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Buducnost vs Siroki Brijeg Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 96-81
Projected total 176.8
Scheduled
Position#4
Record5-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game81.9
Vs
89%
■ BUD 89%■ SBR 11%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.3/10
Around normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Position#7
Record4-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game85.0
EuropeABA LeagueRound 9· Moraca Sports Center
Domestic2026
Meetings · Buducnost v Siroki Brijeg
21 Nov 2026
BUD v SBR
upcoming
25 Jan 2014
BUD85
SBR68
16 Feb 2013
BUD65
SBR57
03 Mar 2012
BUD68
SBR61
22 Jan 2011
BUD86
SBR64
30 Jan 2010
BUD77
SBR57
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Buducnost host Siroki Brijeg in the ABA League. Pythia makes Buducnost the favourite at 89% and projects 96-81, about 177 points in all. Overtime chance: 2%. Buducnost are 5-2 this season (89.4 scored, 81.9 allowed a game), form WWWWL; Siroki Brijeg are 4-3 this season (85.9 scored, 85.0 allowed a game), form WWLLW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Buducnost win
89.2%fair 1.12
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Siroki Brijeg win
10.8%fair 9.24
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BuducnostLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBuducnost
Date
Competition
Tofas
#6
L
85-90
85
90
-5
78avg 86
A14/10
Eurocup
Slovan Bratislava
#9
W
82-70
82
70
+12
83avg 86
H18/10
ABA League
Neptunas
#26
W
104-89
104
89
+15
102avg 86
H20/10
Eurocup
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
95-81
95
81
+14
104avg 86
A24/10
ABA League
Trento
#27
L
92-94
92
94
-2
91avg 86
A27/10
Eurocup
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
105-72
105
72
+33
102avg 86
H31/10
ABA League
Chemnitz
#13
W
96-84
96
84
+12
no box
H03/11
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#16
W
76-73
76
73
+3
no box
A07/11
ABA League
JL Bourg
#24
W
68-66
68
66
+2
no box
A10/11
Eurocup
Igokea
#11
L
100-104 OT
100
104
-4
no box
A14/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
19-30
20-19
21-19
17-7
32-18
13-20
20-25
31-22
25-20
24-26
24-21
21-13
28-21
26-26
20-21
16-23
34-24
17-20
25-27
30-18
26-25
17-13
32-16
23-22
26-22
24-22
23-18
28-14
16-24
15-23
17-12
20-21
16-15
16-18
16-12
17-19
25-26
20-17
20-20
172.6Avg total
90.3Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)89.481.9171.3+7.671%
Season at home (2)93.571.0164.5+22.5100%
Season away (5)87.886.2174.0+1.660%
Last 10 (10)90.382.3172.6+8.070%
Last 5 (5)89.079.8168.8+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)82.094.9176.9-12.914%
vs Similar (3)94.091.3185.3+2.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)94.880.5175.3+14.385%
This opponent (Siroki Brijeg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Siroki BrijegLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrijeg
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
70-69
70
69
+1
63avg 83
H10/10
ABA League
Slavija
#8
L
96-106
96
106
-10
92avg 83
A12/10
Prvenstvo BiH
FMP Beograd
#16
W
78-66
78
66
+12
77avg 83
A17/10
ABA League
Leotar Trebinje
#4
W
77-59
77
59
+18
67avg 83
H19/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Slovan Bratislava
#9
L
91-98
91
98
-7
86avg 83
H22/10
ABA League
Drina
#10
W
87-57
87
57
+30
91avg 83
H25/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Mrkonjic Grad
#14
W
90-71
90
71
+19
90avg 83
A28/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Crvena zvezda
#3
L
82-100
82
100
-18
73avg 83
A01/11
ABA League
Cibona
#14
L
93-102
93
102
-9
no box
H09/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#19
W
100-79
100
79
+21
no box
A13/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
20-18
11-16
23-16
25-21
18-24
23-29
30-32
25-22
17-18
17-10
19-16
18-14
13-23
29-10
17-12
26-27
20-23
18-22
27-26
24-13
13-19
23-16
27-9
15-16
30-19
30-9
15-27
18-28
26-27
17-22
21-23
23-29
30-28
18-26
22-19
23-12
25-23
23-28
29-16
167.1Avg total
86.4Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)85.985.0170.9+0.957%
Season at home (3)84.789.7174.3-5.033%
Season away (4)86.881.5168.2+5.275%
Last 10 (10)86.480.7167.1+5.760%
Last 5 (5)90.481.8172.2+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)82.0100.0182.0-18.00%
vs Similar (8)87.688.6176.2-1.050%
vs Weaker (21)84.177.5161.6+6.776%
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%1%1351%1402%1454%1506%1558%16010%16512%17012%17511%18010%1858%1906%1954%2002%2051%2101%2150%220
1%1352%1456%15510%16512%17510%1856%1952%2051%215
Pythia expects about 177 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 175-179 (12%).
Over/Under 162.5
Over 162.5
81.7%
Under 162.5
18.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 167.5
Over 167.5
72.0%
Under 167.5
28.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 172.5
Over 172.5
60.4%
Under 172.5
39.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Buducnost total 81.5
Over 81.5
92.1%
Under 81.5
7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost total 85.5
Over 85.5
84.6%
Under 85.5
15.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost total 89.5
Over 89.5
73.1%
Under 89.5
26.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Siroki Brijeg total 78.5
Over 78.5
60.5%
Under 78.5
39.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Siroki Brijeg total 82.5
Over 82.5
44.3%
Under 82.5
55.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Siroki Brijeg total 86.5
Over 86.5
29.1%
Under 86.5
70.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

2%5%7%9%0%-181%-151%-122%-94%-64%-34%+07%+38%+69%+99%+129%+159%+188%+217%+245%+274%+303%+332%+361%+391%+420%+45
1%-152%-94%-37%+39%+99%+158%+215%+273%+331%+390%+45
Margin from Buducnost's side (positive = Buducnost win). Pythia's expected margin is +14.3; Buducnost win by 1+ in 83% of simulations.
Spread Buducnost -3
BUD -3
85.2%
SBR +3
14.8%
Best 5 market prices
BUD
No market prices yet.
SBR
No market prices yet.
Spread Buducnost 0
BUD 0
89.2%
SBR 0
10.8%
Best 5 market prices
BUD
No market prices yet.
SBR
No market prices yet.
Spread Buducnost +3
BUD +3
92.7%
SBR -3
7.3%
Best 5 market prices
BUD
No market prices yet.
SBR
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +3.4+3.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +3.4+3.4
BuducnostSiroki Brijeg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BuducnostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tofas
#6
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A14/10
Eurocup
Slovan Bratislava
#9
W
49-25
49
25
+24
H18/10
ABA League
Neptunas
#26
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H20/10
Eurocup
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A24/10
ABA League
Trento
#27
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A27/10
Eurocup
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H31/10
ABA League
Chemnitz
#13
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H03/11
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#16
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A07/11
ABA League
JL Bourg
#24
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A10/11
Eurocup
Igokea
#11
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A14/11
ABA League
88.1Avg total
47.5Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.442.890.2+4.770%-
Last 30 at home (13)49.542.291.6+7.385%-
Last 30 away (17)45.943.289.1+2.659%-
Last 10 (10)47.540.688.1+6.970%-
Last 5 (5)45.441.286.6+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.650.190.7-9.629%-
vs Similar (3)47.347.795.0-0.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)49.939.589.3+10.485%-
This opponent (Siroki Brijeg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Siroki BrijegLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H10/10
ABA League
Slavija
#8
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A12/10
Prvenstvo BiH
FMP Beograd
#16
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A17/10
ABA League
Leotar Trebinje
#4
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H19/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Slovan Bratislava
#9
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H22/10
ABA League
Drina
#10
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H25/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Mrkonjic Grad
#14
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A28/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Crvena zvezda
#3
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A01/11
ABA League
Cibona
#14
L
53-57
53
57
-4
H09/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#19
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A13/11
ABA League
84.8Avg total
42.5Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.441.883.2-0.437%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.442.785.1-0.436%-
Last 30 away (16)40.641.181.6-0.538%-
Last 10 (10)42.542.384.8+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)45.442.888.2+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)44.055.099.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (8)45.047.492.4-2.412%-
vs Weaker (21)39.939.179.0+0.848%-
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Buducnosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Buducnost: 90.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.220.4
50.7%
57.4%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.911.1
42.9%
33.1%33.3
🏀 Free throws21.016.2
77.1%
73.2%16.2
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Siroki Brijegtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Siroki Brijeg: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.224.0
61.2%
57.4%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.96.8
29.7%
33.1%20.4
🏀 Free throws20.514.3
69.8%
73.2%14.3
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Buducnost
LWWWWLWWWL
Siroki Brijeg
WLLWWLWWLW
#4
League position
#7
+7.8
Net rating
+8.0
103.5
Offensive rating
97.6
95.8
Defensive rating
89.6
56.1%
Effective FG%
55.1%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
14.7%
Turnover %
15.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.33
42.9%
3-point %
29.7%
65.7%
Assist %
66.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.5 · 97.6Defence95.8 · 89.6Shooting56.1% · 55.1%3-point %42.9% · 29.7%Ball care14.7% · 15.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Buducnost   ■ Siroki Brijeg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Buducnost wins
3
Siroki Brijeg wins
Buducnostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AIgokea100-104 OT
10/11/26AJL Bourg68-66
07/11/26AFMP Beograd76-73
03/11/26HChemnitz96-84
31/10/26HBorac Mozzart105-72
27/10/26ATrento92-94
24/10/26ACedevita Olimpija95-81
20/10/26HNeptunas104-89
18/10/26HSlovan Bratislava82-70
14/10/26ATofas85-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AKK Krka Novo mesto100-79
09/11/26HCibona93-102
01/11/26ACrvena zvezda82-100
28/10/26AMrkonjic Grad90-71
25/10/26HDrina87-57
22/10/26HSlovan Bratislava91-98
19/10/26HLeotar Trebinje77-59
17/10/26AFMP Beograd78-66
12/10/26ASlavija96-106
10/10/26HCedevita Olimpija70-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Buducnost
ABA League 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL71%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %71%100%60%
Points / game89.493.587.8
Allowed / game81.971.086.2
Point differential+7.6+22.5+1.6
Avg total171.3164.5174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%100%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %14%0%20%
Siroki Brijeg
ABA League 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW57%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%33%75%
Points / game85.984.786.8
Allowed / game85.089.781.5
Point differential+0.9-5.0+5.2
Avg total170.9174.3168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dubai770100%94.080.7+13.3
2 Partizan76186%88.077.0+11.0
3 Crvena zvezda76186%93.383.4+9.9
4 Buducnost75271%89.481.9+7.6
5 KK Bosna75271%89.785.9+3.9
6 Cedevita Olimpija74357%85.182.0+3.1
7 Siroki Brijeg74357%85.985.0+0.9
8 Spartak Subotica74357%83.082.3+0.7
9 Slovan Bratislava63350%82.284.5-2.3
10 Borac Mozzart63350%84.790.2-5.5
11 Igokea73443%85.985.6+0.3
12 Cluj-Napoca73443%85.786.3-0.6
13 Zadar73443%75.175.9-0.7
14 Cibona73443%86.088.1-2.1
15 Vienna Basket62433%80.583.2-2.7
16 FMP Beograd72529%79.983.1-3.3
17 Perspektiva Ilirija72529%75.379.6-4.3
18 Mega Basket72529%81.691.6-10.0
19 KK Krka Novo mesto71614%74.083.6-9.6
20 Studentski Centar6060%81.093.8-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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