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Buffalo vs VMI Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 24 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 78-70
31-33 47-37
Position#180
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game72.4
Buffalo 🏆
USA
vs
Position#364
Record3-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game78.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Buffalo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
VMI winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ball State
#243
L
66-80
66
80
-14
A22/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A26/02
NCAA
Toledo
#167
W
87-74
87
74
+13
H01/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
69-84
69
84
-15
H05/03
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
70-88
70
88
-18
A08/03
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H03/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#171
W
83-76
83
76
+7
H07/11
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
66-53
66
53
+13
A12/11
NCAA
RIT Tigers
#399
W
80-64
80
64
+16
H15/11
NCAA
Vermont
#85
W
94-90
94
90
+4
H18/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-41
30-39
38-34
31-39
32-32
55-42
35-47
34-37
24-47
46-41
36-38
49-41
32-28
51-48
36-18
30-35
50-28
30-36
40-43
54-47
153.0Avg total
76.9Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)81.672.4154.0+9.2100%
Season at home (4)85.577.2162.8+8.2100%
Season away (1)66.053.0119.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.976.1153.0+0.860%
Last 5 (5)81.672.4154.0+9.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)68.782.3151.0-13.614%
vs Similar (6)80.574.3154.8+6.2100%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)80.064.0144.0+16.0100%
This opponent (VMI) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VMIUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Citadel
#361
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H08/03
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
W
64-57
64
57
+7
A08/03
NCAA
Wofford
#169
L
65-85
65
85
-20
A09/03
NCAA
Johnson & Wales (RI)
#692
W
122-58
122
58
+64
H03/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
78-74
78
74
+4
A08/11
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
68-106
68
106
-38
A09/11
NCAA
Virginia
#19
W
106-54
106
54
+52
H12/11
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
L
67-69
67
69
-2
H15/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
L
54-87
54
87
-33
A20/11
NCAA
Stetson
#304
L
80-99
80
99
-19
A23/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-27
37-35
28-19
36-38
29-44
36-41
58-15
64-43
30-37
48-37
40-50
28-56
40-35
66-19
37-39
30-30
26-49
28-38
38-44
42-55
152.8Avg total
77.7Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.178.1160.3+4.043%
Season at home (3)98.360.3158.7+38.067%
Season away (4)70.091.5161.5-21.525%
Last 10 (10)77.775.1152.8+2.650%
Last 5 (5)75.083.0158.0-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)68.178.2146.3-10.222%
vs Similar (4)76.278.5154.8-2.250%
vs Weaker (8)83.665.6149.2+18.088%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: +2.3+2.3
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: +2.3+2.3
BuffaloVMI
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ball State
#243
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A22/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A26/02
NCAA
Toledo
#167
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H01/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H05/03
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A08/03
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H03/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#171
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H07/11
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
36-18
36
18
+18
A12/11
NCAA
RIT Tigers
#399
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H15/11
NCAA
Vermont
#85
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H18/11
NCAA
71.5Avg total
35.9Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.837.169.9-4.427%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.636.769.3-4.119%-
Last 30 away (14)32.937.670.6-4.736%-
Last 10 (10)35.935.671.5+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)38.831.069.8+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)30.439.369.7-9.014%-
vs Similar (6)36.531.868.3+4.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)50.028.078.0+22.0100%-
This opponent (VMI) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VMILast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Citadel
#361
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H08/03
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
W
28-19
28
19
+9
A08/03
NCAA
Wofford
#169
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A09/03
NCAA
Johnson & Wales (RI)
#692
W
58-15
58
15
+43
H03/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A08/11
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A09/11
NCAA
Virginia
#19
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H12/11
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H15/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
L
26-49
26
49
-23
A20/11
NCAA
Stetson
#304
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A23/11
NCAA
72.1Avg total
36.2Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.336.871.1-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.133.769.8+2.457%-
Last 30 away (16)32.839.472.2-6.631%-
Last 10 (10)36.235.972.1+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)36.243.479.6-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)31.939.771.6-7.728%-
vs Similar (4)32.537.269.8-4.825%-
vs Weaker (8)40.630.070.6+10.688%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Buffalo wins
0
VMI wins
No previous meetings.
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/25HVermont94-90
15/11/25HRIT Tigers80-64
12/11/25ADePaul66-53
07/11/25HWisc. Green Bay83-76
03/11/25HSouthern Miss85-79
08/03/25AAkron70-88
05/03/25HMiami (Ohio)69-84
01/03/25HToledo87-74
26/02/25ACentral Michigan69-73
22/02/25ABall State66-80
VMIlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/25AStetson80-99
20/11/25ARichmond Spiders54-87
15/11/25HJacksonville Dolphins67-69
12/11/25HVirginia106-54
09/11/25AMissouri68-106
08/11/25ASouthern Indiana78-74
03/11/25HJohnson & Wales (RI)122-58
09/03/25AWofford65-85
08/03/25ANC Greensboro64-57
08/03/25HCitadel73-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Buffalo
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game81.685.566.0
Allowed / game72.477.253.0
Point differential+9.2+8.2+13.0
Avg total154.0162.8119.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%25%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
VMI
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL43%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game82.198.370.0
Allowed / game78.160.391.5
Point differential+4.0+38.0-21.5
Avg total160.3158.7161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)550100%95.867.4+28.4
2 Buffalo550100%81.672.4+9.2
3 Akron65183%95.070.3+24.7
4 Kent State75271%92.686.4+6.1
5 Bowling Green64267%86.368.7+17.7
6 Toledo64267%80.876.3+4.5
7 Eastern Michigan53260%77.874.0+3.8
8 UMass74357%78.072.9+5.1
9 Northern Illinois63350%80.576.3+4.2
10 Western Michigan73443%77.378.9-1.6
11 Ball State52340%65.668.4-2.8
12 Central Michigan62433%69.875.2-5.3
13 Ohio51420%74.285.8-11.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 East Tennessee St65183%82.262.0+20.2
2 Wofford64267%75.876.7-0.8
3 Mercer53260%83.680.6+3.0
4 Furman63350%74.068.8+5.2
5 Chattanooga Mocs63350%74.873.5+1.3
6 Western Carolina63350%71.775.7-4.0
7 VMI73443%82.178.1+4.0
8 Samford73443%77.180.1-3.0
9 Citadel52340%80.078.0+2.0
10 NC Greensboro61517%73.887.8-14.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Buffalo314778
VMI333770
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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