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Caen vs Pau-Orthez Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 31 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 89-85
21-15 20-25 25-18 23-27
Position#17
Record1-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game80.7
Caen 🏆
France
vs
Position#2
Record6-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game76.5
FrancePro BRound 9· Palais des Sports Caen la mer
Other2025-26
Meetings · Caen v Pau-Orthez
31 Oct 2025
CAEN89
POR85
24 Jan 2025
CAEN64
POR98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pau-Orthez winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CaenFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCaen
Date
Competition
Rouen
#14
L
69-71
69
71
-2
79avg 86
A09/05
Pro B
Orleans
#4
L
77-82
77
82
-5
91avg 86
H13/05
Pro B
Tours
#5
L
81-90
81
90
-9
no box
A12/09
French Cup
Vichy
#7
L
68-75
68
75
-7
83avg 86
H18/09
Pro B
Rouen
#14
W
81-77
81
77
+4
94avg 86
H26/09
Pro B
Evreux
#19
L
76-79
76
79
-3
64avg 86
A03/10
Pro B
Roanne
#1
L
85-96
85
96
-11
80avg 86
H10/10
Pro B
Ada Blois
#5
L
72-75
72
75
-3
66avg 86
A18/10
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#9
L
81-83
81
83
-2
71avg 86
H23/10
Pro B
ASA
#12
L
74-80
74
80
-6
59avg 86
A28/10
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
14-16
18-13
22-24
21-25
15-13
20-21
21-23
14-27
24-21
20-25
23-17
19-23
17-14
18-16
14-22
20-17
19-24
26-20
16-16
23-26
13-20
25-18
15-15
22-28
23-27
22-21
18-20
15-13
23-13
11-22
23-27
14-18
19-17
30-19
18-29
20-24
23-26
13-17
18-13
157.2Avg total
76.4Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)76.780.7157.4-4.014%
Season at home (4)78.882.8161.5-4.025%
Season away (3)74.078.0152.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)76.480.8157.2-4.410%
Last 5 (5)77.682.6160.2-5.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)75.584.8160.4-9.311%
vs Similar (7)79.078.4157.4+0.643%
vs Weaker (3)80.072.0152.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pau-OrthezFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPau-Orthez
Date
Competition
Marmande
#63
W
112-72
112
72
+40
no box
A13/09
French Cup
Challans
#21
W
77-67
77
67
+10
88avg 93
H19/09
Pro B
Orleans
#3
W
82-61
82
61
+21
101avg 93
H26/09
Pro B
Nantes
#6
W
90-76
90
76
+14
104avg 93
A30/09
Pro B
ASA
#12
W
75-69
75
69
+6
70avg 93
H04/10
Pro B
Boulazac
#26
L
83-88
83
88
-5
no box
H07/10
French Cup
Chalons-Reims
#8
L
88-92
88
92
-4
80avg 93
A10/10
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#11
W
87-78
87
78
+9
85avg 93
H17/10
Pro B
Evreux
#19
W
98-65
98
65
+33
96avg 93
A24/10
Pro B
Quimper
#20
L
79-104
79
104
-25
76avg 93
H28/10
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
15-11
18-22
19-19
25-15
22-11
19-14
21-21
20-15
29-17
25-18
22-20
14-21
21-11
12-24
24-18
18-16
27-29
13-20
23-22
20-17
17-16
19-30
22-21
30-25
24-18
16-21
16-26
31-13
22-12
21-21
27-16
28-16
24-39
11-27
23-15
21-23
164.3Avg total
87.1Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)84.576.5161.0+8.075%
Season at home (5)80.075.8155.8+4.280%
Season away (3)92.077.7169.7+14.367%
Last 10 (10)87.177.2164.3+9.970%
Last 5 (5)87.085.4172.4+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.082.0157.0-7.050%
vs Similar (14)83.082.5165.5+0.557%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)86.778.2164.9+8.569%
This opponent (Caen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +5.1+5.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +5.1+5.1
CaenPau-Orthez
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CaenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rouen
#14
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A09/05
Pro B
Orleans
#4
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H13/05
Pro B
Tours
#5
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A12/09
French Cup
Vichy
#7
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H18/09
Pro B
Rouen
#14
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H26/09
Pro B
Evreux
#19
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A03/10
Pro B
Roanne
#1
L
45-55
45
55
-10
H10/10
Pro B
Ada Blois
#5
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A18/10
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#9
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H23/10
Pro B
ASA
#12
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A28/10
Pro B
78.3Avg total
37.3Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.641.980.5-3.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.642.781.3-4.127%-
Last 30 away (15)38.641.179.7-2.540%-
Last 10 (10)37.341.078.3-3.710%-
Last 5 (5)39.042.481.4-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)38.442.981.4-4.521%-
vs Similar (7)38.741.380.0-2.643%-
vs Weaker (3)39.734.774.3+5.0100%-
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pau-OrthezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Challans
#21
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H19/09
Pro B
Orleans
#3
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H26/09
Pro B
Nantes
#6
W
54-35
54
35
+19
A30/09
Pro B
ASA
#12
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H04/10
Pro B
Boulazac
#26
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H07/10
French Cup
Chalons-Reims
#8
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A10/10
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#11
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H17/10
Pro B
Evreux
#19
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A24/10
Pro B
Quimper
#20
L
35-66
35
66
-31
H28/10
Pro B
79.6Avg total
39.4Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.640.180.7+0.552%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.139.779.7+0.447%-
Last 30 away (14)41.140.681.7+0.657%-
Last 10 (9)39.440.179.6-0.744%-
Last 5 (5)38.846.685.4-7.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.538.576.0-1.050%-
vs Similar (14)40.539.179.6+1.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.241.482.5-0.254%-
This opponent (Caen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Caentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caen: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.417.8
46.4%
53.1%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.4
31.8%
32.8%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.914.2
75.1%
71.4%14.2
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pau-Ortheztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pau-Orthez: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.9
51.0%
53.1%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.4
35.7%
32.8%28.2
🏀 Free throws20.013.1
65.5%
71.4%13.1
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Caen
LLLLLWLLLL
Pau-Orthez
LWWLLWWWWW
#17
League position
#2
-7.0
Net rating
+6.1
102.9
Offensive rating
112.1
109.9
Defensive rating
106.0
46.9%
Effective FG%
52.1%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
15.6%
Turnover %
17.0%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
35.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.8%
3-point %
35.7%
72.9%
Assist %
65.2%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence102.9 · 112.1Defence109.9 · 106.0Shooting46.9% · 52.1%3-point %31.8% · 35.7%Ball care15.6% · 17.0%Off. rebounds29.2% · 35.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Caen   ■ Pau-Orthez
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Caen wins
1
Pau-Orthez wins
DateGameScore
24/01/25Caen v Pau-Orthez64-98
05/11/24Pau-Orthez v Caen76-85
Caenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/25AASA74-80
23/10/25HDenain-Voltaire81-83
18/10/25AAda Blois72-75
10/10/25HRoanne85-96
03/10/25AEvreux76-79
26/09/25HRouen81-77
18/09/25HVichy68-75
12/09/25ATours81-90
13/05/25HOrleans77-82
09/05/25ARouen69-71
Pau-Orthezlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/25HQuimper79-104
24/10/25AEvreux98-65
17/10/25HHyeres-Toulon87-78
10/10/25AChalons-Reims88-92
07/10/25HBoulazac83-88
04/10/25HASA75-69
30/09/25ANantes90-76
26/09/25HOrleans82-61
19/09/25HChallans77-67
13/09/25AMarmande112-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caen
Pro B 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %14%25%0%
Points / game76.778.874.0
Allowed / game80.782.878.0
Point differential-4.0-4.0-4.0
Avg total157.4161.5152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pau-Orthez
Pro B 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL75%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %75%80%67%
Points / game84.580.092.0
Allowed / game76.575.877.7
Point differential+8.0+4.2+14.3
Avg total161.0155.8169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%40%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Orleans76186%82.975.6+7.3
2 Roanne86275%87.979.4+8.5
3 Pau-Orthez86275%84.576.5+8.0
4 Vichy86275%81.175.1+6.0
5 Ada Blois86275%78.172.9+5.2
6 La Rochelle75271%80.676.3+4.3
7 Denain-Voltaire85362%83.280.4+2.9
8 Antibes74357%84.983.3+1.6
9 ASA84450%82.982.0+0.9
10 Nantes84450%79.582.2-2.8
11 Rouen84450%78.881.9-3.1
12 Chalons-Reims84450%78.882.5-3.8
13 Quimper73443%78.782.7-4.0
14 Aix Maurienne73443%80.686.1-5.6
15 Poitiers83538%82.982.6+0.2
16 St. Chamond82625%89.086.9+2.1
17 Hyeres-Toulon82625%81.585.0-3.5
18 Evreux82625%76.285.9-9.6
19 Caen71614%76.780.7-4.0
20 Challans81712%72.883.5-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Caen2120252389
Pau-Orthez1525182785
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