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Guaros de Lara vs Brillantes Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 63-74
21-16 14-23 19-26 9-9
Position#3
Record4-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game79.2
vs
Position#6
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game80.5
VenezuelaSuperliga· Domo Bolivariano de Barquisimeto (Barquisimeto)
Other2023
Meetings · Guaros de Lara v Brillantes
05 Jun 2023
GUAR73
BRIL61
04 Jun 2023
GUAR100
BRIL67
03 May 2023
GUAR83
BRIL77
29 Mar 2023
GUAR63
BRIL74
10 Aug 2022
GUAR99
BRIL87
09 Aug 2022
GUAR75
BRIL84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guaros de Lara winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brillantes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Guaros de LaraVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLara
Date
Competition
Heroes de Falcon
#11
L
79-106
79
106
-27
no box
A01/09
Superliga
Brillantes
#7
L
60-89
60
89
-29
no box
A03/09
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#15
W
92-79
92
79
+13
no box
A04/09
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#11
W
81-77
81
77
+4
no box
H10/09
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#11
L
89-96
89
96
-7
no box
H11/09
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
56-100
56
100
-44
47avg 70
A19/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
99-81
99
81
+18
96avg 70
A21/03
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
87-75
87
75
+12
81avg 70
A22/03
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
86-72
86
72
+14
69avg 70
H25/03
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
73-68
73
68
+5
60avg 70
H28/03
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
17-40
23-23
17-23
14-20
17-17
11-29
18-23
21-23
27-21
21-23
23-12
18-22
17-9
23-20
23-26
16-24
33-22
24-23
16-27
15-22
14-27
19-21
8-30
28-20
18-16
25-18
28-27
19-24
28-20
26-16
14-15
26-11
21-23
18-14
21-24
25-20
19-20
12-16
17-12
164.5Avg total
80.2Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)80.279.2159.4+1.080%
Season at home (2)79.570.0149.5+9.5100%
Season away (3)80.785.3166.0-4.767%
Last 10 (10)80.284.3164.5-4.160%
Last 5 (5)80.279.2159.4+1.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)72.682.7155.2-10.122%
vs Similar ◀ (11)77.585.8163.3-8.427%
vs Weaker (10)85.870.8156.6+15.0100%
This opponent (Brillantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrillantesVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrillantes
Date
Competition
Trotamundos
#1
W
73-69
73
69
+4
no box
A24/09
Superliga
Trotamundos
#1
L
69-89
69
89
-20
no box
A24/09
Superliga
Trotamundos
#1
L
75-80
75
80
-5
no box
H27/09
Superliga
Trotamundos
#1
L
85-86
85
86
-1
no box
H28/09
Superliga
Trotamundos
#1
W
92-86
92
86
+6
no box
H29/09
Superliga
Trotamundos
#1
L
64-82
64
82
-18
no box
A02/10
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
90-92
90
92
-2
55avg 68
A19/03
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
84-66
84
66
+18
48avg 68
A20/03
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
92-76
92
76
+16
88avg 68
H25/03
Superliga
Broncos
#5
W
90-88
90
88
+2
83avg 68
H26/03
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
20-19
18-20
17-12
14-16
20-18
15-25
20-30
28-21
14-20
14-21
19-18
15-14
18-22
22-28
30-22
25-14
21-33
25-20
21-19
12-16
12-19
20-28
20-19
18-16
22-33
22-21
28-22
19-17
26-15
16-11
23-23
18-20
26-17
13-20
35-19
19-22
28-22
23-18
20-26
162.8Avg total
81.4Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)89.080.5169.5+8.575%
Season at home (2)91.082.0173.0+9.0100%
Season away (2)87.079.0166.0+8.050%
Last 10 (10)81.481.4162.8+0.050%
Last 5 (5)84.080.8164.8+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)90.088.0178.0+2.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (23)81.779.9161.6+1.757%
vs Weaker (6)87.078.0165.0+9.067%
This opponent (Guaros de Lara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +2.3+2.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +2.3+2.3
Guaros de LaraBrillantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Guaros de LaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Heroes de Falcon
#11
L
39-60
39
60
-21
A01/09
Superliga
Brillantes
#7
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A03/09
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#15
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A04/09
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#11
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H10/09
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#11
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H11/09
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A19/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A21/03
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A22/03
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H25/03
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H28/03
Superliga
83.6Avg total
41.5Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.137.878.9+3.467%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.936.379.1+6.664%-
Last 30 away (16)39.639.178.7+0.669%-
Last 10 (10)41.542.183.6-0.670%-
Last 5 (5)42.640.683.2+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.937.976.8+1.056%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.140.779.8-1.655%-
vs Weaker (10)45.434.479.8+11.090%-
This opponent (Brillantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrillantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trotamundos
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A24/09
Superliga
Trotamundos
#1
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A24/09
Superliga
Trotamundos
#1
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H27/09
Superliga
Trotamundos
#1
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H28/09
Superliga
Trotamundos
#1
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H29/09
Superliga
Trotamundos
#1
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A02/10
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A19/03
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A20/03
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H25/03
Superliga
Broncos
#5
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H26/03
Superliga
78.5Avg total
39.3Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.338.277.5+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.638.176.7+0.650%-
Last 30 away (14)40.138.478.4+1.757%-
Last 10 (10)39.339.278.5+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)40.039.479.4+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)47.044.091.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)38.137.775.8+0.548%-
vs Weaker (6)42.539.381.8+3.267%-
This opponent (Guaros de Lara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guaros de Laratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guaros de Lara: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.821.2
59.2%
50.8%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.2
29.9%
31.3%24.6
🏀 Free throws18.612.4
66.7%
65.6%12.4
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brillantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brillantes: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.5 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.8
51.7%
50.8%37.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.212.2
39.2%
31.3%36.8
🏀 Free throws19.013.8
72.4%
65.6%13.8
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/4 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guaros de Lara
WWWWLLWWLL
Brillantes
WWWLLWLLLW
#3
League position
#6
+1.3
Net rating
+9.4
101.3
Offensive rating
110.1
100.0
Defensive rating
100.7
53.0%
Effective FG%
55.0%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
16.7%
Turnover %
19.7%
18.4%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
29.9%
3-point %
39.2%
59.9%
Assist %
62.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.3 · 110.1Defence100.0 · 100.7Shooting53.0% · 55.0%3-point %29.9% · 39.2%Ball care16.7% · 19.7%Off. rebounds18.4% · 31.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Guaros de Lara   ■ Brillantes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Guaros de Lara wins
3
Brillantes wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/23HCentauros73-68
25/03/23HLlaneros86-72
22/03/23AToros de Aragua87-75
21/03/23AFrontinos99-81
19/03/23ABroncos56-100
11/09/22HHeroes de Falcon89-96
10/09/22HHeroes de Falcon81-77
04/09/22AGaiteros del Zulia92-79
03/09/22ABrillantes60-89
01/09/22AHeroes de Falcon79-106
Brillanteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/23HBroncos90-88
25/03/23HTrotamundos92-76
20/03/23AGaiteros del Zulia84-66
19/03/23AGaiteros del Zulia90-92
02/10/22ATrotamundos64-82
29/09/22HTrotamundos92-86
28/09/22HTrotamundos85-86
27/09/22HTrotamundos75-80
24/09/22ATrotamundos69-89
24/09/22ATrotamundos73-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guaros de Lara
Superliga 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game80.279.580.7
Allowed / game79.270.085.3
Point differential+1.0+9.5-4.7
Avg total159.4149.5166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brillantes
Superliga 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game89.091.087.0
Allowed / game80.582.079.0
Point differential+8.5+9.0+8.0
Avg total169.5173.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cocodrilos550100%77.263.6+13.6
2 Piratas de La Guaira440100%81.869.2+12.5
3 Guaiqueries54180%94.083.2+10.8
4 Guaros de Lara54180%80.279.2+1.0
5 Brillantes43175%89.080.5+8.5
6 Gladiadores43175%85.877.8+8.0
7 Broncos64267%89.774.2+15.5
8 Trotamundos53260%77.477.8-0.4
9 Gaiteros del Zulia53260%76.882.0-5.2
10 Heroes de Falcon63350%86.283.5+2.7
11 Panteras63350%72.770.8+1.8
12 Centauros52340%70.670.6+0.0
13 Toros de Aragua41325%71.278.5-7.2
14 Gigantes41325%77.585.2-7.8
15 Marinos41325%80.288.0-7.8
16 Llaneros51420%75.280.2-5.0
17 Cangrejeros51420%76.887.4-10.6
18 Frontinos51420%76.689.8-13.2
19 Diablos51420%69.283.0-13.8
20 Spartans4040%66.073.8-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guaros de Lara211419963
Brillantes162326974
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