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Butler vs Xavier Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 80-75
47-28 33-47
Position#208
Record14-13
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game77.3
Butler 🏆
USA
vs
Xavier
USA
Position#248
Record13-13
FormWLLWL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game79.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Butler v Xavier
21 Feb 2026
BUTL80
XAVI75
05 Mar 2025
BUTL78
XAVI91
13 Mar 2024
BUTL72
XAVI76
06 Mar 2024
BUTL72
XAVI66
10 Feb 2023
BUTL69
XAVI67
07 Jan 2022
BUTL72
XAVI87
30 Jan 2021
BUTL55
XAVI68
12 Feb 2020
BUTL66
XAVI61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Butler winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Xavier winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ButlerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seton Hall
#89
W
77-66
77
66
+11
A17/01
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H21/01
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
87-76
87
76
+11
H24/01
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
70-92
70
92
-22
A29/01
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
64-77
64
77
-13
H31/01
NCAA
Providence
#246
L
87-97 OT
87
97
-10
A05/02
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
55-70
55
70
-15
A07/02
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
70-80
70
80
-10
H12/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
56-63
56
63
-7
H15/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
93-89
93
89
+4
A18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-24
43-42
33-37
54-43
41-36
46-40
29-43
41-49
39-43
25-34
34-32
39-41
28-32
27-38
38-41
32-39
24-23
32-40
54-45
39-44
153.6Avg total
74.6Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)80.277.3157.5+3.052%
Season at home (16)82.573.9156.4+8.662%
Season away (11)76.982.1159.0-5.236%
Last 10 (10)74.679.0153.6-4.440%
Last 5 (5)72.279.8152.0-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)70.382.8153.1-12.411%
vs Similar (15)78.777.5156.2+1.360%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)93.068.8161.8+24.283%
This opponent (Xavier) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
XavierUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Providence
#246
W
97-84
97
84
+13
H10/01
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
89-75
89
75
+14
H14/01
NCAA
Creighton
#238
L
93-94
93
94
-1
A22/01
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
83-88
83
88
-5
H24/01
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
68-86
68
86
-18
A29/01
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H31/01
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
60-92
60
92
-32
A04/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
82-87 OT
82
87
-5
A09/02
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
96-88
96
88
+8
H14/02
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
89-92 OT
89
92
-3
H17/02
NCAA
1H
2H
44-35
53-49
44-36
45-39
39-42
54-52
49-37
34-51
41-30
27-56
30-35
38-31
22-50
38-42
42-42
36-36
51-35
45-53
42-43
39-38
167.7Avg total
82.5Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)78.279.0157.2-0.850%
Season at home (18)80.377.0157.3+3.367%
Season away (8)73.483.6157.0-10.212%
Last 10 (10)82.585.2167.7-2.740%
Last 5 (5)79.085.0164.0-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)75.480.5155.9-5.136%
vs Similar (14)80.579.2159.7+1.357%
vs Weaker (2)86.071.0157.0+15.0100%
This opponent (Butler) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -0.2-0.21st half: +1.9+1.92nd half2nd half: -3.2-3.22nd half: -3.8-3.8
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -0.2-0.21st half: +1.9+1.92nd half2nd half: -3.2-3.22nd half: -3.8-3.8
ButlerXavier
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ButlerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seton Hall
#89
W
34-24
34
24
+10
A17/01
NCAA
DePaul
#213
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H21/01
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H24/01
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A29/01
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H31/01
NCAA
Providence
#246
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A05/02
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A07/02
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H12/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
W
24-23
24
23
+1
H15/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A18/02
NCAA
71.0Avg total
35.4Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.935.673.5+2.353%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.233.472.6+5.856%-
Last 30 away (14)36.438.174.5-1.850%-
Last 10 (10)35.435.671.0-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)35.634.670.2+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.040.476.4-4.433%-
vs Similar (15)35.334.169.3+1.253%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)47.232.279.3+15.083%-
This opponent (Xavier) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
XavierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Providence
#246
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H10/01
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H14/01
NCAA
Creighton
#238
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A22/01
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H24/01
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A29/01
NCAA
DePaul
#213
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H31/01
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
22-50
22
50
-28
A04/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A09/02
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H14/02
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H17/02
NCAA
78.9Avg total
40.4Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.137.674.7-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (20)38.435.874.2+2.665%-
Last 30 away (10)34.641.375.9-6.710%-
Last 10 (10)40.438.578.9+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)37.441.078.4-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)35.938.274.1-2.343%-
vs Similar (14)37.937.875.6+0.143%-
vs Weaker (2)40.032.572.5+7.5100%-
This opponent (Butler) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Butler wins
7
Xavier wins
DateGameScore
14/01/26Xavier v Butler89-75
06/03/25Butler v Xavier78-91
19/02/25Xavier v Butler76-63
13/03/24Butler v Xavier72-76
07/03/24Butler v Xavier72-66
16/01/24Xavier v Butler85-71
05/03/23Xavier v Butler78-66
11/02/23Butler v Xavier69-67
09/03/22Xavier v Butler82-89 OT
03/02/22Xavier v Butler68-66
Butlerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/26AGeorgetown93-89
15/02/26HSeton Hall56-63
12/02/26HUconn70-80
07/02/26AMarquette55-70
05/02/26AProvidence87-97 OT
31/01/26HGeorgetown64-77
29/01/26ASt. John's (N.Y.)70-92
24/01/26HMarquette87-76
21/01/26HDePaul87-80
17/01/26ASeton Hall77-66
Xavierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/26HVillanova89-92 OT
14/02/26HMarquette96-88
09/02/26ASt. John's (N.Y.)82-87 OT
04/02/26AUconn60-92
31/01/26HDePaul68-66
29/01/26ASeton Hall68-86
24/01/26HSt. John's (N.Y.)83-88
22/01/26ACreighton93-94
14/01/26HButler89-75
10/01/26HProvidence97-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Butler
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW52%
HomeWWLLL62%
AwayWLLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271611
Win %52%62%36%
Points / game80.282.576.9
Allowed / game77.373.982.1
Point differential+3.0+8.6-5.2
Avg total157.5156.4159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%44%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %7%6%9%
Xavier
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games26188
Win %50%67%12%
Points / game78.280.373.4
Allowed / game79.077.083.6
Point differential-0.8+3.3-10.2
Avg total157.2157.3157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%39%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)57% (7)25% (4)
Overtime %8%6%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uconn2724389%79.466.1+13.3
2 Villanova2621581%78.369.9+8.4
3 St. John's (N.Y.)2922776%81.872.3+9.4
4 Seton Hall2718967%71.165.1+6.0
5 DePaul26141254%71.669.7+1.9
6 Butler27141352%80.277.3+3.0
7 Georgetown26131350%75.874.0+1.8
8 Creighton28141450%75.775.7+0.0
9 Xavier26131350%78.279.0-0.8
10 Providence26111542%87.485.4+2.0
11 Marquette2791833%75.777.6-1.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Butler473380
Xavier284775
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