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CAB Madeira vs CD Povoa Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record1-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game83.2
CAB Madeira
Portugal
vs
CD Povoa
Portugal
Position#7
Record2-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game72.8
PortugalLPBRound 13· Pavilhao Clube Amigos do Basquete
Other2026-27
Meetings · CAB Madeira v CD Povoa
09 Jan 2027
CAB v CD P
upcoming
24 May 2026
CAB 90
CD P72
21 Feb 2026
CAB 75
CD P70
23 Apr 2023
CAB 72
CD P74
29 Oct 2022
CAB 88
CD P91
23 Apr 2022
CAB 95
CD P90
01 Dec 2021
CAB 88
CD P63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CAB Madeira win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
CD Povoa win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CAB MadeiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal B
#9
W
97-78
97
78
+19
A01/05
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
88-74
88
74
+14
A09/05
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
76-60
76
60
+16
H16/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
90-72
90
72
+18
H24/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
61-78
61
78
-17
A30/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
72-90
72
90
-18
A31/05
Proliga
Vitoria
#8
L
78-83
78
83
-5
H03/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A10/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#6
W
93-84
93
84
+9
H17/10
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
82-93
82
93
-11
A25/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-28
26-15
22-16
19-19
27-21
27-23
17-16
17-14
13-15
21-8
13-17
29-20
21-15
28-20
18-19
23-18
26-26
11-22
17-17
7-13
13-30
18-18
27-21
14-21
18-14
24-17
21-25
15-27
20-21
12-18
20-19
17-15
23-22
26-20
25-20
19-22
15-26
20-22
21-18
26-27
159.1Avg total
80.6Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.583.2163.8-2.825%
Season at home (2)85.583.5169.0+2.050%
Season away (2)75.583.0158.5-7.50%
Last 10 (10)80.678.5159.1+2.150%
Last 5 (5)78.884.6163.4-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)77.180.1157.2-3.038%
vs Similar (10)79.075.2154.2+3.870%
vs Weaker (12)87.475.4162.8+12.083%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portimonense
#6
W
93-90 OT
93
90
+3
A09/05
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
L
68-71 OT
68
71
-3
H16/05
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
90-86 OT
90
86
+4
H17/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
72-90
72
90
-18
A24/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
78-61
78
61
+17
H30/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
90-72
90
72
+18
H31/05
Proliga
Esgueira
#12
W
84-64
84
64
+20
A03/10
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H10/10
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
69-78
69
78
-9
A17/10
LPB
Braga
#2
L
71-80
71
80
-9
H25/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
23-27
18-20
23-18
22-20
15-17
14-13
8-9
23-19
21-26
18-16
21-22
15-21
20-28
19-18
18-23
26-26
22-11
17-17
13-7
30-13
18-18
21-27
21-14
16-25
25-7
17-20
26-12
21-20
18-12
19-20
15-17
12-17
17-20
23-25
17-16
22-20
14-23
14-19
21-18
154.9Avg total
78.8Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)74.272.8147.0+1.550%
Season at home (2)72.074.5146.5-2.550%
Season away (2)76.571.0147.5+5.550%
Last 10 (10)78.876.1154.9+2.760%
Last 5 (5)77.472.6150.0+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.079.0149.0-9.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)81.370.7152.0+10.682%
This opponent (CAB Madeira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +2.7+2.7
CAB MadeiraCD Povoa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CAB MadeiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal B
#9
W
56-43
56
43
+13
A01/05
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A09/05
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H16/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H24/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A30/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A31/05
Proliga
Vitoria
#8
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H03/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A10/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#6
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H17/10
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A25/10
LPB
82.0Avg total
41.9Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.537.679.2+3.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.734.777.4+8.180%-
Last 30 away (15)40.340.680.9-0.340%-
Last 10 (10)41.940.182.0+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)37.841.679.4-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)40.541.682.1-1.138%-
vs Similar (10)38.436.074.4+2.450%-
vs Weaker (12)44.836.381.2+8.583%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portimonense
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A09/05
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H16/05
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H17/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A24/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H30/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H31/05
Proliga
Esgueira
#12
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A03/10
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H10/10
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A17/10
LPB
Braga
#2
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H25/10
LPB
78.3Avg total
39.7Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.337.177.4+3.253%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.236.479.6+6.871%-
Last 30 away (13)36.538.074.5-1.531%-
Last 10 (10)39.738.678.3+1.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.635.073.6+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.540.072.5-7.50%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)40.836.977.7+3.957%-
This opponent (CAB Madeira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CAB Madeiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CAB Madeira: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.317.8
53.5%
50.9%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.6
35.0%
31.4%31.8
🏀 Free throws16.612.0
72.3%
70.6%12.0
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.919.4
48.6%
50.9%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.67.9
27.6%
31.4%23.7
🏀 Free throws22.013.5
61.4%
70.6%13.5
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CAB Madeira
LWLLLLWWWW
CD Povoa
LLWWWWLWLW
#10
League position
#7
+3.2
Net rating
+2.2
92.9
Offensive rating
83.9
89.7
Defensive rating
81.7
53.0%
Effective FG%
45.6%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
45.2%
16.8%
Turnover %
13.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.0%
3-point %
27.6%
66.2%
Assist %
53.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence92.9 · 83.9Defence89.7 · 81.7Shooting53.0% · 45.6%3-point %35.0% · 27.6%Ball care16.8% · 13.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ CAB Madeira   ■ CD Povoa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
CAB Madeira wins
7
CD Povoa wins
DateGameScore
10/10/26CD Povoa v CAB Madeira73-69
31/05/26CD Povoa v CAB Madeira90-72
30/05/26CD Povoa v CAB Madeira78-61
24/05/26CAB Madeira v CD Povoa90-72
18/04/26CD Povoa v CAB Madeira81-75
21/02/26CAB Madeira v CD Povoa75-70
23/04/23CAB Madeira v CD Povoa72-74
22/03/23CD Povoa v CAB Madeira74-78
21/01/23CD Povoa v CAB Madeira78-70
29/10/22CAB Madeira v CD Povoa88-91
CAB Madeiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26AFC Porto82-93
17/10/26HSporting CP93-84
10/10/26ACD Povoa69-73
03/10/26HVitoria78-83
31/05/26ACD Povoa72-90
30/05/26ACD Povoa61-78
24/05/26HCD Povoa90-72
16/05/26HIlliabum76-60
09/05/26AIlliabum88-74
01/05/26AImortal B97-78
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HBraga71-80
17/10/26AOvarense69-78
10/10/26HCAB Madeira73-69
03/10/26AEsgueira84-64
31/05/26HCAB Madeira90-72
30/05/26HCAB Madeira78-61
24/05/26ACAB Madeira72-90
17/05/26HPortimonense90-86 OT
16/05/26HPortimonense68-71 OT
09/05/26APortimonense93-90 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CAB Madeira
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game80.585.575.5
Allowed / game83.283.583.0
Point differential-2.8+2.0-7.5
Avg total163.8169.0158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
CD Povoa
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game74.272.076.5
Allowed / game72.874.571.0
Point differential+1.5-2.5+5.5
Avg total147.0146.5147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto440100%97.888.0+9.8
2 Braga43175%89.877.5+12.2
3 Benfica43175%87.875.8+12.0
4 Ovarense43175%82.873.5+9.2
5 Oliveirense32167%87.384.7+2.7
6 Sporting CP42250%78.576.8+1.8
7 CD Povoa42250%74.272.8+1.5
8 Vitoria42250%75.082.0-7.0
9 CA Queluz31233%84.094.0-10.0
10 CAB Madeira41325%80.583.2-2.8
11 Portimonense4040%77.089.2-12.2
12 Esgueira4040%73.892.8-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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