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Poznan vs Bydgoszcz Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 102-97 (OT)
21-12 22-27 17-19 14-16 28-23
Position#15
Record3-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game78.7
Poznan 🏆
Poland
vs
Position#1
Record10-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game75.1
Poland1 LigaRound 12· Cityzen hall
Other2025-26
Meetings · Poznan v Bydgoszcz
29 Nov 2025
POZN102
BYDG97
26 Oct 2024
POZN85
BYDG92
17 Dec 2023
POZN95
BYDG74
13 Apr 2019
POZN71
BYDG80
23 Jan 2019
POZN91
BYDG84
24 Feb 2018
POZN83
BYDG62
17 Dec 2016
POZN87
BYDG59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Poznan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bydgoszcz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PoznanPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoznan
Date
Competition
GKS Tychy
#6
L
75-81
75
81
-6
66avg 71
A20/09
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
W
91-64
91
64
+27
85avg 71
H27/09
1 Liga
Leszno
#12
W
90-64
90
64
+26
83avg 71
A01/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
71-82
71
82
-11
59avg 71
H05/10
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#14
L
74-76
74
76
-2
65avg 71
A11/10
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
L
76-81
76
81
-5
62avg 71
H19/10
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
W
79-73
79
73
+6
67avg 71
H02/11
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
L
64-82
64
82
-18
48avg 71
A07/11
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
85-90
85
90
-5
71avg 71
H15/11
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
L
81-94
81
94
-13
70avg 71
A21/11
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
14-19
17-20
26-21
25-11
25-18
23-13
18-22
25-17
14-18
25-14
26-15
15-20
22-18
22-24
12-20
20-16
25-19
23-17
6-24
22-23
13-21
16-20
25-17
33-18
7-21
16-16
23-18
12-17
18-25
26-23
8-17
25-27
22-21
24-16
14-26
21-14
20-20
12-30
28-30
157.3Avg total
78.6Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)78.678.7157.3-0.130%
Season at home (5)80.478.0158.4+2.440%
Season away (5)76.879.4156.2-2.620%
Last 10 (10)78.678.7157.3-0.130%
Last 5 (5)77.084.0161.0-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)76.678.6155.2-2.040%
vs Similar (22)79.581.8161.3-2.336%
vs Weaker (3)87.388.3175.7-1.033%
This opponent (Bydgoszcz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BydgoszczPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBydgoszcz
Date
Competition
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
89-78
89
78
+11
83avg 83
H28/09
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#14
W
110-65
110
65
+45
110avg 83
A01/10
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
W
83-75
83
75
+8
74avg 83
A05/10
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
W
92-79
92
79
+13
88avg 83
H18/10
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
W
91-89 OT
91
89
+2
83avg 83
A25/10
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
74-85
74
85
-11
66avg 83
H02/11
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
84-81
84
81
+3
79avg 83
A08/11
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
85-68
85
68
+17
81avg 83
A15/11
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
W
92-75
92
75
+17
91avg 83
A19/11
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
99-65
99
65
+34
97avg 83
H22/11
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
29-18
24-17
20-22
25-20
37-14
21-12
27-19
16-13
16-22
21-14
30-26
18-29
23-18
24-19
27-13
23-19
22-25
15-21
25-20
22-18
9-23
25-29
18-15
17-18
23-16
20-24
24-23
14-20
19-15
31-14
21-19
28-11
20-24
24-21
20-19
24-19
23-13
30-18
22-15
165.9Avg total
89.9Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)89.375.1164.4+14.291%
Season at home (4)88.576.8165.2+11.875%
Season away (7)89.774.1163.9+15.6100%
Last 10 (10)89.976.0165.9+13.990%
Last 5 (5)86.874.8161.6+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)80.681.0161.6-0.443%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)89.775.2164.9+14.487%
This opponent (Poznan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +4.3+4.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +4.3+4.3
PoznanBydgoszcz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PoznanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
GKS Tychy
#6
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A20/09
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H27/09
1 Liga
Leszno
#12
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A01/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H05/10
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#14
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A11/10
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H19/10
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H02/11
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A07/11
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H15/11
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A21/11
1 Liga
78.0Avg total
39.6Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.840.580.4-0.737%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.640.379.9-0.736%-
Last 30 away (16)40.140.880.8-0.738%-
Last 10 (10)39.638.478.0+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)38.641.480.0-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)40.440.480.8+0.060%-
vs Similar (22)39.739.979.5-0.236%-
vs Weaker (3)40.045.785.7-5.70%-
This opponent (Bydgoszcz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BydgoszczLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H28/09
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#14
W
62-34
62
34
+28
A01/10
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A05/10
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H18/10
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A25/10
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H02/11
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A08/11
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A15/11
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A19/11
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H22/11
1 Liga
80.0Avg total
42.4Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.639.883.5+3.860%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.140.284.3+3.960%-
Last 30 away (15)43.139.582.6+3.760%-
Last 10 (10)42.437.680.0+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)39.835.475.2+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)39.643.182.7-3.629%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)44.938.883.7+6.070%-
This opponent (Poznan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Poznantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poznan: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.020.9
49.8%
52.0%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.0
29.3%
31.9%21.0
🏀 Free throws22.315.0
67.3%
70.0%15.0
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bydgoszcztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bydgoszcz: 88.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.018.3
49.5%
52.0%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.211.5
40.8%
31.9%34.5
🏀 Free throws24.817.8
71.8%
70.0%17.8
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Poznan
LLLWLLLWWL
Bydgoszcz
WWWWLWWWWW
#15
League position
#1
-0.8
Net rating
+17.4
102.0
Offensive rating
116.6
102.8
Defensive rating
99.2
47.6%
Effective FG%
54.5%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
44.6%
15.4%
Turnover %
15.9%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.38
29.3%
3-point %
40.8%
54.1%
Assist %
65.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence102.0 · 116.6Defence102.8 · 99.2Shooting47.6% · 54.5%3-point %29.3% · 40.8%Ball care15.4% · 15.9%Off. rebounds27.8% · 32.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)30% · 90%
■ Poznan   ■ Bydgoszcz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Poznan wins
6
Bydgoszcz wins
DateGameScore
05/02/25Bydgoszcz v Poznan86-93
26/10/24Poznan v Bydgoszcz85-92
22/03/24Bydgoszcz v Poznan86-65
17/12/23Poznan v Bydgoszcz95-74
13/04/19Poznan v Bydgoszcz71-80
07/04/19Bydgoszcz v Poznan87-75
06/04/19Bydgoszcz v Poznan89-80
23/01/19Poznan v Bydgoszcz91-84
17/10/18Bydgoszcz v Poznan93-62
24/02/18Poznan v Bydgoszcz83-62
Poznanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/25APoli. Opolska81-94
15/11/25HLKS Lodz85-90
07/11/25AKotwica Kolobrzeg64-82
02/11/25HSpojnia Stargard79-73
19/10/25HWKK Wroclaw76-81
11/10/25AInowroclaw74-76
05/10/25HPolonia Warszawa71-82
01/10/25ALeszno90-64
27/09/25HLancut91-64
20/09/25AGKS Tychy75-81
Bydgoszczlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/25HZubry Bialystok99-65
19/11/25AGKS Tychy92-75
15/11/25APelplin85-68
08/11/25APoli. Opolska84-81
02/11/25HLKS Lodz74-85
25/10/25AKotwica Kolobrzeg91-89 OT
18/10/25HSpojnia Stargard92-79
05/10/25AWKK Wroclaw83-75
01/10/25AInowroclaw110-65
28/09/25HPolonia Warszawa89-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Poznan
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL30%
HomeWLLWL40%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%40%20%
Points / game78.680.476.8
Allowed / game78.778.079.4
Point differential-0.1+2.4-2.6
Avg total157.3158.4156.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bydgoszcz
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW91%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %91%75%100%
Points / game89.388.589.7
Allowed / game75.176.874.1
Point differential+14.2+11.8+15.6
Avg total164.4165.2163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%75%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %9%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bydgoszcz1110191%89.375.1+14.2
2 Starogard Gdanski108280%86.277.6+8.6
3 LKS Lodz108280%84.475.9+8.5
4 GKS Tychy117464%87.183.8+3.3
5 Lancut117464%85.884.5+1.3
6 Polonia Warszawa117464%82.983.9-1.0
7 Spojnia Stargard106460%83.381.0+2.3
8 Pelplin116555%84.882.3+2.5
9 R. Rzeszow105550%80.680.3+0.3
10 Kotwica Kolobrzeg104640%77.578.6-1.1
11 WKK Wroclaw114736%78.582.5-4.0
12 Leszno114736%77.782.9-5.2
13 Inowroclaw114736%79.786.5-6.7
14 Poznan103730%78.678.7-0.1
15 Poli. Opolska103730%82.185.4-3.3
16 Miners Katowice103730%78.883.9-5.1
17 Zubry Bialystok100100%73.087.9-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Poznan2122171428102
Bydgoszcz122719162397
← all games of the day
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