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Buducnost vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 01 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 75-89
17-25 27-16 15-25 16-23
Position#15
Record6-17
FormLWLLL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game84.4
vs
Bayern 🏆
Position#12
Record11-12
FormWLWLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game80.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 24
European cup2018
Meetings · Buducnost v Bayern
01 Mar 2019
BUD75
BAY89
01 Nov 2017
BUD60
BAY76
09 Nov 2016
BUD44
BAY68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Buducnost winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BuducnostLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#6
W
87-70
87
70
+17
A14/01
ABA League
Real Madrid
#3
W
73-60
73
60
+13
H18/01
Euroleague
Cedevita
#2
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H21/01
ABA League
Gran Canaria
#14
W
75-70
75
70
+5
H25/01
Euroleague
Petrol Olimpija
#13
W
77-72
77
72
+5
A28/01
ABA League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
69-99
69
99
-30
A01/02
Euroleague
Mornar Bar
#10
W
102-71
102
71
+31
H04/02
ABA League
Khimki M.
#13
L
90-98
90
98
-8
H07/02
Euroleague
Partizan
#4
L
67-76
67
76
-9
A10/02
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
76-84
76
84
-8
A22/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
28-16
13-16
26-22
19-15
17-13
20-20
17-12
21-22
19-20
20-19
20-17
27-24
9-14
25-19
14-13
23-23
30-15
11-19
13-15
20-28
27-24
14-20
8-27
22-15
26-17
28-15
26-24
20-22
26-23
19-23
25-30
12-17
19-15
15-23
21-21
18-20
18-19
26-21
14-24
157.4Avg total
79.6Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)74.684.4159.0-9.826%
Season at home (12)75.277.9153.2-2.750%
Season away (11)73.991.5165.4-17.50%
Last 10 (10)79.677.8157.4+1.860%
Last 5 (5)80.885.6166.4-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)77.988.3166.2-10.327%
vs Similar (6)76.277.3153.5-1.267%
vs Weaker (9)86.976.0162.9+10.978%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A17/01
Euroleague
Gottingen
#14
W
84-71
84
71
+13
A22/01
BBL
Khimki M.
#13
W
71-60
71
60
+11
A25/01
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#12
W
93-90
93
90
+3
A27/01
BBL
Fenerbahce
#2
W
90-86 OT
90
86
+4
H31/01
Euroleague
Jena
#18
W
103-71
103
71
+32
H02/02
BBL
Baskonia
#8
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A08/02
Euroleague
Gottingen
#14
W
80-68
80
68
+12
H10/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#2
L
82-83
82
83
-1
A14/02
BBL
Real Madrid
#3
L
78-91
78
91
-13
A22/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-13
17-22
20-17
13-25
22-12
23-20
16-15
23-24
10-28
25-12
21-10
15-10
30-23
20-18
18-22
25-27
20-21
9-13
23-18
14-14
17-24
28-14
30-17
28-16
16-19
21-19
16-21
15-17
21-15
24-17
17-19
18-17
13-27
27-23
20-17
22-16
17-22
22-20
13-29
26-20
159.2Avg total
81.9Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)79.280.8160.0-1.648%
Season at home (12)82.880.6163.3+2.267%
Season away (11)75.381.0156.3-5.727%
Last 10 (10)81.977.3159.2+4.660%
Last 5 (5)82.277.8160.0+4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.284.3160.5-8.217%
vs Similar (11)76.178.0154.1-1.955%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)88.275.6163.8+12.6100%
This opponent (Buducnost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +1.3+1.3
BuducnostBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BuducnostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#6
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A14/01
ABA League
Real Madrid
#3
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H18/01
Euroleague
Cedevita
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H21/01
ABA League
Gran Canaria
#14
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H25/01
Euroleague
Petrol Olimpija
#13
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A28/01
ABA League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A01/02
Euroleague
Mornar Bar
#10
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H04/02
ABA League
Khimki M.
#13
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H07/02
Euroleague
Partizan
#4
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A10/02
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A22/02
Euroleague
79.9Avg total
42.1Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.240.480.7-0.240%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.039.579.5+0.538%-
Last 30 away (17)40.441.281.6-0.841%-
Last 10 (10)42.137.879.9+4.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.640.081.6+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)39.942.382.2-2.533%-
vs Similar (6)36.240.076.2-3.817%-
vs Weaker (9)43.637.681.1+6.067%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A17/01
Euroleague
Gottingen
#14
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A22/01
BBL
Khimki M.
#13
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A25/01
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#12
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A27/01
BBL
Fenerbahce
#2
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H31/01
Euroleague
Jena
#18
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H02/02
BBL
Baskonia
#8
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A08/02
Euroleague
Gottingen
#14
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H10/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#2
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A14/02
BBL
Real Madrid
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A22/02
Euroleague
78.4Avg total
40.2Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.739.379.0+0.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.937.877.7+2.167%-
Last 30 away (15)39.540.880.3-1.353%-
Last 10 (10)40.238.278.4+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.240.081.2+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.342.277.5-6.817%-
vs Similar (11)37.840.378.1-2.545%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)43.337.280.5+6.292%-
This opponent (Buducnost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Buducnosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Buducnost: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.519.6
49.6%
52.7%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.78.1
35.7%
37.0%24.3
🏀 Free throws19.915.5
77.9%
76.7%15.5
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.617.5
50.6%
52.7%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.7
36.9%
37.0%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.714.6
78.1%
76.7%14.6
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Buducnost
LLLWLWWWWW
Bayern
LLWLWWWWWL
#15
League position
#12
+2.9
Net rating
-6.7
105.9
Offensive rating
107.5
103.0
Defensive rating
114.1
51.0%
Effective FG%
52.5%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
17.2%
Turnover %
15.8%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
23.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.7%
3-point %
36.9%
56.3%
Assist %
59.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 107.5Defence103.0 · 114.1Shooting51.0% · 52.5%3-point %35.7% · 36.9%Ball care17.2% · 15.8%Off. rebounds28.5% · 23.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Buducnost   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Buducnost wins
5
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
28/12/18Bayern v Buducnost93-88
19/12/17Bayern v Buducnost85-82
01/11/17Buducnost v Bayern60-76
14/12/16Bayern v Buducnost80-66
09/11/16Buducnost v Bayern44-68
Buducnostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/19AZalgiris Kaunas76-84
10/02/19APartizan67-76
07/02/19HKhimki M.90-98
04/02/19HMornar Bar102-71
01/02/19ACSKA Moscow69-99
28/01/19APetrol Olimpija77-72
25/01/19HGran Canaria75-70
21/01/19HCedevita80-78
18/01/19HReal Madrid73-60
14/01/19AFMP Beograd87-70
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/19AReal Madrid78-91
14/02/19AOldenburg82-83
10/02/19HGottingen80-68
08/02/19ABaskonia68-76
02/02/19HJena103-71
31/01/19HFenerbahce90-86 OT
27/01/19ABayreuth93-90
25/01/19AKhimki M.71-60
22/01/19AGottingen84-71
17/01/19ACSKA Moscow70-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Buducnost
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL26%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %26%50%0%
Points / game74.675.273.9
Allowed / game84.477.991.5
Point differential-9.8-2.7-17.5
Avg total159.0153.2165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)80% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayern
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL48%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayLLWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %48%67%27%
Points / game79.282.875.3
Allowed / game80.880.681.0
Point differential-1.6+2.2-5.7
Avg total160.0163.3156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%8%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2421388%84.674.5+10.1
2 Real Madrid2318578%86.076.7+9.4
3 CSKA Moscow2318578%87.780.8+6.9
4 Anadolu Efes2415962%84.179.8+4.4
5 Barcelona2314961%78.276.0+2.3
6 Olimpia Milano24131154%87.586.0+1.5
7 Olympiacos23121152%77.776.7+1.0
8 Baskonia24121250%81.079.5+1.5
9 Bayern23111248%79.280.8-1.6
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv24111346%79.379.5-0.2
11 Panathinaikos24111346%78.979.9-1.0
12 Khimki M.2491538%78.480.0-1.6
13 Zalgiris Kaunas2491538%77.779.5-1.8
14 Buducnost2361726%74.684.4-9.8
15 Gran Canaria2461825%79.189.0-10.0
16 Darussafaka2432112%74.384.8-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Buducnost1727151675
Bayern2516252389
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