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Western Michigan vs Buffalo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 76-85
27-39 49-46
Position#345
Record6-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game73.0
vs
Buffalo 🏆
USA
Position#231
Record10-12
FormWLWLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game77.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Western Michigan v Buffalo
02 Dec 2026
WEST v BUFF
upcoming
20 Dec 2025
WEST71
BUFF88
18 Jan 2025
WEST76
BUFF85
24 Feb 2024
WEST91
BUFF72
04 Feb 2023
WEST76
BUFF85
11 Jan 2022
WEST64
BUFF78
12 Jan 2021
WEST69
BUFF85
19 Mar 2011
WEST48
BUFF49
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Western Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buffalo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Western MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#158
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A31/12
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A04/01
NCAA
Toledo
#18
L
74-102
74
102
-28
A06/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#347
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H11/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#296
W
108-92
108
92
+16
H14/01
NCAA
Ball State
#103
L
70-71
70
71
-1
A18/01
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
55-63
55
63
-8
H21/01
NCAA
Ohio
#133
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A25/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
L
69-70
69
70
-1
A29/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
L
59-73
59
73
-14
H01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
27-29
39-47
26-38
46-42
23-42
51-60
36-28
49-51
39-50
69-42
29-31
41-40
30-32
25-31
35-39
41-49
33-25
36-45
24-36
35-37
152.8Avg total
73.4Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)70.873.0143.7-2.227%
Season at home (10)72.365.6137.9+6.750%
Season away (12)69.579.1148.6-9.68%
Last 10 (10)73.479.4152.8-6.020%
Last 5 (5)65.873.0138.8-7.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)64.375.2139.5-10.912%
vs Similar (8)74.473.1147.5+1.250%
vs Weaker (3)81.367.3148.7+14.067%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#108
L
68-89
68
89
-21
A30/12
NCAA
Ohio
#133
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H04/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H07/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
80-91
80
91
-11
A11/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
L
78-87 OT
78
87
-9
A14/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#296
W
100-71
100
71
+29
H18/01
NCAA
Toledo
#18
L
77-86
77
86
-9
H21/01
NCAA
Ball State
#103
W
91-65
91
65
+26
A25/01
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A28/01
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
64-81
64
81
-17
H01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-41
38-48
39-32
36-40
45-28
35-34
34-37
46-54
30-40
40-30
48-33
52-38
39-46
38-40
45-27
46-38
31-42
37-32
25-42
39-39
155.9Avg total
78.1Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)79.077.0156.0+2.045%
Season at home (12)83.274.2157.4+8.967%
Season away (10)74.080.3154.3-6.320%
Last 10 (10)78.177.8155.9+0.340%
Last 5 (5)80.075.4155.4+4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.183.1157.2-9.027%
vs Similar (12)77.171.9149.0+5.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)80.573.5154.0+7.083%
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.8-4.81st half: -0.2-0.22nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: +1.4+1.4
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.8-4.81st half: -0.2-0.22nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: +1.4+1.4
Western MichiganBuffalo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Western MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#158
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A31/12
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A04/01
NCAA
Toledo
#18
L
23-42
23
42
-19
A06/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#347
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H11/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#296
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H14/01
NCAA
Ball State
#103
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A18/01
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H21/01
NCAA
Ohio
#133
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A25/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A29/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H01/02
NCAA
65.2Avg total
30.2Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.132.964.0-1.830%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.831.162.9+0.736%-
Last 30 away (16)30.534.565.0-4.025%-
Last 10 (10)30.235.065.2-4.820%-
Last 5 (5)30.232.662.8-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)29.435.264.6-5.812%-
vs Similar (8)32.833.866.5-1.038%-
vs Weaker (3)35.029.364.3+5.767%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#108
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A30/12
NCAA
Ohio
#133
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H04/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H07/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A11/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A14/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#296
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H18/01
NCAA
Toledo
#18
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H21/01
NCAA
Ball State
#103
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A25/01
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A28/01
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
25-42
25
42
-17
H01/02
NCAA
73.4Avg total
36.6Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.835.772.4+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.735.774.4+3.153%-
Last 30 away (15)34.835.770.5-0.947%-
Last 10 (10)36.636.873.4-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)37.638.075.6-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.540.074.5-5.527%-
vs Similar (12)36.532.669.1+3.958%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)36.534.871.3+1.767%-
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Western Michigan wins
6
Buffalo wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/23HNorthern Illinois59-73
29/01/23ACentral Michigan69-70
25/01/23AOhio76-88
21/01/23HAkron55-63
18/01/23ABall State70-71
14/01/23HBowling Green108-92
11/01/23HEastern Michigan85-79
06/01/23AToledo74-102
04/01/23AKent State72-80
31/12/22AWisconsin66-76
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/23HAkron64-81
28/01/23AKent State68-74
25/01/23ABall State91-65
21/01/23HToledo77-86
18/01/23HBowling Green100-71
14/01/23ACentral Michigan78-87 OT
11/01/23AMiami (FL)80-91
07/01/23HNorthern Illinois80-62
04/01/23HOhio75-72
30/12/22AMichigan State68-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Western Michigan
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL27%
HomeWWWLL50%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %27%50%8%
Points / game70.872.369.5
Allowed / game73.065.679.1
Point differential-2.2+6.7-9.6
Avg total143.7137.9148.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Buffalo
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL45%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %45%67%20%
Points / game79.083.274.0
Allowed / game77.074.280.3
Point differential+2.0+8.9-6.3
Avg total156.0157.4154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%50%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron2318578%72.861.9+10.9
2 Kent State2318578%74.664.1+10.4
3 Toledo2216673%85.078.4+6.5
4 Ball State2316770%76.069.8+6.2
5 UMass23131057%71.871.8+0.0
6 Ohio23121152%77.973.5+4.4
7 Buffalo22101245%79.077.0+2.0
8 Bowling Green22101245%77.376.7+0.6
9 Northern Illinois2291341%70.575.0-4.6
10 Central Michigan2281436%67.371.7-4.4
11 Western Michigan2261627%70.873.0-2.2
12 Eastern Michigan2361726%73.981.5-7.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Western Michigan274976
Buffalo394685
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