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Bucaros vs Cafeteros Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 24 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 79-91
21-22 17-28 17-23 24-18
Position#5
Record17-14
FormWWWWL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game74.5
Bucaros
Colombia
vs
Cafeteros 🏆
Colombia
Position#3
Record24-9
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game68.0
ColombiaLBPLBP - Quarter-finals· Coliseo Bicentenario
Other2023-24Neutral venue
Meetings · Bucaros v Cafeteros
23 Oct 2023
BUCA79
CAFE91
22 Oct 2023
BUCA62
CAFE76
30 May 2022
BUCA77
CAFE85
27 May 2022
BUCA76
CAFE96
11 May 2022
BUCA83
CAFE69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bucaros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cafeteros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BucarosColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucaros
Date
Competition
Piratas de Bogota
#4
L
79-90
79
90
-11
64avg 61
H01/10
LBP
Corsarios Cartagena
#9
W
86-77
86
77
+9
58avg 61
A02/10
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
L
81-90
81
90
-9
70avg 61
A06/10
LBP
Condores de Cundinamarca
#11
W
90-58
90
58
+32
86avg 61
H08/10
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#1
L
80-98
80
98
-18
48avg 61
H09/10
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
W
91-68
91
68
+23
87avg 61
A11/10
LBP
Corsarios Cartagena
#9
W
99-89
99
89
+10
89avg 61
H12/10
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
W
65-63
65
63
+2
43avg 61
A20/10
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
W
77-69
77
69
+8
70avg 61
A21/10
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
L
62-76
62
76
-14
51avg 61
H22/10
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
18-16
28-31
15-21
25-15
15-22
24-15
22-25
12-25
25-18
16-24
28-23
18-21
27-12
23-19
22-6
17-31
16-23
18-20
29-24
18-19
28-12
19-21
26-16
23-20
30-23
24-21
22-25
20-18
19-15
13-18
13-12
14-15
14-22
23-13
26-19
19-14
10-25
14-17
19-20
158.8Avg total
81.0Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)77.274.5151.6+2.755%
Season at home (15)78.275.7153.9+2.553%
Season away (16)76.273.3149.5+2.956%
Last 10 (10)81.077.8158.8+3.260%
Last 5 (5)78.873.0151.8+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)69.378.6147.9-9.436%
vs Similar (11)74.578.3152.7-3.836%
vs Weaker (8)92.463.9156.2+28.5100%
This opponent (Cafeteros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CafeterosColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCafeteros
Date
Competition
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
80-46
80
46
+34
79avg 69
A29/09
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
100-61
100
61
+39
38avg 69
H01/10
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
W
78-71
78
71
+7
67avg 69
A03/10
LBP
Tigrillos de Antioqui
#8
W
81-46
81
46
+35
78avg 69
A05/10
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
81-71
81
71
+10
80avg 69
H09/10
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
100-55
100
55
+45
104avg 69
A11/10
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
W
77-74
77
74
+3
73avg 69
H13/10
LBP
Bucaros
#5
L
63-65
63
65
-2
33avg 69
H20/10
LBP
Bucaros
#5
L
69-77
69
77
-8
60avg 69
H21/10
LBP
Bucaros
#5
W
76-62
76
62
+14
68avg 69
A22/10
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-7
28-12
17-14
14-13
29-18
29-20
26-11
16-12
16-20
16-23
21-13
25-15
24-15
20-10
16-16
21-5
21-22
20-21
18-15
22-13
15-10
28-20
31-8
26-17
15-13
14-21
25-18
23-22
18-20
15-19
18-13
12-13
15-14
22-14
13-23
19-26
14-19
25-10
17-14
20-19
143.3Avg total
80.5Scored
62.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)79.168.0147.1+11.173%
Season at home (18)80.669.1149.7+11.478%
Season away (15)77.466.7144.1+10.767%
Last 10 (10)80.562.8143.3+17.780%
Last 5 (5)77.066.6143.6+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)74.974.6149.5+0.364%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)81.864.2145.9+17.679%
This opponent (Bucaros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +4.3+4.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +4.3+4.3
BucarosCafeteros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BucarosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Piratas de Bogota
#4
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H01/10
LBP
Corsarios Cartagena
#9
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A02/10
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A06/10
LBP
Condores de Cundinamarca
#11
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H08/10
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#1
L
33-54
33
54
-21
H09/10
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A11/10
LBP
Corsarios Cartagena
#9
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H12/10
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A20/10
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A21/10
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H22/10
LBP
77.4Avg total
38.6Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.838.976.8-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.740.979.6-2.243%-
Last 30 away (16)37.137.274.2-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)38.638.877.4-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)39.036.675.6+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)34.543.578.0-8.927%-
vs Similar (11)35.538.373.8-2.727%-
vs Weaker (8)45.533.679.1+11.9100%-
This opponent (Cafeteros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CafeterosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
49-19
49
19
+30
A29/09
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
58-38
58
38
+20
H01/10
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A03/10
LBP
Tigrillos de Antioqui
#8
W
44-25
44
25
+19
A05/10
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H09/10
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A11/10
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H13/10
LBP
Bucaros
#5
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H20/10
LBP
Bucaros
#5
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H21/10
LBP
Bucaros
#5
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A22/10
LBP
73.3Avg total
40.5Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.535.975.4+3.763%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.137.077.1+3.165%-
Last 30 away (13)38.834.473.2+4.562%-
Last 10 (10)40.532.873.3+7.760%-
Last 5 (5)36.232.068.2+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)35.340.876.1-5.527%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)42.033.075.0+9.084%-
This opponent (Bucaros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bucarostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bucaros: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.5 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.223.2
49.2%
48.8%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.0
31.4%
31.7%21.0
🏀 Free throws20.712.8
61.8%
66.7%12.8
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cafeterostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cafeteros: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.5 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.521.6
57.6%
48.8%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.48.6
29.3%
31.7%25.8
🏀 Free throws15.810.7
67.7%
66.7%10.7
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bucaros
LWWWWLWLWL
Cafeteros
WLLWWWWWWW
#5
League position
#3
+3.8
Net rating
+23.1
101.5
Offensive rating
102.8
97.7
Defensive rating
79.7
48.5%
Effective FG%
51.6%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
40.0%
17.6%
Turnover %
17.4%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.24
31.4%
3-point %
29.3%
41.7%
Assist %
60.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence101.5 · 102.8Defence97.7 · 79.7Shooting48.5% · 51.6%3-point %31.4% · 29.3%Ball care17.6% · 17.4%Off. rebounds31.4% · 25.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Bucaros   ■ Cafeteros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bucaros wins
6
Cafeteros wins
DateGameScore
22/10/23Bucaros v Cafeteros62-76
21/10/23Cafeteros v Bucaros69-77
20/10/23Cafeteros v Bucaros63-65
30/05/22Bucaros v Cafeteros77-85
27/05/22Bucaros v Cafeteros76-96
26/05/22Cafeteros v Bucaros94-82
11/05/22Bucaros v Cafeteros83-69
25/04/22Cafeteros v Bucaros90-86
06/11/21Cafeteros v Bucaros54-45
Bucaroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/23HCafeteros62-76
21/10/23ACafeteros77-69
20/10/23ACafeteros65-63
12/10/23HCorsarios Cartagena99-89
11/10/23APiratas de Bogota91-68
09/10/23HTitanes de Barranquilla80-98
08/10/23HCondores de Cundinamarca90-58
06/10/23AMotilones del Norte81-90
02/10/23ACorsarios Cartagena86-77
01/10/23HPiratas de Bogota79-90
Cafeteroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/23ABucaros76-62
21/10/23HBucaros69-77
20/10/23HBucaros63-65
13/10/23HCaribbean Storm Islands77-74
11/10/23ASabios de Manizales100-55
09/10/23HCimarrones del Choco81-71
05/10/23ATigrillos de Antioqui81-46
03/10/23ACaribbean Storm Islands78-71
01/10/23HSabios de Manizales100-61
29/09/23ACimarrones del Choco80-46

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bucaros
LBP 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL55%
HomeLWLWL53%
AwayWLWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %55%53%56%
Points / game77.278.276.2
Allowed / game74.575.773.3
Point differential+2.7+2.5+2.9
Avg total151.6153.9149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%20%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)40% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Cafeteros
LBP 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW73%
HomeWWWLL78%
AwayWWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331815
Win %73%78%67%
Points / game79.180.677.4
Allowed / game68.069.166.7
Point differential+11.1+11.4+10.7
Avg total147.1149.7144.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%44%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)80% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Titanes de Barranquilla3025583%88.972.1+16.8
2 Caribbean Storm Islands3024680%79.666.9+12.7
3 Cafeteros3324973%79.168.0+11.1
4 Piratas de Bogota32201262%81.476.7+4.7
5 Bucaros31171455%77.274.5+2.7
6 Motilones del Norte31131842%77.576.7+0.8
7 Cimarrones del Choco2581732%68.474.0-5.6
8 Tigrillos de Antioqui82625%72.282.1-9.9
9 Corsarios Cartagena2632312%63.885.5-21.7
10 Sabios de Manizales2021810%65.988.2-22.3
11 Condores de Cundinamarca100100%71.899.7-27.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bucaros2117172479
Cafeteros2228231891
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