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Butler vs Northwestern Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 61-58
29-23 32-35
Position#208
Record8-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game76.3
Butler 🏆
USA
vs
Position#251
Record7-4
FormLLLWW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game71.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Butler v Northwestern
20 Dec 2025
BUTL61
NORT58
28 Nov 2024
BUTL71
NORT69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Butler winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northwestern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ButlerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IU Indy
#360
W
112-80
112
80
+32
H08/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
98-66
98
66
+32
H12/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
85-87
85
87
-2
A15/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
79-72
79
72
+7
A21/11
NCAA
Virginia
#19
W
80-73
80
73
+7
A23/11
NCAA
Wright State
#94
W
94-69
94
69
+25
H28/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
84-68
84
68
+16
H03/12
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
68-77
68
77
-9
H06/12
NCAA
Providence
#246
W
113-110 OT
113
110
+3
H13/12
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
60-79
60
79
-19
A17/12
NCAA
1H
2H
51-38
61-42
57-30
41-36
43-38
42-49
38-31
41-41
44-42
36-31
29-32
65-37
41-36
43-32
31-33
37-44
41-45
48-44
25-39
35-40
165.4Avg total
87.3Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)87.476.3163.6+11.173%
Season at home (7)93.975.4169.3+18.486%
Season away (4)76.077.8153.8-1.850%
Last 10 (10)87.378.1165.4+9.270%
Last 5 (5)83.880.6164.4+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)70.979.6150.5-8.78%
vs Similar ◀ (11)83.078.4161.4+4.673%
vs Weaker (6)91.367.2158.5+24.2100%
This opponent (Northwestern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorthwesternUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston University
#211
W
76-52
76
52
+24
H07/11
NCAA
Cleveland State
#303
W
110-63
110
63
+47
H11/11
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
81-79
81
79
+2
A15/11
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A21/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
79-77
79
77
+2
H23/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H28/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A04/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
82-86
82
86
-4
H06/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
W
93-53
93
53
+40
H13/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H17/12
NCAA
1H
2H
45-26
31-26
53-28
57-35
42-44
39-35
36-40
42-43
36-34
43-43
40-39
41-47
32-55
41-30
44-40
38-46
41-24
52-29
39-30
47-40
157.3Avg total
83.9Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)82.671.0153.6+11.664%
Season at home (8)84.666.8151.4+17.975%
Season away (3)77.382.3159.7-5.033%
Last 10 (10)83.973.4157.3+10.560%
Last 5 (5)83.076.0159.0+7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.378.1149.4-6.810%
vs Similar ◀ (15)74.369.9144.3+4.460%
vs Weaker (5)84.263.8148.0+20.480%
This opponent (Butler) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +3.6+3.61st half: +4.8+4.82nd half2nd half: +5.3+5.32nd half: +5.7+5.7
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +3.6+3.61st half: +4.8+4.82nd half2nd half: +5.3+5.32nd half: +5.7+5.7
ButlerNorthwestern
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ButlerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IU Indy
#360
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H08/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
57-30
57
30
+27
H12/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A15/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A21/11
NCAA
Virginia
#19
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A23/11
NCAA
Wright State
#94
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H28/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H03/12
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H06/12
NCAA
Providence
#246
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H13/12
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A17/12
NCAA
76.4Avg total
40.0Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.936.575.3+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.836.177.9+5.760%-
Last 30 away (15)35.936.872.7-0.953%-
Last 10 (10)40.036.476.4+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)33.437.070.4-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.840.276.0-4.531%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.435.172.5+2.364%-
vs Weaker (6)48.330.879.2+17.5100%-
This opponent (Northwestern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorthwesternLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston University
#211
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H07/11
NCAA
Cleveland State
#303
W
53-28
53
28
+25
H11/11
NCAA
DePaul
#213
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A15/11
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A21/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H23/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H28/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
32-55
32
55
-23
A04/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H06/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#306
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H13/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H17/12
NCAA
76.8Avg total
40.8Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.134.268.2-0.160%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.831.868.6+4.982%-
Last 30 away (13)30.537.267.8-6.731%-
Last 10 (10)40.836.076.8+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)39.237.676.8+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)32.439.071.4-6.640%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)33.732.366.0+1.567%-
vs Weaker (5)38.430.268.6+8.280%-
This opponent (Butler) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Butler wins
0
Northwestern wins
DateGameScore
29/11/24Butler v Northwestern71-69
Butlerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/25AUconn60-79
13/12/25HProvidence113-110 OT
06/12/25HBoise State68-77
03/12/25HEastern Michigan84-68
28/11/25HWright State94-69
23/11/25AVirginia80-73
21/11/25ASouth Carolina79-72
15/11/25ASMU Mustangs85-87
12/11/25HChicago State98-66
08/11/25HIU Indy112-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/25HValparaiso86-70
13/12/25HJackson State93-53
06/12/25HOhio State82-86
04/12/25AWisconsin73-85
28/11/25HOklahoma State81-86
23/11/25HSouth Carolina79-77
21/11/25AVirginia78-83
15/11/25ADePaul81-79
11/11/25HCleveland State110-63
07/11/25HBoston University76-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Butler
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL73%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %73%86%50%
Points / game87.493.976.0
Allowed / game76.375.477.8
Point differential+11.1+18.4-1.8
Avg total163.6169.3153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%71%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %9%14%0%
Northwestern
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW64%
HomeWLLWW75%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1183
Win %64%75%33%
Points / game82.684.677.3
Allowed / game71.066.882.3
Point differential+11.6+17.9-5.0
Avg total153.6151.4159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uconn1211192%79.061.7+17.3
2 Seton Hall1211192%76.262.1+14.1
3 Villanova119282%80.067.9+12.1
4 Butler118373%87.476.3+11.1
5 Georgetown118373%78.273.6+4.5
6 DePaul128467%76.468.8+7.7
7 Xavier128467%76.673.7+2.9
8 Creighton116555%76.771.2+5.5
9 Providence137654%89.883.7+6.1
10 St. John's (N.Y.)137654%80.875.0+5.8
11 Marquette125742%78.176.8+1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan10100100%94.767.7+27.0
2 Nebraska11110100%83.868.3+15.5
3 Michigan State1211192%78.063.3+14.7
4 USC1211192%88.376.3+12.0
5 Purdue1110191%84.667.1+17.5
6 Iowa119282%79.361.8+17.5
7 Indiana129375%85.066.6+18.4
8 UCLA129375%80.469.2+11.2
9 Illinois118373%87.871.5+16.3
10 Ohio State118373%86.072.7+13.3
11 Penn State118373%81.174.5+6.6
12 Northwestern117464%82.671.0+11.6
13 Washington117464%83.073.1+9.9
14 Wisconsin117464%83.475.5+7.9
15 Minnesota116555%73.468.1+5.3
16 Oregon116555%77.673.6+4.0
17 Maryland116555%77.680.5-2.9
18 Rutgers115645%68.973.1-4.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Butler293261
Northwestern233558
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