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Bucknell vs UMBC Retrievers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 66-73
26-25 40-48
Position#339
Record2-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.6
Allowed / game81.1
vs
Position#43
Record5-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game70.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bucknell winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMBC Retrievers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BucknellUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware
#326
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H04/11
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
W
73-62
73
62
+11
A08/11
NCAA
Princeton
#337
L
63-73
63
73
-10
A12/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
L
77-83
77
83
-6
H15/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
50-84
50
84
-34
A18/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
49-97
49
97
-48
A21/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A24/11
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H26/11
NCAA
Cornell
#175
L
72-101
72
101
-29
H30/11
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
77-97
77
97
-20
A04/12
NCAA
1H
2H
34-28
44-42
38-30
35-32
36-41
27-32
41-34
36-49
25-38
25-46
25-41
24-56
24-35
42-36
32-45
39-28
30-45
42-56
36-49
41-48
148.7Avg total
67.6Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)67.681.1148.7-13.520%
Season at home (4)74.581.8156.2-7.225%
Season away (6)63.080.7143.7-17.717%
Last 10 (10)67.681.1148.7-13.520%
Last 5 (5)67.087.8154.8-20.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)66.482.3148.8-15.911%
vs Similar (21)77.071.0148.0+6.071%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vermont
#97
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H01/03
NCAA
Bryant University
#81
L
74-85
74
85
-11
A08/03
NCAA
Penn State-York
#423
W
74-53
74
53
+21
H04/11
NCAA
Dayton
#65
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A08/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#244
W
81-79
81
79
+2
A11/11
NCAA
Wagner
#249
W
71-70 OT
71
70
+1
H16/11
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
52-89
52
89
-37
A20/11
NCAA
Notre Dame MD
#558
W
102-52
102
52
+50
H24/11
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
W
71-57
71
57
+14
H29/11
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A04/12
NCAA
1H
2H
39-41
30-38
31-41
43-44
39-25
35-28
37-41
34-36
45-34
36-45
28-32
32-28
17-47
35-42
48-29
54-23
34-22
37-35
37-45
44-45
147.7Avg total
74.6Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)75.470.9146.2+4.562%
Season at home (4)79.558.0137.5+21.5100%
Season away (4)71.283.8155.0-12.525%
Last 10 (10)74.673.1147.7+1.550%
Last 5 (5)75.471.6147.0+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.087.8164.8-10.80%
vs Similar (13)75.280.8156.0-5.738%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)83.372.3155.5+11.064%
This opponent (Bucknell) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -6.5-6.51st half: -0.2-0.22nd half2nd half: -7.0-7.02nd half: +1.6+1.6
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -6.5-6.51st half: -0.2-0.22nd half2nd half: -7.0-7.02nd half: +1.6+1.6
BucknellUMBC Retrievers
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BucknellLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware
#326
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H04/11
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A08/11
NCAA
Princeton
#337
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A12/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H15/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A18/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A21/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A24/11
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H26/11
NCAA
Cornell
#175
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H30/11
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A04/12
NCAA
70.7Avg total
32.1Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.933.568.4+1.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.731.565.2+2.367%-
Last 30 away (15)36.135.571.5+0.653%-
Last 10 (10)32.138.670.7-6.530%-
Last 5 (5)29.443.072.4-13.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)31.939.871.7-7.922%-
vs Similar (21)36.230.867.0+5.476%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vermont
#97
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H01/03
NCAA
Bryant University
#81
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A08/03
NCAA
Penn State-York
#423
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H04/11
NCAA
Dayton
#65
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A08/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#244
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A11/11
NCAA
Wagner
#249
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H16/11
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
17-47
17
47
-30
A20/11
NCAA
Notre Dame MD
#558
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H24/11
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H29/11
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A04/12
NCAA
71.2Avg total
35.5Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.738.375.0-1.637%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.836.374.2+1.546%-
Last 30 away (17)35.839.875.6-3.929%-
Last 10 (10)35.535.771.2-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)32.835.067.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.045.683.6-7.60%-
vs Similar (13)33.438.571.9-5.231%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)39.835.875.6+4.055%-
This opponent (Bucknell) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bucknell wins
0
UMBC Retrievers wins
No previous meetings.
Bucknelllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/25AAkron77-97
30/11/25HCornell72-101
26/11/25HBuffalo71-73
24/11/25ABowling Green66-71
21/11/25ASt. John's (N.Y.)49-97
18/11/25APittsburgh50-84
15/11/25HHofstra77-83
12/11/25APrinceton63-73
08/11/25AMount St. Mary's73-62
04/11/25HDelaware78-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/25AGeorgetown81-90
29/11/25HDelaware State71-57
24/11/25HNotre Dame MD102-52
20/11/25AGeorge Washington52-89
16/11/25HWagner71-70 OT
11/11/25AMorgan State81-79
08/11/25ADayton71-77
04/11/25HPenn State-York74-53
08/03/25ABryant University74-85
01/03/25HVermont69-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bucknell
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL20%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %20%25%17%
Points / game67.674.563.0
Allowed / game81.181.880.7
Point differential-13.5-7.2-17.7
Avg total148.7156.2143.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UMBC Retrievers
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL62%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%100%25%
Points / game75.479.571.2
Allowed / game70.958.083.8
Point differential+4.5+21.5-12.5
Avg total146.2137.5155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Patriot League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 American University106460%82.071.5+10.5
2 Colgate95456%75.773.1+2.6
3 Navy105550%73.170.5+2.6
4 Boston University94544%75.274.9+0.3
5 Loyola Maryland103730%75.276.0-0.8
6 Lehigh103730%68.772.8-4.1
7 Lafayette103730%69.375.0-5.7
8 Holy Cross103730%66.475.9-9.5
9 Army103730%69.780.2-10.5
10 Bucknell102820%67.681.1-13.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMBC Retrievers85362%75.470.9+4.5
2 Vermont105550%80.177.2+2.9
3 UMass Lowell93633%75.179.9-4.8
4 Binghamton93633%65.772.0-6.3
5 Bryant University103730%62.670.6-8.0
6 NJIT103730%63.880.1-16.3
7 Maine Black Bears100100%58.869.2-10.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Bucknell264066
UMBC Retrievers254873
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