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Buffalo vs Vermont Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 18 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 94-90
40-43 54-47
Position#180
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game68.0
Buffalo 🏆
USA
vs
Position#85
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game72.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Buffalo v Vermont
18 Nov 2025
BUFF94
VERM90
30 Nov 2020
BUFF v VERM
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Buffalo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vermont winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#305
L
64-97
64
97
-33
H19/02
NCAA
Ball State
#243
L
66-80
66
80
-14
A22/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A26/02
NCAA
Toledo
#167
W
87-74
87
74
+13
H01/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
69-84
69
84
-15
H05/03
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
70-88
70
88
-18
A08/03
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H03/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#171
W
83-76
83
76
+7
H07/11
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
66-53
66
53
+13
A12/11
NCAA
RIT Tigers
#399
W
80-64
80
64
+16
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
23-52
41-45
36-41
30-39
38-34
31-39
32-32
55-42
35-47
34-37
24-47
46-41
36-38
49-41
32-28
51-48
36-18
30-35
50-28
30-36
150.7Avg total
73.9Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.568.0146.5+10.5100%
Season at home (3)82.773.0155.7+9.7100%
Season away (1)66.053.0119.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)73.976.8150.7-2.950%
Last 5 (5)76.872.0148.8+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)69.381.9151.2-12.717%
vs Similar ◀ (5)77.871.2149.0+6.6100%
vs Weaker (1)80.064.0144.0+16.0100%
This opponent (Vermont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VermontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMass Lowell
#171
W
85-61
85
61
+24
H22/02
NCAA
NJIT
#353
W
71-61
71
61
+10
A28/02
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#280
W
79-69
79
69
+10
A01/03
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#197
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H05/03
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#342
W
64-57
64
57
+7
H08/03
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#135
L
42-57
42
57
-15
H11/03
NCAA
Western New England
#385
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H04/11
NCAA
Plattsburgh
#633
W
113-62
113
62
+51
H06/11
NCAA
Brown
#319
W
89-84 OT
89
84
+5
A09/11
NCAA
Northeastern
#358
W
85-74
85
74
+11
A15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
41-26
44-35
29-30
42-31
41-39
38-30
30-29
49-42
26-34
38-23
19-27
23-30
37-27
38-41
44-31
69-31
24-32
41-33
30-33
55-41
144.6Avg total
78.2Scored
66.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)90.572.0162.5+18.5100%
Season at home (2)94.065.0159.0+29.0100%
Season away (2)87.079.0166.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.266.4144.6+11.890%
Last 5 (5)80.869.0149.8+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)59.265.0124.2-5.850%
vs Similar ◀ (13)64.565.1129.5-0.662%
vs Weaker (9)73.364.2137.6+9.189%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -2.3-2.31st half: +1.3+1.32nd half2nd half: -0.6-0.62nd half: +10.0+10.0
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -2.3-2.31st half: +1.3+1.32nd half2nd half: -0.6-0.62nd half: +10.0+10.0
BuffaloVermont
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#305
L
23-52
23
52
-29
H19/02
NCAA
Ball State
#243
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A22/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A26/02
NCAA
Toledo
#167
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H01/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H05/03
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A08/03
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H03/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#171
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H07/11
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
36-18
36
18
+18
A12/11
NCAA
RIT Tigers
#399
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H15/11
NCAA
70.7Avg total
34.2Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.536.969.4-4.427%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.136.268.3-4.219%-
Last 30 away (14)32.937.670.6-4.736%-
Last 10 (10)34.236.570.7-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)35.631.867.4+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)30.439.269.6-8.813%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)35.829.665.4+6.260%-
vs Weaker (1)50.028.078.0+22.0100%-
This opponent (Vermont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VermontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMass Lowell
#171
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H22/02
NCAA
NJIT
#353
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A28/02
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#280
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A01/03
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#197
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H05/03
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#342
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H08/03
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#135
L
19-27
19
27
-8
H11/03
NCAA
Western New England
#385
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H04/11
NCAA
Plattsburgh
#633
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H06/11
NCAA
Brown
#319
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A09/11
NCAA
Northeastern
#358
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A15/11
NCAA
62.9Avg total
32.1Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.530.162.6+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.228.663.8+6.671%-
Last 30 away (13)29.032.161.1-3.138%-
Last 10 (10)32.130.862.9+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)30.830.060.8+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.030.061.0+1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)30.331.261.5-0.954%-
vs Weaker (9)31.629.961.4+1.744%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Buffalo wins
1
Vermont wins
DateGameScore
20/11/24Vermont v Buffalo78-67
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25HRIT Tigers80-64
12/11/25ADePaul66-53
07/11/25HWisc. Green Bay83-76
03/11/25HSouthern Miss85-79
08/03/25AAkron70-88
05/03/25HMiami (Ohio)69-84
01/03/25HToledo87-74
26/02/25ACentral Michigan69-73
22/02/25ABall State66-80
19/02/25HWestern Michigan64-97
Vermontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25ANortheastern85-74
09/11/25ABrown89-84 OT
06/11/25HPlattsburgh113-62
04/11/25HWestern New England75-68
11/03/25HMaine Black Bears42-57
08/03/25HNew Hampshire Wildcats64-57
05/03/25HAlbany Great Danes79-71
01/03/25AUMBC Retrievers79-69
28/02/25ANJIT71-61
22/02/25HUMass Lowell85-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Buffalo
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game78.582.766.0
Allowed / game68.073.053.0
Point differential+10.5+9.7+13.0
Avg total146.5155.7119.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vermont
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.594.087.0
Allowed / game72.065.079.0
Point differential+18.5+29.0+8.0
Avg total162.5159.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %25%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)330100%97.360.7+36.7
2 Buffalo440100%78.568.0+10.5
3 Bowling Green43175%93.266.0+27.2
4 Akron43175%94.272.0+22.2
5 UMass43175%83.274.2+9.0
6 Kent State53260%92.891.2+1.6
7 Northern Illinois42250%87.582.2+5.2
8 Central Michigan42250%70.569.0+1.5
9 Ball State42250%69.068.0+1.0
10 Toledo42250%79.578.8+0.8
11 Western Michigan52340%80.080.2-0.2
12 Eastern Michigan31233%73.372.3+1.0
13 Ohio41325%74.588.2-13.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vermont440100%90.572.0+18.5
2 UMBC Retrievers43175%74.269.8+4.5
3 NJIT43175%71.070.0+1.0
4 Bryant University41325%60.874.8-14.0
5 Binghamton51420%64.876.2-11.4
6 UMass Lowell51420%73.686.6-13.0
7 Maine Black Bears4040%57.870.0-12.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Buffalo405494
Vermont434790
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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