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Petrol Olimpija vs Buducnost Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 28 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 72-77
23-23 15-30 19-11 15-13
Position#13
Record5-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game82.8
vs
Position#3
Record11-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game74.8
EuropeABA LeagueRound 17
Domestic2018
Meetings · Petrol Olimpija v Buducnost
28 Jan 2019
POL72
BUD77
29 Oct 2017
POL79
BUD88
22 Feb 2017
POL81
BUD79
24 Oct 2015
POL63
BUD67
15 Feb 2015
POL77
BUD66
24 Feb 2014
POL69
BUD73
17 Dec 2012
POL95
BUD92
17 Mar 2012
POL72
BUD68
27 Nov 2010
POL68
BUD53
17 Jan 2010
POL78
BUD82
23 Dec 2008
POL81
BUD79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Petrol Olimpija winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buducnost winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rogaska
#16
W
95-92
95
92
+3
A07/01
Slovenian Cup
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
84-87
84
87
-3
A09/01
Champions League
KK Primorska
#1
L
63-80
63
80
-17
A12/01
Liga Nova KBM
Mega Bemax
#7
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H13/01
ABA League
Rogaska
#16
L
79-81
79
81
-2
H14/01
Slovenian Cup
Oostende
#27
L
69-71
69
71
-2
H16/01
Champions League
Cibona
#8
L
70-87
70
87
-17
A20/01
ABA League
Sencur
#6
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H21/01
Liga Nova KBM
Neptunas
#24
L
74-82
74
82
-8
A23/01
Champions League
Rogaska
#7
L
66-87
66
87
-21
A25/01
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-25
17-21
21-19
31-27
23-13
18-24
22-24
21-26
15-23
10-22
20-20
18-15
15-20
20-23
26-18
30-17
23-11
25-19
14-29
17-22
22-16
19-21
19-15
9-19
16-24
18-21
17-16
19-26
15-20
16-16
29-16
22-18
20-29
22-22
20-18
12-13
18-20
12-26
12-11
24-30
158.8Avg total
77.3Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)79.282.8162.0-3.531%
Season at home (8)78.976.9155.8+2.062%
Season away (8)79.688.6168.2-9.00%
Last 10 (10)77.381.5158.8-4.230%
Last 5 (5)72.279.4151.6-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)72.581.9154.5-9.40%
vs Similar (13)81.984.8166.8-2.946%
vs Weaker (6)80.576.5157.0+4.067%
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuducnostLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#12
L
88-93
88
93
-5
A28/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
72-86
72
86
-14
A30/12
ABA League
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
94-111
94
111
-17
A03/01
Euroleague
Igokea
#9
W
96-70
96
70
+26
H06/01
ABA League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A09/01
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#16
W
75-74
75
74
+1
H11/01
Euroleague
FMP Beograd
#6
W
87-70
87
70
+17
A14/01
ABA League
Real Madrid
#3
W
73-60
73
60
+13
H18/01
Euroleague
Cedevita
#2
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H21/01
ABA League
Gran Canaria
#14
W
75-70
75
70
+5
H25/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-14
28-24
21-27
18-28
11-23
29-23
23-17
9-23
22-36
23-20
21-26
28-29
17-23
26-23
24-12
29-12
18-12
19-22
23-25
16-22
16-14
20-28
22-11
17-21
20-16
28-16
13-16
26-22
19-15
17-13
20-20
17-12
21-22
19-20
20-19
20-17
27-24
9-14
25-19
14-13
160.9Avg total
81.6Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)80.974.8155.6+6.169%
Season at home (8)82.972.9155.8+10.088%
Season away (8)78.976.6155.5+2.250%
Last 10 (10)81.679.3160.9+2.360%
Last 5 (5)78.070.4148.4+7.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)74.485.1159.5-10.727%
vs Similar (6)74.775.2149.8-0.567%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)85.274.3159.6+10.978%
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -0.5-0.5
Petrol OlimpijaBuducnost
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rogaska
#16
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A07/01
Slovenian Cup
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A09/01
Champions League
KK Primorska
#1
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A12/01
Liga Nova KBM
Mega Bemax
#7
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H13/01
ABA League
Rogaska
#16
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H14/01
Slovenian Cup
Oostende
#27
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H16/01
Champions League
Cibona
#8
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A20/01
ABA League
Sencur
#6
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H21/01
Liga Nova KBM
Neptunas
#24
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A23/01
Champions League
Rogaska
#7
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A25/01
Liga Nova KBM
78.6Avg total
37.0Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.940.979.7-2.037%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.435.973.3+1.450%-
Last 30 away (16)40.245.285.4-5.025%-
Last 10 (10)37.041.678.6-4.630%-
Last 5 (5)35.643.078.6-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)38.041.679.6-3.636%-
vs Similar (13)39.242.381.5-3.123%-
vs Weaker (6)39.736.376.0+3.367%-
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuducnostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#12
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A28/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A30/12
ABA League
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A03/01
Euroleague
Igokea
#9
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H06/01
ABA League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A09/01
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#16
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H11/01
Euroleague
FMP Beograd
#6
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A14/01
ABA League
Real Madrid
#3
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H18/01
Euroleague
Cedevita
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H21/01
ABA League
Gran Canaria
#14
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H25/01
Euroleague
81.2Avg total
41.0Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.038.577.5+0.540%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.936.775.6+2.133%-
Last 30 away (15)39.140.279.3-1.147%-
Last 10 (10)41.040.281.2+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.236.475.6+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.640.578.1-2.927%-
vs Similar (6)37.038.075.0-1.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)42.735.478.1+7.267%-
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Petrol Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Petrol Olimpija: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.517.0
46.6%
51.6%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.38.5
36.5%
33.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.417.3
77.2%
72.5%17.3
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Buducnosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Buducnost: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.322.2
52.5%
51.6%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.57.0
34.1%
33.9%21.0
🏀 Free throws20.015.4
77.0%
72.5%15.4
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Petrol Olimpija
LLWLLLWLLW
Buducnost
WWWWWLWLLL
#13
League position
#3
-10.0
Net rating
+3.4
103.7
Offensive rating
109.8
113.6
Defensive rating
106.4
49.7%
Effective FG%
52.1%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
18.2%
Turnover %
15.8%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.5%
3-point %
34.1%
54.9%
Assist %
54.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.7 · 109.8Defence113.6 · 106.4Shooting49.7% · 52.1%3-point %36.5% · 34.1%Ball care18.2% · 15.8%Off. rebounds28.1% · 29.7%Free throws0.37 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Petrol Olimpija   ■ Buducnost
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Petrol Olimpija wins
8
Buducnost wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/19ARogaska66-87
23/01/19ANeptunas74-82
21/01/19HSencur82-70
20/01/19ACibona70-87
16/01/19HOostende69-71
14/01/19HRogaska79-81
13/01/19HMega Bemax91-78
12/01/19AKK Primorska63-80
09/01/19AVirtus Bologna84-87
07/01/19ARogaska95-92
Buducnostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/19HGran Canaria75-70
21/01/19HCedevita80-78
18/01/19HReal Madrid73-60
14/01/19AFMP Beograd87-70
11/01/19HDarussafaka75-74
09/01/19AMaccabi Tel Aviv76-81
06/01/19HIgokea96-70
03/01/19AOlimpia Milano94-111
30/12/18ACrvena zvezda72-86
28/12/18ABayern88-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Petrol Olimpija
ABA League 2018
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL31%
HomeLWWLW62%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %31%62%0%
Points / game79.278.979.6
Allowed / game82.876.988.6
Point differential-3.5+2.0-9.0
Avg total162.0155.8168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)67% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %19%12%25%
Buducnost
ABA League 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW69%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %69%88%50%
Points / game80.982.978.9
Allowed / game74.872.976.6
Point differential+6.1+10.0+2.2
Avg total155.6155.8155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda1716194%84.669.8+14.9
2 Cedevita1712571%88.081.0+7.0
3 Buducnost1611569%80.974.8+6.1
4 Partizan1711665%83.178.6+4.5
5 Mega Bemax179853%83.585.0-1.5
6 Mornar Bar1771041%84.386.5-2.2
7 FMP Beograd1771041%80.583.2-2.6
8 Cibona1771041%77.982.3-4.4
9 Igokea1761135%83.387.6-4.4
10 Petrol Olimpija1651131%79.282.8-3.5
11 Zadar1751229%81.886.0-4.2
12 KK Krka Novo mesto1751229%72.381.8-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Petrol Olimpija2315191572
Buducnost2330111377
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