#12
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A11/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Treviso
#7
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cremona
#9
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H27/09
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A04/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H11/10
Lega A
77.8Avg total
39.3Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.139.876.9-2.737%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.440.980.3-1.438%-
Last 30 away (14)34.438.672.9-4.236%-
Last 10 (10)39.338.577.8+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)36.439.876.2-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)35.739.975.6-4.230%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)37.740.077.7-2.329%-
vs Weaker (3)44.738.783.3+6.0100%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.017.6
46.3%
51.2%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.19.5
39.4%
35.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws16.913.3
78.7%
75.8%13.3
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.621.5
50.5%
51.2%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.6
34.1%
35.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws15.211.2
73.7%
75.8%11.2
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
LWWLLLLWLL
Trieste
LWWLLLWWWW
#11
League position
#6
-2.2
Net rating
+0.7
107.9
Offensive rating
107.5
110.1
Defensive rating
106.8
51.3%
Effective FG%
50.7%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
17.8%
Turnover %
17.5%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.22
39.4%
3-point %
34.1%
65.7%
Assist %
53.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 107.5Defence110.1 · 106.8Shooting51.3% · 50.7%3-point %39.4% · 34.1%Ball care17.8% · 17.5%Off. rebounds29.0% · 32.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Brescia   ■ Trieste
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Brescia wins
5
Trieste wins
DateGameScore
09/02/20Brescia v Trieste76-74
19/10/19Trieste v Brescia76-74
03/02/19Brescia v Trieste77-85
21/10/18Trieste v Brescia90-86
13/05/15Brescia v Trieste69-55
10/05/15Trieste v Brescia79-73
08/05/15Trieste v Brescia85-84
05/05/15Brescia v Trieste79-77
03/05/15Brescia v Trieste86-78
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/20AMornar Bar76-95
11/10/20ATreviso94-87
07/10/20HUlm87-84 OT
04/10/20HVirtus Bologna80-81
29/09/20ABuducnost81-93
27/09/20AVarese89-94 OT
13/09/20AVarese100-102
10/09/20HCantu88-78
07/09/20HOlimpia Milano79-91
04/09/20AOlimpia Milano67-81
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/20HOlimpia Milano65-87
04/10/20ASassari74-72
27/09/20HCremona102-77
14/09/20HTreviso62-80
11/09/20ATrento61-79
08/09/20AVenezia62-79
05/09/20HVenezia76-69
02/09/20ATreviso81-77
30/08/20HTrento86-83
07/03/20HPistoia97-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game87.780.091.5
Allowed / game87.381.090.5
Point differential+0.3-1.0+1.0
Avg total175.0161.0182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %33%0%50%
Trieste
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWL50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game80.383.574.0
Allowed / game78.782.072.0
Point differential+1.7+1.5+2.0
Avg total159.0165.5146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano440100%92.867.8+25.0
2 Brindisi43175%84.575.2+9.2
3 Sassari43175%87.079.2+7.8
4 Venezia43175%76.272.5+3.8
5 Trieste32167%80.378.7+1.7
6 Virtus Bologna42250%81.079.2+1.8
7 Reggiana42250%77.878.8-1.0
8 Cantu42250%75.877.8-2.0
9 Varese42250%82.285.5-3.2
10 Cremona42250%79.586.0-6.5
11 Brescia31233%87.787.3+0.3
12 Fortitudo Bologna41325%84.582.0+2.5
13 Pesaro41325%76.079.8-3.8
14 Trento41325%75.580.2-4.8
15 Treviso41325%79.594.2-14.8
16 Virtus Roma41325%72.888.2-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia291981975
Trieste918211563
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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