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Bulgaria vs Montenegro Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 25 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 86-90
21-22 27-19 19-25 19-24
Position#13
Record9-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game73.2
vs
Position#19
Record2-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game72.3
EuropeEuroBasketRound 4· Arena Botevgrad
Other2023
Meetings · Bulgaria v Montenegro
25 Nov 2024
BULG86
MONT90
04 Sep 2022
BULG81
MONT91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bulgaria winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Montenegro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBulgaria
Date
Competition
Cyprus
#40
W
75-66
75
66
+9
no box
A13/11
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
W
62-61
62
61
+1
no box
A23/02
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
W
90-82
90
82
+8
no box
H26/02
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
L
80-86
80
86
-6
no box
A19/07
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
83-71
83
71
+12
no box
H22/07
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
W
91-69
91
69
+22
no box
H29/07
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
85-71
85
71
+14
no box
A02/08
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
L
70-84
70
84
-14
59avg 54
A22/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
W
67-62
67
62
+5
57avg 54
H25/02
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
L
62-85
62
85
-23
44avg 54
A22/11
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-8
17-13
24-27
18-18
16-12
15-13
13-19
18-17
19-19
24-21
27-18
20-24
21-22
18-27
8-19
33-18
15-20
19-7
26-20
23-24
20-14
30-20
24-17
17-18
28-13
25-25
16-14
16-19
22-29
21-21
12-12
15-22
7-19
21-8
11-18
28-17
16-20
11-24
25-21
10-20
150.2Avg total
76.5Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)78.173.2151.3+4.869%
Season at home (6)83.868.5152.3+15.3100%
Season away (7)73.177.3150.4-4.143%
Last 10 (10)76.573.7150.2+2.870%
Last 5 (5)75.074.2149.2+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)75.785.1160.9-9.429%
vs Similar ◀ (9)75.978.0153.9-2.144%
vs Weaker (7)81.771.7153.4+10.071%
This opponent (Montenegro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMontenegro
Date
Competition
Lithuania
#9
L
56-65
56
65
-9
no box
H14/11
World Cup
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#41
L
66-74
66
74
-8
no box
A23/02
World Cup
Czech Republic
#60
W
88-70
88
70
+18
no box
H26/02
World Cup
Mexico
#26
W
91-71
91
71
+20
no box
A25/08
World Cup
Egypt
#27
W
89-74
89
74
+15
no box
H27/08
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
L
71-91
71
91
-20
no box
H29/08
World Cup
Greece
#25
W
73-69
73
69
+4
no box
A03/09
World Cup
Germany
#8
L
61-85
61
85
-24
48avg 75
A22/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
W
95-70
95
70
+25
97avg 75
H25/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
W
85-62
85
62
+23
81avg 75
H22/11
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
15-18
14-12
12-16
19-18
18-16
11-20
18-20
32-14
18-11
20-21
18-24
19-19
29-20
20-19
23-13
27-17
24-20
19-19
19-18
27-26
13-22
10-18
21-25
19-14
17-16
14-12
23-27
10-28
20-19
20-11
11-27
27-24
23-13
25-20
20-13
20-16
24-11
21-25
20-10
150.6Avg total
77.5Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.372.3152.7+8.067%
Season at home (2)90.066.0156.0+24.0100%
Season away (1)61.085.0146.0-24.00%
Last 10 (10)77.573.1150.6+4.460%
Last 5 (5)77.075.4152.4+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)71.477.0148.4-5.643%
vs Similar ◀ (8)74.574.5149.0+0.050%
vs Weaker (15)82.370.7153.0+11.587%
This opponent (Bulgaria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.8-0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.8-0.8
BulgariaMontenegro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BulgariaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cyprus
#40
W
33-21
33
21
+12
A13/11
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A23/02
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H26/02
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A19/07
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H22/07
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H29/07
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A02/08
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A22/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H25/02
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A22/11
EuroBasket
73.6Avg total
38.1Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.438.977.3-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.236.977.1+3.367%-
Last 30 away (15)36.740.977.6-4.333%-
Last 10 (10)38.135.573.6+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.678.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)35.540.776.2-5.236%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.638.778.2+0.956%-
vs Weaker (7)42.935.678.4+7.371%-
This opponent (Montenegro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MontenegroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lithuania
#9
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H14/11
World Cup
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#41
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A23/02
World Cup
Czech Republic
#60
W
50-25
50
25
+25
H26/02
World Cup
Mexico
#26
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A25/08
World Cup
Egypt
#27
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H27/08
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H29/08
World Cup
Greece
#25
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A03/09
World Cup
Germany
#8
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A22/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H25/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H22/11
EuroBasket
77.7Avg total
41.6Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.136.075.1+3.163%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.434.775.1+5.773%-
Last 30 away (15)37.837.375.1+0.553%-
Last 10 (10)41.636.177.7+5.570%-
Last 5 (5)40.037.877.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.040.174.1-6.143%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.636.875.4+1.950%-
vs Weaker (15)41.733.775.5+8.080%-
This opponent (Bulgaria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bulgariatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bulgaria: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.916.8
49.6%
50.6%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.6
33.9%
32.5%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.312.9
74.6%
71.4%12.9
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Montenegrotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Montenegro: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.7 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.722.3
60.9%
50.6%44.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.36.3
32.8%
32.5%19.0
🏀 Free throws21.016.7
79.4%
71.4%16.7
They take 56.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/3 games with a box score before 25 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bulgaria
LWLWWWLWWW
Montenegro
WWLWLWWWLL
#13
League position
#19
+3.4
Net rating
+13.4
105.5
Offensive rating
115.4
102.1
Defensive rating
102.0
50.2%
Effective FG%
56.8%
46.6%
Opp. effective FG%
46.9%
18.3%
Turnover %
20.7%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
37.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.38
33.9%
3-point %
32.8%
65.2%
Assist %
38.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.5 · 115.4Defence102.1 · 102.0Shooting50.2% · 56.8%3-point %33.9% · 32.8%Ball care18.3% · 20.7%Off. rebounds31.8% · 37.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Bulgaria   ■ Montenegro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bulgaria wins
2
Montenegro wins
DateGameScore
22/11/24Montenegro v Bulgaria85-62
04/09/22Bulgaria v Montenegro81-91
Bulgarialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/24AMontenegro62-85
25/02/24HGermany67-62
22/02/24ASweden70-84
02/08/23AAustria85-71
29/07/23HNorway91-69
22/07/23HAustria83-71
19/07/23ANorway80-86
26/02/23HPortugal90-82
23/02/23ARomania62-61
13/11/22ACyprus75-66
Montenegrolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/24HBulgaria85-62
25/02/24HSweden95-70
22/02/24AGermany61-85
03/09/23AGreece73-69
29/08/23HLithuania71-91
27/08/23HEgypt89-74
25/08/23AMexico91-71
26/02/23HCzech Republic88-70
23/02/23ABosnia & Herzegovina66-74
14/11/22HLithuania56-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bulgaria
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL69%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %69%100%43%
Points / game78.183.873.1
Allowed / game73.268.577.3
Point differential+4.8+15.3-4.1
Avg total151.3152.3150.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%67%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Montenegro
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game80.390.061.0
Allowed / game72.366.085.0
Point differential+8.0+24.0-24.0
Avg total152.7156.0146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia440100%80.856.8+24.0
2 Italy330100%88.371.0+17.3
3 France440100%76.863.5+13.2
4 Latvia330100%72.766.3+6.3
5 Croatia1411379%84.970.5+14.4
6 Portugal97278%82.871.9+10.9
7 Lithuania43175%79.567.0+12.5
8 Greece43175%73.869.0+4.8
9 Estonia43175%76.873.5+3.2
10 Bulgaria139469%78.173.2+4.8
11 Montenegro32167%80.372.3+8.0
12 Turkey32167%82.776.0+6.7
13 Belgium32167%68.362.7+5.7
14 Slovenia32167%83.078.0+5.0
15 Israel32167%79.077.0+2.0
16 Sweden32167%75.779.0-3.3
17 Slovakia138562%73.169.3+3.8
18 North Macedonia106460%74.069.6+4.4
19 Poland106460%79.475.9+3.5
20 Romania148657%72.072.1-0.1
21 Bosnia & Herzegovina42250%87.279.8+7.5
22 Czech Republic42250%80.076.2+3.8
23 Georgia42250%75.874.5+1.2
24 Denmark189950%74.473.6+0.8
25 Great Britain42250%80.083.2-3.2
26 Norway146843%71.176.0-4.9
27 Ireland104640%73.984.4-10.5
28 Austria1661038%75.077.2-2.2
29 Switzerland1661038%67.871.9-4.2
30 Kosovo83538%76.081.2-5.2
31 Germany31233%73.067.0+6.0
32 Spain31233%68.069.7-1.7
33 Iceland31233%72.078.7-6.7
34 Netherlands41325%79.284.5-5.2
35 Finland41325%74.283.2-9.0
36 Luxembourg81712%75.685.2-9.6
37 Albania81712%73.285.8-12.5
38 Cyprus161156%63.680.8-17.2
39 Ukraine3030%74.384.0-9.7
40 Hungary3030%64.381.7-17.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 40 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bulgaria2127191986
Montenegro2219252490
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