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Norway vs Bulgaria Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Jul 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 86-80
22-21 27-18 19-8 18-33
Position#28
Record4-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game69.1
Allowed / game73.4
Norway 🏆
vs
Position#13
Record5-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game70.7
EuropeEuroBasketRound 1· Varner Arena
Other2023
Meetings · Norway v Bulgaria
27 Feb 2026
NORW76
BULG67
19 Jul 2023
NORW86
BULG80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Norway winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bulgaria winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NorwayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNorway
Date
Competition
Kosovo
#32
W
86-77
86
77
+9
no box
H25/11
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
L
68-84
68
84
-16
no box
A24/02
EuroBasket
Kosovo
#32
W
95-92 OT
95
92
+3
no box
A27/02
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
L
62-64
62
64
-2
no box
H03/07
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
87-68
87
68
+19
85avg 55
A25/08
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
99-75
99
75
+24
99avg 55
H28/08
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
36-58
36
58
-22
26avg 55
A10/11
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
L
56-68
56
68
-12
42avg 55
H13/11
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
L
61-69
61
69
-8
50avg 55
A23/02
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
41-79
41
79
-38
30avg 55
H26/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
25-11
27-19
17-25
17-18
17-20
20-25
14-21
15-27
16-19
25-18
25-17
13-14
9-24
12-14
28-12
21-20
21-13
24-23
21-12
34-21
23-23
26-21
16-10
11-16
7-18
11-11
7-13
20-16
13-20
13-14
10-18
15-21
14-18
16-12
16-18
12-24
14-21
10-15
5-19
142.5Avg total
69.1Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)69.173.4142.5-4.340%
Season at home (5)68.872.6141.4-3.840%
Season away (5)69.474.2143.6-4.840%
Last 10 (10)69.173.4142.5-4.340%
Last 5 (5)58.669.8128.4-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)60.972.0132.9-11.114%
vs Similar (4)81.076.2157.2+4.875%
vs Weaker (4)90.064.8154.8+25.2100%
This opponent (Bulgaria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBulgaria
Date
Competition
Romania
#16
W
84-72
84
72
+12
75avg 75
H28/08
EuroBasket
Spain
#1
L
87-114
87
114
-27
no box
A01/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#22
L
87-101
87
101
-14
no box
H03/09
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#24
L
81-91
81
91
-10
no box
H04/09
EuroBasket
Georgia
#26
W
92-80
92
80
+12
no box
A06/09
EuroBasket
Belgium
#5
L
80-89
80
89
-9
no box
H07/09
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
L
78-88
78
88
-10
74avg 75
A10/11
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
75-66
75
66
+9
74avg 75
A13/11
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
W
62-61
62
61
+1
49avg 75
A23/02
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
W
90-82
90
82
+8
86avg 75
H26/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-19
12-15
23-20
20-18
17-28
18-29
31-32
21-25
29-31
23-19
19-25
16-26
21-21
25-24
12-22
23-24
14-18
25-20
27-19
26-23
19-20
11-21
30-25
20-23
20-21
32-23
12-23
14-21
16-8
17-13
24-27
18-18
16-12
15-13
13-19
18-17
19-19
24-21
27-18
20-24
166.0Avg total
81.6Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.570.7150.2+8.883%
Season at home (3)87.369.7157.0+17.7100%
Season away (3)71.771.7143.3+0.067%
Last 10 (10)81.684.4166.0-2.850%
Last 5 (5)77.077.2154.2-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)73.785.6159.4-11.924%
vs Similar (11)77.578.8156.3-1.445%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)81.560.5142.0+21.0100%
This opponent (Norway) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -2.3-2.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -2.3-2.3
NorwayBulgaria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NorwayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kosovo
#32
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H25/11
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A24/02
EuroBasket
Kosovo
#32
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A27/02
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
L
22-38
22
38
-16
H03/07
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A25/08
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
57-44
57
44
+13
H28/08
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
18-34
18
34
-16
A10/11
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H13/11
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A23/02
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
26-45
26
45
-19
H26/02
EuroBasket
72.0Avg total
33.4Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (15)35.536.371.8-0.940%-
Last 30 at home (8)37.836.073.8+1.850%-
Last 30 away (7)32.936.769.6-3.929%-
Last 10 (10)33.438.672.0-5.230%-
Last 5 (5)32.639.672.2-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)29.639.068.6-9.414%-
vs Similar (4)37.037.074.0+0.050%-
vs Weaker (4)44.231.075.2+13.275%-
This opponent (Bulgaria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BulgariaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Romania
#16
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H28/08
EuroBasket
Spain
#1
L
35-57
35
57
-22
A01/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#22
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H03/09
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#24
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H04/09
EuroBasket
Georgia
#26
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A06/09
EuroBasket
Belgium
#5
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H07/09
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A10/11
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
33-21
33
21
+12
A13/11
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A23/02
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H26/02
EuroBasket
79.7Avg total
40.2Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.940.578.4-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.740.881.5-0.153%-
Last 30 away (15)35.140.275.3-5.127%-
Last 10 (10)40.239.579.7+0.780%-
Last 5 (5)37.834.272.0+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)36.142.678.7-6.629%-
vs Similar (11)40.439.980.3+0.545%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)40.525.566.0+15.0100%-
This opponent (Norway) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Norwaytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Norway: 68.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.316.0
46.6%
50.6%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.67.9
28.6%
32.5%23.7
🏀 Free throws16.612.4
74.7%
71.4%12.4
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bulgariatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bulgaria: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.3 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.317.7
48.6%
50.6%35.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.510.0
36.4%
32.5%30.0
🏀 Free throws16.013.2
82.3%
71.4%13.2
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/6 games with a box score before 19 Jul 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Norway
LLLLWWLWLW
Bulgaria
WWWLLWLLLW
#28
League position
#13
-6.4
Net rating
+12.2
96.8
Offensive rating
108.3
103.2
Defensive rating
96.1
45.0%
Effective FG%
51.2%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
17.5%
Turnover %
19.6%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
34.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.25
28.6%
3-point %
36.4%
68.2%
Assist %
70.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.8 · 108.3Defence103.2 · 96.1Shooting45.0% · 51.2%3-point %28.6% · 36.4%Ball care17.5% · 19.6%Off. rebounds27.7% · 34.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Norway   ■ Bulgaria
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Norway wins
0
Bulgaria wins
No previous meetings.
Norwaylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/23HNorth Macedonia41-79
23/02/23ADenmark61-69
13/11/22HSlovakia56-68
10/11/22ANorth Macedonia36-58
28/08/22HDenmark99-75
25/08/22ASlovakia87-68
03/07/22HDenmark62-64
27/02/22AKosovo95-92 OT
24/02/22ADenmark68-84
25/11/21HKosovo86-77
Bulgarialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/23HPortugal90-82
23/02/23ARomania62-61
13/11/22ACyprus75-66
10/11/22APortugal78-88
07/09/22HBelgium80-89
06/09/22AGeorgia92-80
04/09/22HMontenegro81-91
03/09/22HTurkey87-101
01/09/22ASpain87-114
28/08/22HRomania84-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Norway
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL40%
HomeWLWLL40%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%40%40%
Points / game69.168.869.4
Allowed / game73.472.674.2
Point differential-4.3-3.8-4.8
Avg total142.5141.4143.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %10%0%20%
Bulgaria
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game79.587.371.7
Allowed / game70.769.771.7
Point differential+8.8+17.7+0.0
Avg total150.2157.0143.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Portugal65183%85.770.7+15.0
2 Poland65183%82.268.7+13.5
3 Croatia65183%80.569.0+11.5
4 North Macedonia65183%72.762.5+10.2
5 Bulgaria65183%79.570.7+8.8
6 Slovakia64267%73.272.7+0.5
7 Romania106460%72.671.1+1.5
8 Switzerland126650%69.770.4-0.8
9 Austria125742%74.976.4-1.5
10 Denmark104640%75.273.2+2.0
11 Norway104640%69.173.4-4.3
12 Ireland62433%75.784.7-9.0
13 Luxembourg41325%78.079.5-1.5
14 Albania41325%78.288.0-9.8
15 Kosovo41325%79.589.8-10.2
16 Cyprus121118%63.278.4-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Norway2227191886
Bulgaria211883380
← all games of the day
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