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Xavier vs Villanova Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 89-92 (OT)
42-43 39-38 8-11
Position#248
Record13-12
FormLWLLW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game78.5
vs
Position#46
Record20-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game69.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Xavier v Villanova
06 Jan 2027
XAVI v VILL
upcoming
17 Feb 2026
XAVI89
VILL92
14 Jan 2025
XAVI69
VILL63
07 Feb 2024
XAVI56
VILL53
21 Feb 2023
XAVI63
VILL64
12 Jan 2022
XAVI60
VILL64
02 Jan 2021
XAVI v VILL
upcoming
22 Feb 2020
XAVI55
VILL64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Xavier winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Villanova winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

XavierUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marquette
#290
L
65-66
65
66
-1
A08/01
NCAA
Providence
#246
W
97-84
97
84
+13
H10/01
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
89-75
89
75
+14
H14/01
NCAA
Creighton
#238
L
93-94
93
94
-1
A22/01
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
83-88
83
88
-5
H24/01
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
68-86
68
86
-18
A29/01
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H31/01
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
60-92
60
92
-32
A04/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
82-87 OT
82
87
-5
A09/02
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
96-88
96
88
+8
H14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
27-37
38-29
44-35
53-49
44-36
45-39
39-42
54-52
49-37
34-51
41-30
27-56
30-35
38-31
22-50
38-42
42-42
36-36
51-35
45-53
162.7Avg total
80.1Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)77.878.5156.3-0.852%
Season at home (17)79.876.1155.9+3.771%
Season away (8)73.483.6157.0-10.212%
Last 10 (10)80.182.6162.7-2.540%
Last 5 (5)74.883.8158.6-9.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)74.479.6154.0-5.238%
vs Similar (14)80.579.2159.7+1.357%
vs Weaker (3)87.773.3161.0+14.3100%
This opponent (Villanova) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VillanovaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marquette
#290
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A10/01
NCAA
Providence
#246
W
88-82
88
82
+6
A13/01
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
79-86
79
86
-7
H18/01
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
66-51
66
51
+15
H22/01
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
67-75 OT
67
75
-8
A24/01
NCAA
Providence
#246
W
87-73
87
73
+14
H31/01
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H04/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
80-73
80
73
+7
A07/02
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H11/02
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
80-69
80
69
+11
A14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
44-38
32-35
46-34
42-48
35-36
44-50
26-23
40-28
31-27
30-34
45-28
42-45
40-25
32-35
37-40
43-33
36-32
41-42
41-27
39-42
148.8Avg total
77.2Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)77.869.1146.9+8.680%
Season at home (15)80.567.9148.3+12.687%
Season away (10)73.771.0144.7+2.770%
Last 10 (10)77.271.6148.8+5.680%
Last 5 (5)79.269.8149.0+9.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)64.082.0146.0-18.00%
vs Similar (9)71.968.9140.8+3.056%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)79.266.9146.1+12.395%
This opponent (Xavier) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: +7.1+7.12nd half2nd half: -3.0-3.02nd half: -0.7-0.7
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: +7.1+7.12nd half2nd half: -3.0-3.02nd half: -0.7-0.7
XavierVillanova
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
XavierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marquette
#290
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A08/01
NCAA
Providence
#246
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H10/01
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H14/01
NCAA
Creighton
#238
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A22/01
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H24/01
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A29/01
NCAA
DePaul
#213
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H31/01
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
22-50
22
50
-28
A04/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A09/02
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H14/02
NCAA
76.8Avg total
38.9Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.237.574.7-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.235.473.6+2.768%-
Last 30 away (11)35.541.276.6-5.718%-
Last 10 (10)38.937.976.8+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)37.238.475.6-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)35.537.873.3-2.446%-
vs Similar (14)37.937.875.6+0.143%-
vs Weaker (3)41.335.076.3+6.3100%-
This opponent (Villanova) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VillanovaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marquette
#290
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A10/01
NCAA
Providence
#246
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A13/01
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H18/01
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
26-23
26
23
+3
H22/01
NCAA
Uconn
#11
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A24/01
NCAA
Providence
#246
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H31/01
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H04/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A07/02
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H11/02
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A14/02
NCAA
69.1Avg total
38.1Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.631.568.1+5.173%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.829.668.4+9.288%-
Last 30 away (13)33.734.067.7-0.354%-
Last 10 (10)38.131.069.1+7.180%-
Last 5 (5)39.830.470.2+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)27.040.067.0-13.050%-
vs Similar (9)34.730.665.2+4.167%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)38.531.169.5+7.479%-
This opponent (Xavier) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Xavier wins
7
Villanova wins
DateGameScore
09/02/25Villanova v Xavier80-68
14/01/25Xavier v Villanova69-63
08/02/24Xavier v Villanova56-53
04/01/24Villanova v Xavier66-65
21/02/23Xavier v Villanova63-64
07/01/23Villanova v Xavier80-88
12/01/22Xavier v Villanova60-64
22/12/21Villanova v Xavier71-58
22/02/20Xavier v Villanova55-64
30/12/19Villanova v Xavier68-62
Xavierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26HMarquette96-88
09/02/26ASt. John's (N.Y.)82-87 OT
04/02/26AUconn60-92
31/01/26HDePaul68-66
29/01/26ASeton Hall68-86
24/01/26HSt. John's (N.Y.)83-88
22/01/26ACreighton93-94
14/01/26HButler89-75
10/01/26HProvidence97-84
08/01/26AMarquette65-66
Villanovalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26ACreighton80-69
11/02/26HMarquette77-74
07/02/26AGeorgetown80-73
04/02/26HSeton Hall72-60
31/01/26HProvidence87-73
24/01/26AUconn67-75 OT
22/01/26HGeorgetown66-51
18/01/26HSt. John's (N.Y.)79-86
13/01/26AProvidence88-82
10/01/26AMarquette76-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Xavier
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW52%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games25178
Win %52%71%12%
Points / game77.879.873.4
Allowed / game78.576.183.6
Point differential-0.8+3.7-10.2
Avg total156.3155.9157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%41%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)67% (6)25% (4)
Overtime %4%0%12%
Villanova
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeLWWWW87%
AwayWWLWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251510
Win %80%87%70%
Points / game77.880.573.7
Allowed / game69.167.971.0
Point differential+8.6+12.6+2.7
Avg total146.9148.3144.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%73%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %8%7%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uconn2624292%79.365.2+14.1
2 Villanova2520580%77.869.1+8.6
3 St. John's (N.Y.)2720774%82.073.2+8.8
4 Seton Hall2618869%71.765.0+6.7
5 Georgetown25131252%75.373.2+2.1
6 DePaul25131252%71.770.2+1.5
7 Xavier25131252%77.878.5-0.8
8 Butler26131350%79.776.8+2.9
9 Creighton26131350%76.075.2+0.9
10 Providence26111542%87.485.4+2.0
11 Marquette2691735%76.077.7-1.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Xavier4239889
Villanova43381192
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