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CSKA Moscow vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 17 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 77-70
13-20 22-17 17-20 25-13
Position#1
Record13-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Position#12
Record9-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game81.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 19
European cup2018
Meetings · CSKA Moscow v Bayern
25 Nov 2021
CMO77
BAY74
29 Jan 2021
CMO66
BAY69
17 Jan 2019
CMO77
BAY70
27 Mar 2014
CMO77
BAY70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSKA Moscow winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#2
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A18/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
102-84
102
84
+18
H20/12
Euroleague
VEF Riga
#10
W
107-80
107
80
+27
A23/12
VTB United League
Panathinaikos
#7
L
84-96
84
96
-12
A28/12
Euroleague
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
W
85-80
85
80
+5
A30/12
VTB United League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
84-79
84
79
+5
A04/01
Euroleague
VEF Riga
#10
W
92-66
92
66
+26
H06/01
VTB United League
Darussafaka
#16
W
80-65
80
65
+15
A09/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
76-93
76
93
-17
H11/01
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#3
W
75-65
75
65
+10
H14/01
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
22-18
14-24
13-19
31-24
25-30
21-14
25-16
32-15
25-24
19-17
31-24
26-19
18-36
18-17
22-24
19-20
28-20
23-17
15-23
28-17
16-17
11-25
29-20
30-11
20-23
23-18
19-14
25-16
19-18
16-15
20-16
24-22
17-24
21-18
14-29
21-15
10-19
27-11
17-20
164.7Avg total
86.0Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)87.182.2169.3+4.872%
Season at home (7)86.980.4167.3+6.486%
Season away (11)87.283.4170.5+3.864%
Last 10 (10)86.078.7164.7+7.370%
Last 5 (5)81.473.6155.0+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)90.083.7173.7+6.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)91.178.9169.9+12.285%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#3
L
72-82
72
82
-10
H21/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#2
L
70-78
70
78
-8
H23/12
German Cup
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#8
W
87-69
87
69
+18
H26/12
BBL
Buducnost
#15
W
93-88
93
88
+5
H28/12
Euroleague
Bamberg
#5
W
80-75
80
75
+5
A30/12
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
77-92
77
92
-15
A03/01
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#12
W
101-95 OT
101
95
+6
H06/01
BBL
Panathinaikos
#7
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A09/01
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
93-87
93
87
+6
H11/01
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#11
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H13/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-27
15-19
28-19
13-17
24-21
16-20
15-20
15-17
17-12
19-19
32-18
19-20
14-21
24-28
27-21
28-18
26-11
13-26
21-17
20-21
18-27
18-28
18-15
23-22
29-18
18-22
19-18
18-26
11-22
21-21
18-16
17-18
23-22
30-23
24-23
16-19
22-23
17-8
22-21
19-19
163.4Avg total
82.0Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)80.281.6161.8-1.350%
Season at home (11)82.180.1162.2+2.064%
Season away (7)77.383.9161.1-6.629%
Last 10 (10)82.081.4163.4+0.660%
Last 5 (5)83.684.4168.0-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)76.486.6163.0-10.20%
vs Similar (12)78.478.8157.2-0.467%
vs Weaker (13)91.575.9167.5+15.6100%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +8.5+8.5Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -0.9-0.9
CSKA MoscowBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#2
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A18/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H20/12
Euroleague
VEF Riga
#10
W
57-39
57
39
+18
A23/12
VTB United League
Panathinaikos
#7
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A28/12
Euroleague
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A30/12
VTB United League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A04/01
Euroleague
VEF Riga
#10
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H06/01
VTB United League
Darussafaka
#16
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A09/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H11/01
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#3
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H14/01
VTB United League
86.8Avg total
46.2Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.739.885.5+5.967%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.939.484.3+5.567%-
Last 30 away (15)46.540.186.7+6.467%-
Last 10 (10)46.240.686.8+5.670%-
Last 5 (5)42.036.478.4+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)47.343.791.0+3.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)45.539.384.9+6.267%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#3
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H21/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#2
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H23/12
German Cup
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#8
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H26/12
BBL
Buducnost
#15
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H28/12
Euroleague
Bamberg
#5
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A30/12
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A03/01
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#12
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H06/01
BBL
Panathinaikos
#7
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A09/01
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H11/01
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#11
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H13/01
BBL
80.9Avg total
39.1Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.240.681.9+0.660%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.639.180.6+2.567%-
Last 30 away (12)40.843.083.8-2.250%-
Last 10 (10)39.141.880.9-2.750%-
Last 5 (5)41.442.884.2-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)39.049.888.8-10.80%-
vs Similar (12)38.839.177.8-0.358%-
vs Weaker (13)44.438.582.9+5.885%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.021.1
52.8%
52.7%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.68.6
41.7%
37.0%25.8
🏀 Free throws20.015.7
78.5%
76.7%15.7
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.620.1
53.5%
52.7%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.78.7
40.1%
37.0%26.1
🏀 Free throws16.712.9
77.2%
76.7%12.9
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CSKA Moscow
WLWWWWLWWL
Bayern
WWLWLWWWLL
#1
League position
#12
+1.1
Net rating
-3.1
117.4
Offensive rating
112.2
116.3
Defensive rating
115.4
56.1%
Effective FG%
55.9%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
17.2%
Turnover %
15.7%
33.6%
Off. rebound %
25.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.28
41.7%
3-point %
40.1%
63.3%
Assist %
59.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence117.4 · 112.2Defence116.3 · 115.4Shooting56.1% · 55.9%3-point %41.7% · 40.1%Ball care17.2% · 15.7%Off. rebounds33.6% · 25.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ CSKA Moscow   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
CSKA Moscow wins
0
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
16/11/18Bayern v CSKA Moscow79-93
27/03/14CSKA Moscow v Bayern77-70
30/01/14Bayern v CSKA Moscow61-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/19HKhimki M.75-65
11/01/19HMaccabi Tel Aviv76-93
09/01/19ADarussafaka80-65
06/01/19HVEF Riga92-66
04/01/19AZalgiris Kaunas84-79
30/12/18ABC Kalev/Cramo85-80
28/12/18APanathinaikos84-96
23/12/18AVEF Riga107-80
20/12/18HAnadolu Efes102-84
18/12/18AFenerbahce75-79
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/19HFrankfurt80-71
11/01/19HOlimpia Milano93-87
09/01/19APanathinaikos67-77
06/01/19HBayreuth101-95 OT
03/01/19AAnadolu Efes77-92
30/12/18ABamberg80-75
28/12/18HBuducnost93-88
26/12/18Hs.Oliver Wurzburg87-69
23/12/18HAlba Berlin70-78
21/12/18HReal Madrid72-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL72%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayLLLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18711
Win %72%86%64%
Points / game87.186.987.2
Allowed / game82.280.483.4
Point differential+4.8+6.4+3.8
Avg total169.3167.3170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)100% (3)57% (7)
Overtime %6%14%0%
Bayern
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeWWLWW64%
AwayWLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %50%64%29%
Points / game80.282.177.3
Allowed / game81.680.183.9
Point differential-1.3+2.0-6.6
Avg total161.8162.2161.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%9%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce1816289%83.775.1+8.6
2 Real Madrid1815383%87.375.8+11.6
3 CSKA Moscow1813572%87.182.2+4.8
4 Anadolu Efes1812667%85.880.2+5.6
5 Olympiacos1811761%80.977.8+3.1
6 Barcelona1811761%78.376.1+2.2
7 Bayern189950%80.281.6-1.3
8 Olimpia Milano1881044%87.386.8+0.6
9 Baskonia1881044%81.681.3+0.3
10 Panathinaikos1881044%77.979.3-1.4
11 Khimki M.1871139%78.980.1-1.2
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv1871139%79.180.2-1.2
13 Zalgiris Kaunas1871139%78.880.6-1.8
14 Gran Canaria1861233%78.987.5-8.6
15 Buducnost1841422%74.185.0-10.9
16 Darussafaka1821611%74.684.9-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CSKA Moscow1322172577
Bayern2017201370
← all games of the day
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