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Butler vs Boise State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 68-77
31-33 37-44
Position#208
Record7-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game71.6
vs
Position#101
Record5-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game70.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Butler winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boise State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ButlerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Providence
#300
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A12/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#10
L
57-78
57
78
-21
A13/03
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
88-58
88
58
+30
H06/11
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
112-80
112
80
+32
H08/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
98-66
98
66
+32
H12/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
85-87
85
87
-2
A15/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
79-72
79
72
+7
A21/11
NCAA
Virginia
#19
W
80-73
80
73
+7
A23/11
NCAA
Wright State
#94
W
94-69
94
69
+25
H28/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
84-68
84
68
+16
H03/12
NCAA
1H
2H
39-31
36-38
26-37
31-41
52-26
36-32
51-38
61-42
57-30
41-36
43-38
42-49
38-31
41-41
44-42
36-31
29-32
65-37
41-36
43-32
157.2Avg total
85.2Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)90.071.6161.6+18.488%
Season at home (5)95.268.2163.4+27.0100%
Season away (3)81.377.3158.7+4.067%
Last 10 (10)85.272.0157.2+13.280%
Last 5 (5)84.473.8158.2+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)71.479.1150.5-7.77%
vs Similar ◀ (9)81.375.0156.3+6.378%
vs Weaker (6)91.367.2158.5+24.2100%
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#25
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A15/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
56-69
56
69
-13
A15/03
NCAA
Hawaii Pacific
#217
L
78-79
78
79
-1
H04/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
W
101-77
101
77
+24
H08/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
W
85-65
85
65
+20
H12/11
NCAA
Montana State
#144
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H15/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H19/11
NCAA
USC
#153
L
67-70
67
70
-3
H24/11
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
70-81
70
81
-11
H25/11
NCAA
Chaminade Silverswords
#438
W
102-76
102
76
+26
A27/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-34
44-35
22-32
34-37
37-38
41-41
46-35
55-42
48-36
37-29
35-30
27-28
32-27
30-32
32-34
35-36
28-34
42-47
43-39
59-37
145.8Avg total
75.5Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.470.6149.0+7.862%
Season at home (7)75.069.9144.9+5.157%
Season away (1)102.076.0178.0+26.0100%
Last 10 (10)75.570.3145.8+5.260%
Last 5 (5)72.668.8141.4+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)101.077.0178.0+24.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (15)69.470.6140.0-1.247%
vs Weaker (14)77.063.2140.2+13.886%
This opponent (Butler) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.9+7.91st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: +5.3+5.32nd half: +4.0+4.0
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.9+7.91st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: +5.3+5.32nd half: +4.0+4.0
ButlerBoise State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ButlerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Providence
#300
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A12/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#10
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A13/03
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
52-26
52
26
+26
H06/11
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H08/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
57-30
57
30
+27
H12/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A15/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A21/11
NCAA
Virginia
#19
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A23/11
NCAA
Wright State
#94
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H28/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H03/12
NCAA
76.1Avg total
42.0Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.936.075.0+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.335.777.0+5.567%-
Last 30 away (15)36.636.372.9+0.360%-
Last 10 (10)42.034.176.1+7.980%-
Last 5 (5)39.035.874.8+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)35.939.275.1-3.340%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)37.734.271.9+3.478%-
vs Weaker (6)48.330.879.2+17.5100%-
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#25
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A15/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
22-32
22
32
-10
A15/03
NCAA
Hawaii Pacific
#217
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H04/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H08/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H12/11
NCAA
Montana State
#144
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H15/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H19/11
NCAA
USC
#153
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H24/11
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H25/11
NCAA
Chaminade Silverswords
#438
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A27/11
NCAA
69.0Avg total
35.1Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.931.365.2+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.830.768.5+7.169%-
Last 30 away (14)29.432.061.4-2.650%-
Last 10 (10)35.133.969.0+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)34.032.866.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)46.035.081.0+11.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)31.534.165.5-2.640%-
vs Weaker (14)35.628.163.7+7.679%-
This opponent (Butler) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Butler wins
0
Boise State wins
DateGameScore
26/11/23Boise State v Butler56-70
Butlerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/25HEastern Michigan84-68
28/11/25HWright State94-69
23/11/25AVirginia80-73
21/11/25ASouth Carolina79-72
15/11/25ASMU Mustangs85-87
12/11/25HChicago State98-66
08/11/25HIU Indy112-80
06/11/25HSouthern Indiana88-58
13/03/25ASt. John's (N.Y.)57-78
12/03/25AProvidence75-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/25AChaminade Silverswords102-76
25/11/25HNC State70-81
24/11/25HUSC67-70
19/11/25HWichita State62-59
15/11/25HMontana State62-58
12/11/25HUTRGV85-65
08/11/25HUtah Valley State101-77
04/11/25HHawaii Pacific78-79
15/03/25AColorado State56-69
15/03/25ANew Mexico72-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Butler
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %88%100%67%
Points / game90.095.281.3
Allowed / game71.668.277.3
Point differential+18.4+27.0+4.0
Avg total161.6163.4158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Boise State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW62%
HomeWWWLL57%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games871
Win %62%57%100%
Points / game78.475.0102.0
Allowed / game70.669.976.0
Point differential+7.8+5.1+26.0
Avg total149.0144.9178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%29%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uconn98189%80.160.4+19.7
2 Seton Hall98189%75.961.3+14.6
3 Butler87188%90.071.6+18.4
4 Villanova76186%82.066.9+15.1
5 Georgetown86275%80.674.0+6.6
6 Xavier107370%78.772.9+5.8
7 DePaul85362%77.870.9+6.9
8 Creighton85362%77.571.5+6.0
9 Providence106460%90.482.4+8.0
10 St. John's (N.Y.)74357%92.376.4+15.9
11 Marquette95456%81.474.2+7.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State87188%85.468.1+17.2
2 Wyoming86275%85.169.8+15.4
3 Colorado State86275%84.071.4+12.6
4 New Mexico86275%80.268.8+11.5
5 Fresno State96367%77.368.3+9.0
6 Nevada96367%77.273.7+3.6
7 Boise State85362%78.470.6+7.8
8 Grand Canyon85362%73.666.5+7.1
9 San Diego State74357%80.977.3+3.6
10 San Jose State94544%73.671.4+2.1
11 UNLV83538%84.286.1-1.9
12 Air Force103730%67.274.8-7.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Butler313768
Boise State334477
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