Siena hosts Princeton on 8 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names Siena the clear favourite, rating them 88% to win, a reflection of their 0-1 record and 75.0 points per game against 80.0 allowed, while Princeton sits 2-0 with 69.0 points per game and 52.0 allowed, a 12% chance to win. Siena's single game this season shows a modest start, yet they have won 3 of their last 5, and recent outings include a 64-54 win over Merrimack and two losses to Bryant and Duke, both away. Princeton's two-game stretch has been perfect, with wins over Hofstra and Carnegie Mellon at home and a 53-78 loss to Yale away, and they also have a 3-2 record in their last five. The teams have met once before, with Princeton winning that encounter. Pythia projects a 77-63 score, 140.3 total points, and a 1.0-point line that Siena covers with 88% probability; the over on the 154.0 line is only 19% likely, and the game has a 2% chance of overtime. The next game will see Siena attempting to improve from their lone loss.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Siena winWon
88.4%fair 1.13
Best odds2.15
Implied45.9%
Edge+42.5pp
Princeton winLost
11.6%fair 8.63
Best odds1.82
Implied54.1%
Edge-42.5pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 07 Nov 07:12 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Siena) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 147Actual: Over 147
Over 147
33.3%
@ 1.65-36.2pp
Under 147
66.7%
@ 3.05+36.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.65
Bet365
1.34
Under
Bet365
3.05
Over/Under 152 · main lineActual: Under 152
Over 152
22.9%
@ 1.86-30.0pp
Under 152
77.1%
@ 2.15+30.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.86
Marathon Be
1.66
Bet365
1.62
Under
Bet365
2.15
Marathon Be
1.86
1xBet
1.86
Over/Under 157Actual: Under 157
Over 157
14.7%
@ 2.12-29.0pp
Under 157
85.3%
@ 1.68+29.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.12
Under
Marathon Be
1.68
Bet365
1.64
📊 3. Team Totals
Siena total 71.5Actual: Siena over 71.5
Over 71.5
no forecast
@ 1.34
Under 71.5
no forecast
@ 3.20
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.30
Under
1xBet
3.20
Betano
2.80
Siena total 75.5 · main lineActual: Siena over 75.5
Over 75.5
56.0%
@ 1.83+5.2pp
Under 75.5
44.0%
@ 2.00-5.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
Marathon Be
1.82
1xBet
1.82
Betano
1.72
Under
Betano
2.00
Marathon Be
1.88
1xBet
1.88
Bet365
1.83
Siena total 79.5Actual: Siena over 79.5
Over 79.5
40.0%
@ 2.35+1.5pp
Under 79.5
60.0%
@ 1.47-1.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.35
Under
Betano
1.47
Princeton total 73Actual: Princeton under 73
Over 73
16.1%
Under 73
83.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Princeton total 77 · main lineActual: Princeton under 77
Over 77
8.5%
@ 1.85-41.5pp
Under 77
91.5%
@ 1.85+41.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Princeton total 80.5Actual: Princeton under 80.5
Over 80.5
no forecast
@ 2.38
Under 80.5
no forecast
@ 1.55
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.38
Betano
2.18
Under
Betano
1.55
1xBet
1.53
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Siena -1Actual: Siena -1
SIE -1
88.2%
@ 2.19+44.5pp
PRIN +1
11.8%
@ 1.90-44.5pp
Best 5 market prices
SIE
Pinnacle
2.19
Marathon Be
1.98
Bet365
1.91
PRIN
Bet365
1.90
Pinnacle
1.70
Marathon Be
1.61
Spread Siena +2 · main lineActual: Siena +2
SIE +2
91.1%
@ 1.89+40.4pp
PRIN -2
8.9%
@ 2.05-40.4pp
Best 5 market prices
SIE
Pinnacle
1.89
Marathon Be
1.86
1xBet
1.73
Bet365
1.68
PRIN
Bet365
2.05
1xBet
2.00
Pinnacle
1.94
Marathon Be
1.85
Spread Siena +5Actual: Siena +5
SIE +5
94.3%
@ 1.43+29.4pp
PRIN -5
5.7%
@ 2.65-29.4pp
Best 5 market prices
SIE
Bet365
1.43
PRIN
Bet365
2.65
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
SienaPrinceton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
This opponent (Siena) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
2nd half winnerActual: Siena win
SIE win
no forecast
@ 2.05
PRIN win
no forecast
@ 1.78
2nd half Spread Siena +1.5 · main lineActual: Siena +1.5
SIE +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.78
PRIN -1.5
no forecast
@ 1.98
2nd half Over/Under 81.5 · main lineActual: Over 81.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.90
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
2nd half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Siena (regulation)
SIE
no forecast
@ 2.10
Draw
no forecast
@ 17.50
PRIN
no forecast
@ 1.83
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Princeton under 69.5
73.4%
4.50
Bet365
4.50
1xBet
4.50
-
-
-
+52.8pp
Won
Princeton under 70.5
76.4%
3.90
Bet365
3.90
-
-
-
-
+52.6pp
Won
Princeton under 72.5
81.9%
3.06
1xBet
3.20
Betano
2.92
-
-
-
+52.0pp
Won
Princeton under 68.5
70.1%
5.12
Bet365
5.25
1xBet
5.00
-
-
-
+51.9pp
Won
Princeton under 74.5
86.5%
2.49
1xBet
2.50
Betano
2.47
-
-
-
+49.5pp
Won
Princeton under 71.5
79.3%
3.05
1xBet
3.25
Bet365
2.85
-
-
-
+48.9pp
Won
Princeton under 73.5
84.3%
2.55
Betano
2.70
Bet365
2.40
-
-
-
+48.2pp
Won
Siena -2
86.6%
2.16
Pinnacle
2.37
Marathon Bet
2.15
Bet365
1.96
-
-
+46.2pp
Won
Siena (regulation)
86.8%
2.11
Betano
2.20
Marathon Bet
2.18
1xBet
1.94
-
-
+45.3pp
Won
Siena -1.5
87.0%
2.05
Pinnacle
2.26
Betano
2.22
Marathon Bet
2.06
Bet365
1.96
1xBet
1.90
+44.6pp
Won
Siena -1
88.2%
2.03
Pinnacle
2.19
Marathon Bet
1.98
Bet365
1.91
-
-
+44.5pp
Won
Siena -5.5
77.2%
2.85
Betano
3.20
Bet365
2.50
-
-
-
+44.2pp
Won
Siena -2.5
84.5%
2.19
Betano
2.40
Pinnacle
2.37
Bet365
2.01
1xBet
2.00
-
+44.1pp
Won
Princeton under 75.5
88.4%
2.25
1xBet
2.38
Betano
2.25
Pinnacle
2.12
-
-
+44.1pp
Won
Siena -6.5
74.2%
3.10
Betano
3.50
Bet365
2.70
-
-
-
+44.0pp
Won
Siena -4.5
79.9%
2.60
Betano
2.90
Bet365
2.30
-
-
-
+44.0pp
Won
Siena -3
84.2%
2.21
Pinnacle
2.35
Bet365
2.07
-
-
-
+43.5pp
Won
Princeton under 78
92.9%
1.86
Marathon Bet
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
-
-
-
+43.1pp
Won
Princeton under 76.5
90.1%
1.90
Betano
2.07
Pinnacle
2.01
Bet365
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.83
+43.0pp
Won
Siena +1
89.5%
1.93
Pinnacle
2.06
Marathon Bet
2.00
1xBet
1.86
Bet365
1.80
-
+43.0pp
Won
Siena -7.5
71.2%
3.27
Betano
3.55
Bet365
3.00
-
-
-
+42.8pp
Won
Princeton under 78.5
92.9%
1.83
Marathon Bet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.80
Bet365
1.80
-
+42.5pp
Won
Siena win
88.4%
2.05
Betano
2.15
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
2.09
Marathon Bet
2.08
WilliamHill
2.05
+42.5pp
Won
Siena -7
73.4%
2.95
Bet365
2.95
-
-
-
-
+42.0pp
Won
Siena -6
76.5%
2.65
Bet365
2.65
-
-
-
-
+41.7pp
Won
Princeton under 77.5
91.6%
1.89
Betano
1.95
BetVictor
1.95
WilliamHill
1.91
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathon Bet
1.86
+41.6pp
Won
Siena +1.5
89.6%
1.93
Bet365
2.01
Pinnacle
2.00
Betano
1.98
Marathon Bet
1.93
1xBet
1.91
+41.5pp
Won
Princeton under 77
91.5%
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
-
-
-
+41.5pp
Won
Siena -5
79.3%
2.45
Bet365
2.45
-
-
-
-
+41.4pp
Won
Siena -4
82.0%
2.25
Bet365
2.25
-
-
-
-
+41.2pp
Won
Siena -8
70.2%
3.15
Bet365
3.15
-
-
-
-
+40.8pp
Won
Siena +2
91.1%
1.79
Pinnacle
1.89
Marathon Bet
1.86
1xBet
1.73
Bet365
1.68
-
+40.4pp
Won
Siena -3.5
82.5%
2.31
Betano
2.65
Bet365
2.15
1xBet
2.12
-
-
+39.8pp
Won
Princeton under 76
89.9%
1.83
Marathon Bet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
-
-
-
+39.4pp
Won
Siena +2.5
91.2%
1.72
Betano
1.83
Pinnacle
1.81
Marathon Bet
1.79
Bet365
1.64
1xBet
1.55
+38.2pp
Won
Siena +3
92.2%
1.70
Pinnacle
1.75
Marathon Bet
1.74
1xBet
1.74
Bet365
1.58
-
+37.3pp
Won
Siena +3.5
92.3%
1.64
Betano
1.72
Marathon Bet
1.68
Pinnacle
1.68
1xBet
1.58
Bet365
1.55
+35.4pp
Won
Under 153
79.0%
2.03
Pinnacle
2.08
Bet365
2.05
Marathon Bet
1.97
-
-
+33.3pp
Won
Siena +4.5
93.4%
1.54
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.47
-
-
-
+32.9pp
Won
Under 152.5
77.6%
2.05
Pinnacle
2.12
Bet365
2.10
Betano
2.05
Marathon Bet
2.00
1xBet
1.96
+32.8pp
Won
Under 154
80.7%
1.95
Pinnacle
1.97
Bet365
1.95
Marathon Bet
1.93
-
-
+32.5pp
Won
Under 153.5
79.3%
1.98
Pinnacle
2.02
Betano
2.00
WilliamHill
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Marathon Bet
1.96
+32.4pp
Won
Siena +4
93.3%
1.52
Bet365
1.52
-
-
-
-
+32.1pp
Won
Under 151.5
75.7%
2.08
Bet365
2.22
Betano
2.18
1xBet
2.03
Marathon Bet
1.90
-
+31.7pp
Won
Under 155
82.3%
1.84
Pinnacle
1.87
Marathon Bet
1.86
Bet365
1.80
-
-
+31.6pp
Won
Under 154.5
81.0%
1.88
Pinnacle
1.93
Bet365
1.92
Marathon Bet
1.90
Betano
1.90
SBO
1.87
+31.6pp
Won
Siena +5.5
94.4%
1.45
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
+30.8pp
Won
Under 150.5
73.7%
2.17
Bet365
2.40
Betano
2.27
1xBet
2.03
Marathon Bet
1.96
-
+30.7pp
Won
Under 156
83.9%
1.75
Pinnacle
1.78
Marathon Bet
1.76
Bet365
1.71
-
-
+30.5pp
Won
Under 155.5
82.6%
1.80
1xBet
1.83
Pinnacle
1.82
Marathon Bet
1.81
Betano
1.80
WilliamHill
1.80
+30.4pp
Won
Under 150
73.2%
2.15
Bet365
2.50
Marathon Bet
1.80
-
-
-
+30.2pp
Push
Under 152
77.1%
1.96
Bet365
2.15
Marathon Bet
1.86
1xBet
1.86
-
-
+30.0pp
Won
Under 149
71.1%
2.25
Bet365
2.62
Marathon Bet
1.88
-
-
-
+29.8pp
Lost
Under 149.5
71.7%
2.21
Bet365
2.55
Betano
2.40
1xBet
2.03
Marathon Bet
1.85
-
+29.7pp
Lost
Under 156.5
84.1%
1.71
1xBet
1.77
Pinnacle
1.74
WilliamHill
1.73
Marathon Bet
1.72
Betano
1.67
+29.6pp
Won
Siena +5
94.3%
1.43
Bet365
1.43
-
-
-
-
+29.4pp
Won
Under 151
75.2%
2.04
Bet365
2.25
Marathon Bet
1.93
1xBet
1.93
-
-
+29.1pp
Won
Under 157
85.3%
1.66
Marathon Bet
1.68
Bet365
1.64
-
-
-
+29.0pp
Won
Siena +6.5
95.2%
1.39
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.35
-
-
-
+28.4pp
Won
Under 157.5
85.6%
1.63
1xBet
1.70
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.58
-
-
+27.9pp
Won
Siena +6
95.2%
1.37
Bet365
1.37
-
-
-
-
+27.7pp
Won
Under 158
86.7%
1.55
Bet365
1.55
-
-
-
-
+27.0pp
Won
Siena +7.5
96.0%
1.35
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
+27.0pp
Won
Under 158.5
86.9%
1.54
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.54
-
-
-
+27.0pp
Won
Siena +7
95.9%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+26.1pp
Won
Under 159.5
88.1%
1.48
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.47
-
-
-
+25.6pp
Won
Under 159
88.0%
1.50
Bet365
1.50
-
-
-
-
+25.5pp
Won
Under 160
89.1%
1.45
Bet365
1.45
-
-
-
-
+24.9pp
Won
Siena +8.5
96.6%
1.29
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.28
-
-
-
+24.9pp
Won
Under 160.5
89.3%
1.42
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.41
-
-
-
+24.4pp
Won
Siena +8
96.6%
1.29
Bet365
1.29
-
-
-
-
+24.4pp
Won
Under 161
90.2%
1.38
Bet365
1.38
-
-
-
-
+23.2pp
Won
Under 161.5
90.3%
1.38
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.36
-
-
-
+23.1pp
Won
Under 162.5
91.3%
1.35
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
+22.4pp
Won
Siena +9.5
97.1%
1.24
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
+22.4pp
Won
Siena +9
97.1%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+22.4pp
Won
Under 162
91.2%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+21.8pp
Won
Siena +14.5
98.8%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+13.2pp
Won
Under 166.5
94.5%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
+11.4pp
Won
Siena +19.5
99.5%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+9.8pp
Won
Under 171.5
97.0%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+8.3pp
Won
Overtime: no
97.5%
1.04
WilliamHill
1.06
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
+7.8pp
Won
Under 176.5
98.5%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+7.3pp
Won
Siena +24.5
99.8%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+7.0pp
Won
Siena under 96.5
97.5%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.8pp
Won
Siena under 87.5
85.6%
1.13
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-
+3.3pp
Won
Siena under 83.5
74.5%
1.29
1xBet
1.29
-
-
-
-
+2.9pp
Won
Siena under 92.5
94.1%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+2.6pp
Won
Siena under 94.5
96.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.4pp
Won
Siena under 90.5
91.3%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+1.7pp
Won
Siena under 86.5
83.2%
1.13
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
+0.9pp
Won
Siena under 88.5
87.7%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
-0.2pp
Won
Siena under 82.5
71.1%
1.29
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-0.6pp
Won
Siena under 85.5
80.5%
1.13
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-
-1.8pp
Won
Siena under 84.5
77.6%
1.16
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
-
-1.9pp
Won
Over 126.5
80.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-12.7pp
Won
Princeton +20.5
72.9%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-16.8pp
Won
Over 131.5
70.4%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-19.3pp
Won
Princeton over 57.5
71.4%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-22.3pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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