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New Mexico vs Boise State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 69-72
34-28 35-44
Position#25
Record26-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game70.7
vs
Position#55
Record23-9
FormWWWLW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game65.9
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · New Mexico v Boise State
07 Feb 2026
NEW 90
BOIS91
14 Mar 2025
NEW 69
BOIS72
17 Jan 2025
NEW 84
BOIS65
31 Jan 2024
NEW 78
BOIS86
20 Jan 2023
NEW 81
BOIS79
15 Jan 2022
NEW 63
BOIS71
04 Dec 2019
NEW 80
BOIS78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Mexico winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boise State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New MexicoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#49
W
87-65
87
65
+22
H06/02
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
88-53
88
53
+35
A08/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H13/02
NCAA
Utah State
#28
W
82-79
82
79
+3
H16/02
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
78-86
78
86
-8
A20/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A26/02
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
92-71
92
71
+21
H01/03
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A05/03
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
81-67
81
67
+14
H08/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
63-52
63
52
+11
H13/03
NCAA
1H
2H
35-31
52-34
34-24
54-29
29-39
42-28
36-42
46-37
39-42
39-44
29-33
36-40
47-32
45-39
41-38
30-29
40-38
41-29
32-23
31-29
145.8Avg total
77.8Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)81.670.7152.3+10.981%
Season at home (19)85.270.2155.3+15.095%
Season away (13)76.571.5148.0+4.962%
Last 10 (10)77.868.0145.8+9.880%
Last 5 (5)74.466.0140.4+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)78.071.0149.0+7.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (10)78.771.3150.0+7.470%
vs Weaker (19)83.470.1153.4+13.384%
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#165
W
71-62
71
62
+9
A05/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
79-52
79
52
+27
H08/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
47-64
47
64
-17
A16/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H20/02
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A22/02
NCAA
Utah State
#28
W
82-65
82
65
+17
H27/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
66-61
66
61
+5
A02/03
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
80-57
80
57
+23
A05/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
73-83
73
83
-10
H08/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A13/03
NCAA
1H
2H
33-29
38-33
37-25
42-27
18-28
29-36
42-39
44-39
34-32
36-37
37-31
45-34
27-26
39-35
38-21
42-36
34-34
39-49
28-33
34-19
135.9Avg total
71.6Scored
64.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)75.665.9141.4+9.772%
Season at home (18)80.563.6144.1+16.983%
Season away (14)69.268.8138.0+0.457%
Last 10 (10)71.664.3135.9+7.380%
Last 5 (5)72.663.6136.2+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)72.373.0145.3-0.750%
vs Weaker (17)75.961.2137.1+14.788%
This opponent (New Mexico) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +7.8+7.82nd half: +4.3+4.3
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +7.8+7.82nd half: +4.3+4.3
New MexicoBoise State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
New MexicoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#49
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H06/02
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
34-24
34
24
+10
A08/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H13/02
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H16/02
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A20/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A26/02
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H01/03
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A05/03
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H08/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
32-23
32
23
+9
H13/03
NCAA
70.4Avg total
36.2Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.733.170.8+4.667%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.232.471.6+6.878%-
Last 30 away (12)35.434.269.6+1.250%-
Last 10 (10)36.234.270.4+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)37.832.870.6+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.030.067.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.632.469.0+4.250%-
vs Weaker (19)38.333.671.9+4.774%-
This opponent (Boise State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#165
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A05/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H08/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
18-28
18
28
-10
A16/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H20/02
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A22/02
NCAA
Utah State
#28
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H27/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
27-26
27
26
+1
A02/03
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
38-21
38
21
+17
A05/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H08/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A13/03
NCAA
62.6Avg total
32.8Scored
29.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.530.464.9+4.170%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.029.567.5+8.582%-
Last 30 away (13)29.931.661.5-1.754%-
Last 10 (10)32.829.862.6+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)32.829.061.8+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)32.635.167.7-2.550%-
vs Weaker (17)34.927.262.1+7.882%-
This opponent (New Mexico) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
New Mexico wins
7
Boise State wins
New Mexicolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/25HSan Jose State63-52
08/03/25HUNLV81-67
05/03/25ANevada71-67
01/03/25HAir Force92-71
26/02/25ASan Diego State65-73
20/02/25ABoise State78-86
16/02/25HUtah State82-79
13/02/25HWyoming71-67
08/02/25AAir Force88-53
06/02/25HColorado State87-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/25ASan Diego State62-52
08/03/25HColorado State73-83
05/03/25AAir Force80-57
02/03/25AFresno State66-61
27/02/25HUtah State82-65
22/02/25ANevada70-69
20/02/25HNew Mexico86-78
16/02/25ASan Diego State47-64
08/02/25HSan Jose State79-52
05/02/25AUNLV71-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Mexico
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW81%
HomeWWWWW95%
AwayWWLLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321913
Win %81%95%62%
Points / game81.685.276.5
Allowed / game70.770.271.5
Point differential+10.9+15.0+4.9
Avg total152.3155.3148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%63%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %6%11%0%
Boise State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW72%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayLWWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321814
Win %72%83%57%
Points / game75.680.569.2
Allowed / game65.963.668.8
Point differential+9.7+16.9+0.4
Avg total141.4144.1138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%72%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (2)57% (7)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State3226681%81.269.6+11.6
2 New Mexico3226681%81.670.7+10.9
3 Grand Canyon3124777%79.068.8+10.2
4 Boise State3223972%75.665.9+9.7
5 Colorado State3223972%75.267.3+7.9
6 San Diego State3021970%70.963.6+7.2
7 UNLV33181555%69.268.1+1.1
8 Nevada33171652%72.368.1+4.2
9 San Jose State34151944%72.273.4-1.2
10 Wyoming32122038%67.271.2-4.0
11 Fresno State3262619%70.880.7-9.9
12 Air Force3242812%61.973.7-11.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
New Mexico343569
Boise State284472
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