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Bucknell vs Siena Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Projected 72-77
Projected total 149.8
Scheduled
Position#398
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game62.2
Allowed / game87.5
Vs
33%
67%
■ BUCK 33%■ SIE 67%
Pythia win probability
Position#133
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game77.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Bucknell v Siena
21 Nov 2026
BUCK v SIE
upcoming
28 Nov 2021
BUCK65
SIE56
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Bucknell host Siena in the NCAA. Pythia makes Siena the favourite at 67% and projects 72-77, about 150 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. Bucknell are 0-4 this season (62.2 scored, 87.5 allowed a game), form LLLLL; Siena are 3-1 this season (83.8 scored, 77.8 allowed a game), form LLWWW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bucknell win
33.2%fair 3.01
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Siena win
66.8%fair 1.50
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BucknellUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
American University
#204
L
57-75
57
75
-18
H19/02
NCAA
Holy Cross
#321
L
63-72
63
72
-9
H22/02
NCAA
Army
#318
W
75-73
75
73
+2
A25/02
NCAA
Lehigh
#197
L
79-89
79
89
-10
A28/02
NCAA
Army
#318
W
65-55
65
55
+10
H04/03
NCAA
Navy
#24
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A06/03
NCAA
Maryland
#275
L
67-96
67
96
-29
A03/11
NCAA
Old Dominion
#59
L
62-82
62
82
-20
H07/11
NCAA
Virginia
#42
L
61-95
61
95
-34
A11/11
NCAA
Columbia
#95
L
59-77
59
77
-18
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-36
27-39
30-31
33-41
36-26
39-47
40-47
39-42
26-25
39-30
39-36
30-38
30-44
37-52
25-26
37-56
31-53
30-42
29-36
30-41
144.5Avg total
65.7Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)62.287.5149.8-25.20%
Season at home (2)60.579.5140.0-19.00%
Season away (2)64.095.5159.5-31.50%
Last 10 (10)65.778.8144.5-13.120%
Last 5 (5)63.684.8148.4-21.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)66.681.3147.9-14.718%
vs Similar (8)68.967.5136.4+1.450%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Siena) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SienaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fairfield
#105
L
58-72
58
72
-14
A28/02
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H01/03
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H08/03
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H09/03
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
W
64-54
64
54
+10
A11/03
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
65-71
65
71
-6
A19/03
NCAA
Bryant University
#340
L
75-80
75
80
-5
A03/11
NCAA
Princeton
#132
W
82-68
82
68
+14
H08/11
NCAA
Dayton
#307
W
99-89
99
89
+10
A11/11
NCAA
Brown
#334
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
23-37
35-35
33-35
43-26
35-21
28-37
40-30
36-31
33-30
31-24
43-32
22-39
41-37
34-43
39-29
43-39
46-45
53-44
34-44
45-30
142.5Avg total
73.7Scored
68.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.877.8161.5+6.075%
Season at home (2)80.571.0151.5+9.5100%
Season away (2)87.084.5171.5+2.550%
Last 10 (10)73.768.8142.5+4.970%
Last 5 (5)80.076.4156.4+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)65.071.0136.0-6.00%
vs Similar (16)69.469.1138.5+0.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)77.266.9144.2+10.385%
This opponent (Bucknell) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 146
Over 146
58.6%
Under 146
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 151
Over 151
46.3%
Under 151
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 156
Over 156
34.4%
Under 156
65.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Bucknell total 80.5
Over 80.5
21.7%
Under 80.5
78.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bucknell total 84.5
Over 84.5
12.4%
Under 84.5
87.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bucknell total 88.5
Over 88.5
6.4%
Under 88.5
93.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Siena total 62
Over 62
93.9%
Under 62
6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Siena total 66
Over 66
87.5%
Under 66
12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Siena total 70
Over 70
77.2%
Under 70
22.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Bucknell -3
BUCK -3
25.2%
SIE +3
74.8%
Best 5 market prices
BUCK
No market prices yet.
SIE
No market prices yet.
Spread Bucknell 0
BUCK 0
33.2%
SIE 0
66.8%
Best 5 market prices
BUCK
No market prices yet.
SIE
No market prices yet.
Spread Bucknell +3
BUCK +3
41.5%
SIE -3
58.5%
Best 5 market prices
BUCK
No market prices yet.
SIE
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: -4.4-4.41st half: +2.7+2.72nd half2nd half: -8.7-8.72nd half: +2.2+2.2
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: -4.4-4.41st half: +2.7+2.72nd half2nd half: -8.7-8.72nd half: +2.2+2.2
BucknellSiena
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BucknellLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
American University
#204
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H19/02
NCAA
Holy Cross
#321
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H22/02
NCAA
Army
#318
W
36-26
36
26
+10
A25/02
NCAA
Lehigh
#197
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A28/02
NCAA
Army
#318
W
26-25
26
25
+1
H04/03
NCAA
Navy
#24
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A06/03
NCAA
Maryland
#275
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A03/11
NCAA
Old Dominion
#59
L
25-26
25
26
-1
H07/11
NCAA
Virginia
#42
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A11/11
NCAA
Columbia
#95
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H14/11
NCAA
67.6Avg total
31.6Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.035.965.9-5.827%-
Last 30 at home (15)29.234.063.2-4.827%-
Last 30 away (15)30.937.768.6-6.927%-
Last 10 (10)31.636.067.6-4.430%-
Last 5 (5)30.839.069.8-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)29.237.766.9-8.514%-
vs Similar (8)32.430.963.2+1.562%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Siena) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SienaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fairfield
#105
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A28/02
NCAA
Rider
#367
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H01/03
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
W
35-21
35
21
+14
H08/03
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H09/03
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A11/03
NCAA
Duke
#8
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A19/03
NCAA
Bryant University
#340
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A03/11
NCAA
Princeton
#132
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H08/11
NCAA
Dayton
#307
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A11/11
NCAA
Brown
#334
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H15/11
NCAA
70.7Avg total
36.7Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.533.769.2+1.860%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.932.568.4+3.450%-
Last 30 away (16)35.234.869.9+0.469%-
Last 10 (10)36.734.070.7+2.770%-
Last 5 (5)40.637.478.0+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.032.075.0+11.0100%-
vs Similar (16)32.235.167.3-2.844%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)39.032.271.2+6.877%-
This opponent (Bucknell) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Bucknell wins
2
Siena wins
DateGameScore
30/11/24Siena v Bucknell71-58
28/11/21Bucknell v Siena65-56 OT
21/12/19Siena v Bucknell81-71
Bucknelllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HColumbia59-77
11/11/26AVirginia61-95
07/11/26HOld Dominion62-82
03/11/26AMaryland67-96
06/03/26ANavy69-74
04/03/26HArmy65-55
28/02/26ALehigh79-89
25/02/26AArmy75-73
22/02/26HHoly Cross63-72
19/02/26HAmerican University57-75
Sienalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HBrown79-74
11/11/26ADayton99-89
08/11/26HPrinceton82-68
03/11/26ABryant University75-80
19/03/26ADuke65-71
11/03/26AMerrimack Warriors64-54
09/03/26HFairfield76-61
08/03/26HMount St. Mary's63-58
01/03/26HRider76-61
28/02/26AFairfield58-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bucknell
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game62.260.564.0
Allowed / game87.579.595.5
Point differential-25.2-19.0-31.5
Avg total149.8140.0159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Siena
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game83.880.587.0
Allowed / game77.871.084.5
Point differential+6.0+9.5+2.5
Avg total161.5151.5171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Patriot League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Navy54180%69.265.8+3.4
2 Boston University43175%80.074.5+5.5
3 Army42250%75.566.2+9.2
4 Lafayette63350%76.267.2+9.0
5 Lehigh42250%64.570.2-5.8
6 American University31233%64.075.0-11.0
7 Loyola Maryland51420%68.473.0-4.6
8 Colgate3030%69.785.7-16.0
9 Bucknell4040%62.287.5-25.2
10 Holy Cross3030%64.092.7-28.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siena43175%83.877.8+6.0
2 Sacred Heart42250%84.868.2+16.5
3 Merrimack Warriors42250%62.865.8-3.0
4 Canisius42250%77.281.5-4.2
5 Quinnipiac42250%68.575.5-7.0
6 Fairfield42250%60.071.8-11.8
7 Iona52340%64.869.6-4.8
8 Mount St. Mary's31233%60.778.7-18.0
9 Marist41325%67.869.2-1.5
10 Manhattan41325%63.873.8-10.0
11 Rider51420%64.077.6-13.6
12 St. Peters4040%47.563.8-16.2
13 Niagara3030%63.084.0-21.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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