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Buffalo vs Western Michigan Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 77-82
32-34 45-48
Position#362
Record2-11
FormLLLLW
Points / game67.9
Allowed / game78.8
vs
Position#300
Record4-9
FormLLLWW
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game74.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Buffalo v Western Michigan
18 Feb 2025
BUFF64
WEST97
06 Jan 2024
BUFF77
WEST82
19 Feb 2022
BUFF87
WEST73
12 Feb 2021
BUFF86
WEST54
09 Feb 2021
BUFF v WEST
upcoming
21 Jan 2020
BUFF90
WEST79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Buffalo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Western Michigan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hofstra
#122
L
68-102
68
102
-34
H21/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
60-68
60
68
-8
A21/11
NCAA
Iona
#218
L
64-89
64
89
-25
A22/11
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
66-81
66
81
-15
A30/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#124
L
65-80
65
80
-15
H02/12
NCAA
Butler
#164
L
59-72
59
72
-13
A06/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
65-82
65
82
-17
H09/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#40
L
66-72
66
72
-6
A22/12
NCAA
Niagara
#206
L
63-69
63
69
-6
H30/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
W
76-64
76
64
+12
A03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
26-59
42-43
21-33
39-35
24-47
40-42
24-37
42-44
21-39
44-41
26-35
33-37
23-44
42-38
32-42
34-30
30-20
33-49
36-18
40-46
143.1Avg total
65.2Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)67.978.8146.7-10.815%
Season at home (7)70.382.6152.9-12.314%
Season away (6)65.274.3139.5-9.217%
Last 10 (10)65.277.9143.1-12.710%
Last 5 (5)65.871.8137.6-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)68.380.6148.9-12.310%
vs Similar (4)83.275.0158.2+8.275%
vs Weaker (4)82.073.8155.8+8.275%
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio State
#123
L
56-73
56
73
-17
A19/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H24/11
NCAA
Mercer
#223
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H25/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#118
L
51-65
51
65
-14
H01/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
L
65-86
65
86
-21
A06/12
NCAA
Youngstown State
#53
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H09/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
68-89
68
89
-21
A16/12
NCAA
Cleveland State
#137
L
77-90
77
90
-13
A21/12
NCAA
Aquinas
#670
W
127-71
127
71
+56
H29/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
83-74
83
74
+9
A03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
21-41
35-32
34-24
34-43
32-36
40-30
14-41
37-24
34-40
31-46
30-37
38-35
33-47
35-42
34-46
43-44
68-40
59-31
44-41
39-33
148.8Avg total
73.5Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)72.374.8147.2-2.531%
Season at home (7)76.071.1147.1+4.943%
Season away (6)68.079.2147.2-11.217%
Last 10 (10)73.575.3148.8-1.840%
Last 5 (5)84.679.2163.8+5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)68.477.6145.9-9.211%
vs Similar (9)71.476.6148.0-5.144%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)72.072.5144.5-0.550%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: -11.1-11.11st half: -4.9-4.92nd half2nd half: -1.6-1.62nd half: +3.1+3.1
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: -11.1-11.11st half: -4.9-4.92nd half2nd half: -1.6-1.62nd half: +3.1+3.1
BuffaloWestern Michigan
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hofstra
#122
L
26-59
26
59
-33
H21/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
21-33
21
33
-12
A21/11
NCAA
Iona
#218
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A22/11
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A30/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#124
L
21-39
21
39
-18
H02/12
NCAA
Butler
#164
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A06/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
23-44
23
44
-21
H09/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#40
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A22/12
NCAA
Niagara
#206
W
30-20
30
20
+10
H30/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
W
36-18
36
18
+18
A03/01
NCAA
63.7Avg total
26.3Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.937.870.7-4.930%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.338.672.9-4.436%-
Last 30 away (16)31.737.068.7-5.325%-
Last 10 (10)26.337.463.7-11.120%-
Last 5 (5)29.431.861.2-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)30.239.469.6-9.219%-
vs Similar (4)38.233.571.8+4.850%-
vs Weaker (4)37.232.269.5+5.050%-
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio State
#123
L
21-41
21
41
-20
A19/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H24/11
NCAA
Mercer
#223
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H25/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#118
L
14-41
14
41
-27
H01/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A06/12
NCAA
Youngstown State
#53
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H09/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A16/12
NCAA
Cleveland State
#137
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A21/12
NCAA
Aquinas
#670
W
68-40
68
40
+28
H29/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A03/01
NCAA
73.7Avg total
34.4Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.736.868.5-5.127%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.335.968.2-3.638%-
Last 30 away (14)31.037.768.7-6.714%-
Last 10 (10)34.439.373.7-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)41.842.284.0-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)29.638.167.6-8.517%-
vs Similar (9)31.935.867.7-3.933%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)32.028.060.0+4.050%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Buffalo wins
0
Western Michigan wins
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/24ACentral Michigan76-64
30/12/23HNiagara63-69
22/12/23ARichmond Spiders66-72
09/12/23HWestern Kentucky65-82
06/12/23AButler59-72
02/12/23HSt. Bonaventure65-80
30/11/23AJames Madison66-81
22/11/23AIona64-89
21/11/23ALouisiana Lafayette60-68
21/11/23HHofstra68-102
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/24AMiami (Ohio)83-74
29/12/23HAquinas127-71
21/12/23ACleveland State77-90
16/12/23AIllinois (Chi.)68-89
09/12/23HYoungstown State68-72
06/12/23ANotre Dame65-86
01/12/23HSt. Thomas (Minn.)51-65
25/11/23HMercer72-66
24/11/23HSE Louisiana68-67
19/11/23AOhio State56-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Buffalo
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW15%
HomeWLLLL14%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %15%14%17%
Points / game67.970.365.2
Allowed / game78.882.674.3
Point differential-10.8-12.3-9.2
Avg total146.7152.9139.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Western Michigan
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW31%
HomeWWLLW43%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %31%43%17%
Points / game72.376.068.0
Allowed / game74.871.179.2
Point differential-2.5+4.9-11.2
Avg total147.2147.1147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMass1310377%83.871.2+12.5
2 Akron1410471%77.065.4+11.6
3 Bowling Green1410471%74.868.1+6.6
4 Kent State138562%80.172.6+7.5
5 Ball State138562%74.568.8+5.8
6 Toledo148657%78.678.5+0.1
7 Eastern Michigan137654%69.074.5-5.5
8 Ohio136746%79.271.5+7.6
9 Miami (Ohio)136746%74.872.2+2.6
10 Northern Illinois136746%77.778.0-0.3
11 Central Michigan135838%65.376.1-10.8
12 Western Michigan134931%72.374.8-2.5
13 Buffalo1321115%67.978.8-10.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Buffalo324577
Western Michigan344882
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