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Ball State vs Buffalo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 80-66
41-36 39-30
Position#243
Record13-13
FormLWWWL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game74.5
vs
Position#333
Record8-18
FormLLWLL
Points / game71.7
Allowed / game81.1
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Ball State v Buffalo
30 Jan 2027
BALL v BUFF
upcoming
11 Feb 2026
BALL53
BUFF63
22 Feb 2025
BALL80
BUFF66
24 Jan 2023
BALL65
BUFF91
14 Jan 2022
BALL68
BUFF74
02 Feb 2021
BALL58
BUFF78
07 Jan 2020
BALL88
BUFF68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ball State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buffalo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toledo
#167
L
75-93
75
93
-18
H18/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
82-80
82
80
+2
A22/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A25/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H29/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
W
89-76
89
76
+13
A01/02
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A05/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
77-76
77
76
+1
H08/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
86-84 OT
86
84
+2
H12/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
89-83 OT
89
83
+6
H15/02
NCAA
Toledo
#167
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A19/02
NCAA
1H
2H
40-44
35-49
33-41
49-39
29-40
37-36
36-41
35-33
45-32
44-44
36-38
37-43
35-37
42-39
40-33
35-42
38-20
38-56
35-28
31-39
156.4Avg total
77.4Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)76.574.5151.0+2.050%
Season at home (14)79.673.7153.3+5.957%
Season away (12)72.975.5148.4-2.642%
Last 10 (10)77.479.0156.4-1.650%
Last 5 (5)78.278.2156.4+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)72.277.5149.8-5.225%
vs Similar (10)74.777.6152.3-2.940%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)77.072.4149.4+4.657%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#305
W
85-76
85
76
+9
A18/01
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
58-90
58
90
-32
H22/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
L
77-90
77
90
-13
A25/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H29/01
NCAA
Ball State
#243
L
76-89
76
89
-13
H01/02
NCAA
Toledo
#167
L
74-87
74
87
-13
A05/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
L
75-80
75
80
-5
H08/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
73-67
73
67
+6
A12/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
L
59-63
59
63
-4
H15/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
L
64-97
64
97
-33
H19/02
NCAA
1H
2H
53-39
32-37
25-40
33-50
45-42
32-48
30-34
45-35
32-45
44-44
32-42
42-45
31-38
44-42
32-21
41-46
27-28
32-35
23-52
41-45
152.4Avg total
71.6Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)71.781.1152.8-9.431%
Season at home (13)73.179.1152.2-6.038%
Season away (13)70.483.2153.5-12.823%
Last 10 (10)71.680.8152.4-9.230%
Last 5 (5)69.078.8147.8-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)69.282.1151.3-12.915%
vs Similar (2)77.574.0151.5+3.5100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: -5.1-5.12nd half2nd half: -3.7-3.72nd half: -4.1-4.1
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: -5.1-5.12nd half2nd half: -3.7-3.72nd half: -4.1-4.1
Ball StateBuffalo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toledo
#167
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H18/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A22/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A25/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H29/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A01/02
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A05/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H08/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H12/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
38-20
38
20
+18
H15/02
NCAA
Toledo
#167
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A19/02
NCAA
72.1Avg total
36.7Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.834.270.0+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.032.569.5+4.556%-
Last 30 away (14)34.536.170.6-1.643%-
Last 10 (10)36.735.472.1+1.340%-
Last 5 (5)36.831.268.0+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.536.573.0+0.050%-
vs Similar (10)34.236.470.6-2.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)36.031.867.8+4.257%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#305
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A18/01
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
25-40
25
40
-15
H22/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A25/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H29/01
NCAA
Ball State
#243
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H01/02
NCAA
Toledo
#167
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A05/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H08/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
32-21
32
21
+11
A12/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H15/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
L
23-52
23
52
-29
H19/02
NCAA
71.1Avg total
33.0Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.238.470.6-6.320%-
Last 30 at home (16)30.838.369.1-7.56%-
Last 30 away (14)33.738.672.3-4.936%-
Last 10 (10)33.038.171.1-5.130%-
Last 5 (5)29.036.265.2-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)31.039.270.2-8.115%-
vs Similar (2)37.532.069.5+5.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Ball State wins
6
Buffalo wins
DateGameScore
01/02/25Buffalo v Ball State76-89
24/01/24Buffalo v Ball State59-87
25/01/23Ball State v Buffalo65-91
12/02/22Buffalo v Ball State80-74
14/01/22Ball State v Buffalo68-74
02/02/21Ball State v Buffalo58-78
09/01/21Buffalo v Ball State86-69
19/02/20Buffalo v Ball State72-59
08/01/20Ball State v Buffalo88-68
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/25AToledo66-67
15/02/25HNorthern Illinois89-83 OT
12/02/25HEastern Michigan86-84 OT
08/02/25HSouthern Miss77-76
05/02/25AAkron73-81
01/02/25ABuffalo89-76
29/01/25HWestern Michigan71-74
25/01/25ANorthern Illinois66-76
22/01/25ACentral Michigan82-80
18/01/25HToledo75-93
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/25HWestern Michigan64-97
15/02/25HBowling Green59-63
12/02/25ANorthern Illinois73-67
08/02/25HGeorgia State75-80
05/02/25AToledo74-87
01/02/25HBall State76-89
29/01/25HCentral Michigan75-69
25/01/25AEastern Michigan77-90
22/01/25HAkron58-90
18/01/25AWestern Michigan85-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ball State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeLLWWW57%
AwayWLWLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %50%57%42%
Points / game76.579.672.9
Allowed / game74.573.775.5
Point differential+2.0+5.9-2.6
Avg total151.0153.3148.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%36%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)67% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %8%14%0%
Buffalo
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL31%
HomeWLLLL38%
AwayLWLLW23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %31%38%23%
Points / game71.773.170.4
Allowed / game81.179.183.2
Point differential-9.4-6.0-12.8
Avg total152.8152.2153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron2621581%84.273.3+10.9
2 Miami (Ohio)2720774%81.473.7+7.7
3 Kent State2718967%72.867.8+5.0
4 Toledo27161159%77.877.4+0.4
5 Ohio26141254%79.875.6+4.3
6 Ball State26131350%76.574.5+2.0
7 Eastern Michigan26131350%73.276.9-3.7
8 Central Michigan27121544%75.771.6+4.1
9 Bowling Green27111641%75.075.4-0.4
10 UMass27111641%73.974.5-0.6
11 Western Michigan2791833%72.076.9-4.9
12 Buffalo2681831%71.781.1-9.4
13 Northern Illinois2652119%71.376.6-5.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Ball State413980
Buffalo363066
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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