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Bydgoszcz vs Poznan Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 88-67
13-22 22-20 21-11 32-14
Position#1
Record23-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game77.2
vs
Position#15
Record11-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game81.1
Poland1 LigaRound 29· Sisu Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Bydgoszcz v Poznan
21 Mar 2026
BYDG88
POZN67
05 Feb 2025
BYDG86
POZN93
22 Mar 2024
BYDG86
POZN65
07 Apr 2019
BYDG87
POZN75
06 Apr 2019
BYDG89
POZN80
17 Oct 2018
BYDG93
POZN62
12 Nov 2017
BYDG69
POZN68
02 Apr 2017
BYDG78
POZN87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bydgoszcz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Poznan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BydgoszczPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBydgoszcz
Date
Competition
Leszno
#12
W
107-101
107
101
+6
105avg 84
H11/01
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
88-80
88
80
+8
no box
A16/01
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#14
W
108-92
108
92
+16
108avg 84
H21/01
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
W
91-79
91
79
+12
84avg 84
H25/01
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
W
80-69
80
69
+11
74avg 84
A08/02
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
W
76-66
76
66
+10
73avg 84
H15/02
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
W
75-73
75
73
+2
75avg 84
A21/02
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
89-80
89
80
+9
80avg 84
H01/03
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
104-81
104
81
+23
109avg 84
H07/03
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
83-72
83
72
+11
77avg 84
A14/03
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
28-32
23-22
34-25
24-16
22-12
20-26
22-26
32-26
21-20
23-19
32-27
24-19
24-21
23-16
20-23
19-22
17-20
19-16
25-11
28-12
20-25
13-17
15-12
20-23
14-21
25-15
16-14
14-22
21-26
32-12
22-20
28-22
25-28
25-18
26-13
16-20
26-20
21-15
20-17
169.4Avg total
90.1Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)89.577.2166.7+12.388%
Season at home (13)91.778.9170.6+12.885%
Season away (13)87.375.4162.7+11.992%
Last 10 (10)90.179.3169.4+10.8100%
Last 5 (5)85.474.4159.8+11.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)78.780.5159.2-1.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)90.877.0167.8+13.892%
This opponent (Poznan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PoznanPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoznan
Date
Competition
GKS Tychy
#6
W
82-71
82
71
+11
73avg 68
H10/01
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
L
77-90
77
90
-13
no box
A18/01
1 Liga
Leszno
#12
W
83-72
83
72
+11
74avg 68
H21/01
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
76-75
76
75
+1
61avg 68
A24/01
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#14
W
81-75
81
75
+6
65avg 68
H31/01
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
L
76-82
76
82
-6
57avg 68
A07/02
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
77-82
77
82
-5
69avg 68
A21/02
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
L
86-102
86
102
-16
69avg 68
H28/02
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
82-96
82
96
-14
68avg 68
A08/03
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
L
83-84
83
84
-1
69avg 68
H15/03
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-16
24-17
22-20
22-18
14-23
15-22
25-19
23-26
25-17
15-17
23-21
20-17
18-14
21-25
21-16
16-20
19-27
19-20
24-14
19-14
20-17
18-30
17-9
21-26
22-21
21-19
17-19
17-23
20-27
19-22
25-24
22-29
20-23
33-17
18-32
11-24
17-19
22-22
21-21
23-22
163.2Avg total
80.3Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)80.581.1161.6-0.642%
Season at home (13)83.281.3164.5+1.954%
Season away (13)77.880.8158.6-3.131%
Last 10 (10)80.382.9163.2-2.640%
Last 5 (5)80.889.2170.0-8.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)81.384.7166.0-3.333%
vs Similar (22)79.482.1161.5-2.736%
vs Weaker (2)79.569.0148.5+10.5100%
This opponent (Bydgoszcz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -2.5-2.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -2.5-2.5
BydgoszczPoznan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BydgoszczLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leszno
#12
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H11/01
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A16/01
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#14
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H21/01
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H25/01
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A08/02
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H15/02
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A21/02
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H01/03
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H07/03
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A14/03
1 Liga
87.4Avg total
44.5Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.139.482.6+3.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.141.286.3+3.967%-
Last 30 away (15)41.137.778.8+3.553%-
Last 10 (10)44.542.987.4+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)42.443.886.2-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)39.042.581.5-3.533%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)44.238.782.8+5.567%-
This opponent (Poznan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PoznanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
GKS Tychy
#6
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H10/01
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A18/01
1 Liga
Leszno
#12
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H21/01
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A24/01
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#14
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H31/01
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A07/02
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A21/02
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H28/02
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A08/03
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H15/03
1 Liga
81.1Avg total
39.6Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.940.180.0-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.140.680.7-0.540%-
Last 30 away (15)39.739.779.3+0.047%-
Last 10 (10)39.641.581.1-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)42.443.485.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)43.840.784.5+3.267%-
vs Similar (22)39.040.579.5-1.536%-
vs Weaker (2)37.535.072.5+2.550%-
This opponent (Bydgoszcz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bydgoszcztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bydgoszcz: 92.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.520.5
59.4%
52.0%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.210.9
34.9%
31.9%32.7
🏀 Free throws25.218.9
75.0%
70.0%18.9
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Poznantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poznan: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.520.6
49.6%
52.0%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.67.8
29.3%
31.9%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.414.3
70.1%
70.0%14.3
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bydgoszcz
WWWWWWWWWW
Poznan
LLLLLWWWLW
#1
League position
#15
+15.6
Net rating
-2.1
107.5
Offensive rating
92.4
91.9
Defensive rating
94.5
56.1%
Effective FG%
47.4%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
11.9%
Turnover %
12.8%
22.9%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.9%
3-point %
29.3%
70.4%
Assist %
47.2%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 92.4Defence91.9 · 94.5Shooting56.1% · 47.4%3-point %34.9% · 29.3%Ball care11.9% · 12.8%Off. rebounds22.9% · 29.3%Free throws0.38 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)100% · 40%
■ Bydgoszcz   ■ Poznan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Bydgoszcz wins
4
Poznan wins
DateGameScore
29/11/25Poznan v Bydgoszcz102-97 OT
05/02/25Bydgoszcz v Poznan86-93
26/10/24Poznan v Bydgoszcz85-92
22/03/24Bydgoszcz v Poznan86-65
17/12/23Poznan v Bydgoszcz95-74
13/04/19Poznan v Bydgoszcz71-80
07/04/19Bydgoszcz v Poznan87-75
06/04/19Bydgoszcz v Poznan89-80
23/01/19Poznan v Bydgoszcz91-84
17/10/18Bydgoszcz v Poznan93-62
Bydgoszczlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26AZubry Bialystok83-72
07/03/26HPelplin104-81
01/03/26HPoli. Opolska89-80
21/02/26ALKS Lodz75-73
15/02/26HKotwica Kolobrzeg76-66
08/02/26ASpojnia Stargard80-69
25/01/26HWKK Wroclaw91-79
21/01/26HInowroclaw108-92
16/01/26APolonia Warszawa88-80
11/01/26HLeszno107-101
Poznanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/26HPoli. Opolska83-84
08/03/26ALKS Lodz82-96
28/02/26HKotwica Kolobrzeg86-102
21/02/26ASpojnia Stargard77-82
07/02/26AWKK Wroclaw76-82
31/01/26HInowroclaw81-75
24/01/26APolonia Warszawa76-75
21/01/26HLeszno83-72
18/01/26ALancut77-90
10/01/26HGKS Tychy82-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bydgoszcz
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayWWWWW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %88%85%92%
Points / game89.591.787.3
Allowed / game77.278.975.4
Point differential+12.3+12.8+11.9
Avg total166.7170.6162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%69%54%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)-75% (4)
Overtime %8%0%15%
Poznan
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL42%
HomeWWWLL54%
AwayLWLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %42%54%31%
Points / game80.583.277.8
Allowed / game81.181.380.8
Point differential-0.6+1.9-3.1
Avg total161.6164.5158.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%23%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)40% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bydgoszcz2623388%89.577.2+12.3
2 LKS Lodz2518772%87.279.1+8.1
3 Spojnia Stargard2718967%83.180.2+2.9
4 Lancut2718967%86.686.7-0.1
5 Starogard Gdanski27171063%83.780.0+3.7
6 Pelplin28171161%86.383.2+3.1
7 GKS Tychy27161159%82.481.4+1.0
8 Kotwica Kolobrzeg26141254%81.876.6+5.2
9 Polonia Warszawa26121446%81.083.7-2.7
10 WKK Wroclaw27121544%81.382.4-1.1
11 Leszno27121544%78.882.2-3.4
12 Poznan26111542%80.581.1-0.6
13 R. Rzeszow26101638%81.584.0-2.5
14 Poli. Opolska2691735%81.884.5-2.7
15 Inowroclaw2791833%79.484.4-4.9
16 Miners Katowice2662023%80.186.4-6.3
17 Zubry Bialystok2632312%76.588.3-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bydgoszcz1322213288
Poznan2220111467
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