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CAB Madeira vs CD Povoa Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record1-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game86.4
CAB Madeira
Portugal
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.1/10
Below normal
3.3/10
Below normal
CD Povoa
Portugal
Position#7
Record4-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game75.3
PortugalLPBRound 13· Pavilhao Clube Amigos do Basquete
Other2026-27
Meetings · CAB Madeira v CD Povoa
09 Jan 2027
CAB v CD P
upcoming
24 May 2026
CAB 90
CD P72
21 Feb 2026
CAB 75
CD P70
23 Apr 2023
CAB 72
CD P74
29 Oct 2022
CAB 88
CD P91
23 Apr 2022
CAB 95
CD P90
01 Dec 2021
CAB 88
CD P63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CAB Madeira win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
CD Povoa win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CAB MadeiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadeira
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#1
W
90-72
90
72
+18
81avg 75
H24/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
61-78
61
78
-17
52avg 75
A30/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
72-90
72
90
-18
66avg 75
A31/05
Proliga
Vitoria
#9
L
78-83
78
83
-5
72avg 75
H03/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
L
69-73
69
73
-4
54avg 75
A10/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
W
93-84
93
84
+9
90avg 75
H17/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
82-93
82
93
-11
76avg 75
A25/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
109-113 OT
109
113
-4
102avg 75
H31/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
L
86-90
86
90
-4
no box
A07/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
62-69
62
69
-7
no box
A14/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
28-20
18-19
23-18
26-26
11-22
17-17
7-13
13-30
18-18
27-21
14-21
18-14
24-17
21-25
15-27
20-21
12-18
20-19
17-15
23-22
26-20
25-20
19-22
15-26
20-22
21-18
26-27
20-21
25-24
25-24
20-21
18-20
18-23
30-20
20-27
18-11
13-29
14-12
17-17
164.7Avg total
80.2Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.786.4169.1-3.714%
Season at home (3)93.393.3186.7+0.033%
Season away (4)74.881.2156.0-6.50%
Last 10 (10)80.284.5164.7-4.320%
Last 5 (5)86.489.8176.2-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)79.983.3163.2-3.433%
vs Similar ◀ (12)78.876.2155.0+2.558%
vs Weaker (9)84.077.9161.9+6.178%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#2
L
72-90
72
90
-18
59avg 68
A24/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
78-61
78
61
+17
71avg 68
H30/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
90-72
90
72
+18
77avg 68
H31/05
Proliga
Esgueira
#12
W
84-64
84
64
+20
76avg 68
A03/10
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
W
73-69
73
69
+4
55avg 68
H10/10
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
69-78
69
78
-9
48avg 68
A17/10
LPB
Braga
#6
L
71-80
71
80
-9
56avg 68
H25/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
75-68
75
68
+7
63avg 68
A01/11
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
84-74
84
74
+10
no box
H07/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
69-94
69
94
-25
no box
A14/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
20-28
19-18
18-23
26-26
22-11
17-17
13-7
30-13
18-18
21-27
21-14
16-25
25-7
17-20
26-12
21-20
18-12
19-20
15-17
12-17
17-20
23-25
17-16
22-20
14-23
14-19
21-18
12-18
16-21
23-14
24-15
19-15
19-14
23-15
23-30
19-25
15-17
13-29
22-23
151.5Avg total
76.5Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.075.3150.3-0.357%
Season at home (3)76.074.3150.3+1.767%
Season away (4)74.276.0150.2-1.850%
Last 10 (10)76.575.0151.5+1.560%
Last 5 (5)73.678.8152.4-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.784.0153.7-14.30%
vs Similar ◀ (1)73.069.0142.0+4.0100%
vs Weaker (26)81.071.4152.3+9.681%
This opponent (CAB Madeira) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +2.5+2.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +2.5+2.5
CAB MadeiraCD Povoa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CAB MadeiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#1
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H24/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A30/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A31/05
Proliga
Vitoria
#9
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H03/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A10/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H17/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A25/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H31/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A07/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A14/11
LPB
80.6Avg total
38.7Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.738.779.4+2.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.936.177.9+5.871%-
Last 30 away (16)39.741.080.7-1.331%-
Last 10 (10)38.741.980.6-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)39.243.682.8-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.942.183.0-1.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.736.874.5+0.842%-
vs Weaker (9)44.637.882.3+6.878%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#2
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A24/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H30/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H31/05
Proliga
Esgueira
#12
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A03/10
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H10/10
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A17/10
LPB
Braga
#6
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H25/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A01/11
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H07/11
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A14/11
LPB
74.7Avg total
37.6Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.537.477.0+2.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.836.279.1+6.675%-
Last 30 away (14)35.838.874.6-3.021%-
Last 10 (10)37.637.174.7+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)33.038.071.0-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.040.773.7-7.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)39.032.071.0+7.0100%-
vs Weaker (26)40.337.377.6+3.054%-
This opponent (CAB Madeira) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CAB Madeiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CAB Madeira: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.616.8
51.5%
51.1%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.611.4
36.1%
31.9%34.2
🏀 Free throws17.412.8
73.6%
71.1%12.8
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.319.8
49.1%
51.1%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.76.8
25.5%
31.9%20.4
🏀 Free throws22.914.2
62.0%
71.1%14.2
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CAB Madeira
LLLLWLLLLW
CD Povoa
LWWLLWWWWL
#10
League position
#7
+0.5
Net rating
+2.7
92.5
Offensive rating
82.9
92.1
Defensive rating
80.2
52.8%
Effective FG%
44.8%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
44.3%
16.5%
Turnover %
14.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.1%
3-point %
25.5%
64.9%
Assist %
50.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence92.5 · 82.9Defence92.1 · 80.2Shooting52.8% · 44.8%3-point %36.1% · 25.5%Ball care16.5% · 14.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ CAB Madeira   ■ CD Povoa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
CAB Madeira wins
7
CD Povoa wins
DateGameScore
10/10/26CD Povoa v CAB Madeira73-69
31/05/26CD Povoa v CAB Madeira90-72
30/05/26CD Povoa v CAB Madeira78-61
24/05/26CAB Madeira v CD Povoa90-72
18/04/26CD Povoa v CAB Madeira81-75
21/02/26CAB Madeira v CD Povoa75-70
23/04/23CAB Madeira v CD Povoa72-74
22/03/23CD Povoa v CAB Madeira74-78
21/01/23CD Povoa v CAB Madeira78-70
29/10/22CAB Madeira v CD Povoa88-91
CAB Madeiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ABenfica62-69
07/11/26ACA Queluz86-90
31/10/26HOliveirense109-113 OT
25/10/26AFC Porto82-93
17/10/26HSporting CP93-84
10/10/26ACD Povoa69-73
03/10/26HVitoria78-83
31/05/26ACD Povoa72-90
30/05/26ACD Povoa61-78
24/05/26HCD Povoa90-72
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASporting CP69-94
07/11/26HPortimonense84-74
01/11/26AVitoria75-68
25/10/26HBraga71-80
17/10/26AOvarense69-78
10/10/26HCAB Madeira73-69
03/10/26AEsgueira84-64
31/05/26HCAB Madeira90-72
30/05/26HCAB Madeira78-61
24/05/26ACAB Madeira72-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CAB Madeira
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL14%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %14%33%0%
Points / game82.793.374.8
Allowed / game86.493.381.2
Point differential-3.7+0.0-6.5
Avg total169.1186.7156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %14%33%0%
CD Povoa
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL57%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game75.076.074.2
Allowed / game75.374.376.0
Point differential-0.3+1.7-1.8
Avg total150.3150.3150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica76186%88.373.6+14.7
2 FC Porto76186%91.681.6+10.0
3 Ovarense76186%84.476.9+7.6
4 Oliveirense64267%92.290.0+2.2
5 Sporting CP74357%83.674.6+9.0
6 Braga74357%88.181.1+7.0
7 CD Povoa74357%75.075.3-0.3
8 CA Queluz63350%87.891.7-3.8
9 Vitoria72529%68.783.9-15.1
10 CAB Madeira71614%82.786.4-3.7
11 Portimonense71614%78.789.0-10.3
12 Esgueira7070%80.397.7-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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