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Real Madrid vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 Feb 2019
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 91-78
22-17 20-22 29-13 20-26
Position#3
Record17-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game76.6
Real Madrid 🏆
vs
Bayern
Position#12
Record11-11
FormWWLWL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game80.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 23
European cup2018
Meetings · Real Madrid v Bayern
15 Dec 2026
MAD v BAY
upcoming
26 Feb 2026
MAD93
BAY70
18 Apr 2025
MAD93
BAY71
03 Jan 2025
MAD88
BAY76
14 Dec 2023
MAD88
BAY73
06 Apr 2023
MAD79
BAY67
08 Apr 2022
MAD88
BAY97
29 Oct 2020
MAD100
BAY82
22 Feb 2019
MAD91
BAY78
05 Nov 2015
MAD101
BAY99
15 Jan 2014
MAD111
BAY87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#8
W
83-78
83
78
+5
A20/01
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
92-84
92
84
+8
H24/01
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
89-79
89
79
+10
H27/01
ACB
Darussafaka
#16
W
86-82
86
82
+4
A01/02
Euroleague
Unicaja
#5
L
102-103 OT
102
103
-1
A03/02
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A08/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H10/02
ACB
Estudiantes
#8
W
94-63
94
63
+31
H15/02
Spanish Cup
Joventut Badalona
#4
W
93-81
93
81
+12
H16/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#1
L
93-94 OT
93
94
-1
H17/02
Spanish Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
18-22
23-15
20-19
21-21
21-21
22-19
28-23
12-27
31-13
25-19
21-20
23-16
30-22
19-21
14-23
27-19
30-22
19-28
19-26
20-22
20-12
21-30
17-18
15-19
22-18
20-15
25-24
29-27
21-7
23-14
21-15
26-18
22-20
23-14
22-29
16-20
19-15
25-11
17-31
171.4Avg total
89.2Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)85.876.6162.4+9.277%
Season at home (11)91.776.7168.5+15.091%
Season away (11)79.976.5156.4+3.564%
Last 10 (10)89.282.2171.4+7.070%
Last 5 (5)88.079.2167.2+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)80.980.2161.1+0.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)87.179.2166.3+7.971%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#11
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H13/01
BBL
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A17/01
Euroleague
Gottingen
#14
W
84-71
84
71
+13
A22/01
BBL
Khimki M.
#13
W
71-60
71
60
+11
A25/01
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#12
W
93-90
93
90
+3
A27/01
BBL
Fenerbahce
#2
W
90-86 OT
90
86
+4
H31/01
Euroleague
Jena
#18
W
103-71
103
71
+32
H02/02
BBL
Baskonia
#8
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A08/02
Euroleague
Gottingen
#14
W
80-68
80
68
+12
H10/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#2
L
82-83
82
83
-1
A14/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
17-8
22-21
19-19
20-13
17-22
20-17
13-25
22-12
23-20
16-15
23-24
10-28
25-12
21-10
15-10
30-23
20-18
18-22
25-27
20-21
9-13
23-18
14-14
17-24
28-14
30-17
28-16
16-19
21-19
16-21
15-17
21-15
24-17
17-19
18-17
13-27
27-23
20-17
22-16
157.4Avg total
82.1Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)79.280.3159.5-1.150%
Season at home (12)82.880.6163.3+2.267%
Season away (10)75.080.0155.0-5.030%
Last 10 (10)82.175.3157.4+6.870%
Last 5 (5)84.676.8161.4+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)76.384.7161.0-8.317%
vs Similar (11)76.178.0154.1-1.955%
vs Weaker (13)88.275.6163.8+12.6100%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +6.2+6.2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +0.7+0.7
Real MadridBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#8
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A20/01
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#4
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H24/01
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H27/01
ACB
Darussafaka
#16
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A01/02
Euroleague
Unicaja
#5
W
57-41
57
41
+16
A03/02
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A08/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H10/02
ACB
Estudiantes
#8
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H15/02
Spanish Cup
Joventut Badalona
#4
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H16/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#1
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H17/02
Spanish Cup
82.8Avg total
44.5Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.438.782.1+4.760%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.537.683.1+7.975%-
Last 30 away (14)41.139.981.0+1.143%-
Last 10 (10)44.538.382.8+6.260%-
Last 5 (5)42.035.677.6+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)40.038.678.6+1.438%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)44.439.083.4+5.567%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#11
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H13/01
BBL
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A17/01
Euroleague
Gottingen
#14
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A22/01
BBL
Khimki M.
#13
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A25/01
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#12
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A27/01
BBL
Fenerbahce
#2
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H31/01
Euroleague
Jena
#18
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H02/02
BBL
Baskonia
#8
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A08/02
Euroleague
Gottingen
#14
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H10/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#2
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A14/02
BBL
77.3Avg total
40.2Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.739.879.5-0.060%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.938.978.8+0.962%-
Last 30 away (14)39.640.780.3-1.157%-
Last 10 (10)40.237.177.3+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)39.238.477.6+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)35.544.580.0-9.017%-
vs Similar (11)37.840.378.1-2.545%-
vs Weaker (13)43.337.280.5+6.292%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.719.5
54.6%
52.7%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.410.0
37.9%
37.0%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.514.1
76.2%
76.7%14.1
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.2
51.7%
52.7%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.88.5
37.3%
37.0%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.215.0
78.1%
76.7%15.0
They take 58.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Feb 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
LWWWLLWWWW
Bayern
LWLWWWWWLW
#3
League position
#12
+6.1
Net rating
-3.7
115.6
Offensive rating
109.7
109.5
Defensive rating
113.4
55.6%
Effective FG%
53.4%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
16.9%
Turnover %
15.6%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
24.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.33
37.9%
3-point %
37.3%
58.3%
Assist %
60.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence115.6 · 109.7Defence109.5 · 113.4Shooting55.6% · 53.4%3-point %37.9% · 37.3%Ball care16.9% · 15.6%Off. rebounds30.6% · 24.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Real Madrid wins
1
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
21/12/18Bayern v Real Madrid72-82
11/12/15Bayern v Real Madrid67-86
05/11/15Real Madrid v Bayern101-99
13/03/14Bayern v Real Madrid85-83
15/01/14Real Madrid v Bayern111-87
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/19HBarcelona93-94 OT
16/02/19HJoventut Badalona93-81
15/02/19HEstudiantes94-63
10/02/19HBaskonia82-76
08/02/19ACSKA Moscow78-82
03/02/19AUnicaja102-103 OT
01/02/19ADarussafaka86-82
27/01/19HFuenlabrada89-79
24/01/19HAnadolu Efes92-84
20/01/19AManresa83-78
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/19AOldenburg82-83
10/02/19HGottingen80-68
08/02/19ABaskonia68-76
02/02/19HJena103-71
31/01/19HFenerbahce90-86 OT
27/01/19ABayreuth93-90
25/01/19AKhimki M.71-60
22/01/19AGottingen84-71
17/01/19ACSKA Moscow70-77
13/01/19HFrankfurt80-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL77%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayLWLWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %77%91%64%
Points / game85.891.779.9
Allowed / game76.676.776.5
Point differential+9.2+15.0+3.5
Avg total162.4168.5156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%73%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayern
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayLLLWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %50%67%30%
Points / game79.282.875.0
Allowed / game80.380.680.0
Point differential-1.1+2.2-5.0
Avg total159.5163.3155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%8%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %5%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2320387%84.674.9+9.7
2 CSKA Moscow2318578%87.780.8+6.9
3 Real Madrid2217577%85.876.6+9.2
4 Anadolu Efes2315865%84.979.6+5.3
5 Barcelona2314961%78.276.0+2.3
6 Olimpia Milano23121152%87.486.0+1.4
7 Olympiacos23121152%77.776.7+1.0
8 Bayern22111150%79.280.3-1.1
9 Baskonia23111248%81.079.8+1.2
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv23101343%79.480.4-1.0
11 Panathinaikos23101343%78.079.9-1.9
12 Khimki M.2391439%78.079.6-1.6
13 Zalgiris Kaunas2391439%77.979.5-1.6
14 Gran Canaria2361726%79.088.6-9.6
15 Buducnost2361726%74.684.4-9.8
16 Darussafaka2332013%75.085.2-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2220292091
Bayern1722132678
← all games of the day
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